[Ncep.list.emc.monsoondesk] Weekly Updates of Global Monsoon Systems

Muthuvel Chelliah - NOAA Federal muthuvel.chelliah at noaa.gov
Mon May 14 16:07:14 UTC 2018


------------------------------------------------
Dr. Muthuvel Chelliah, eMail: Muthuvel.Chelliah at noaa.gov
Rm. 3008, Climate Prediction Center, Ph: (301) 683-3393
NCEP/NWS/NOAA/U.S.Dept.of Commerce,
5830, University Research Court, NCWCP,
College Park, MD 20740

On Mon, May 14, 2018 at 11:56 AM, Wei Shi - NOAA Federal <wei.shi at noaa.gov>
wrote:

> The weekly PowerPoint presentations summarizing the recent variability of
> the global monsoon systems have been updated on the CPC Global Monsoons
> website:
> http://www.cpc.ncep.noaa.gov/products/Global_Monsoons/Global-Monsoon.shtml
>
> *HIGHLIGHTS:*
>
>
>
> *African Monsoons:*
>
>
>
> Rainfall surpluses exceeded 100mm over southeastern Nigeria. Above-average
> rainfall was also observed over many places in the central Africa.
>
>
>
> Week-1 outlooks call for an increased chance for above-average rainfall
> over many parts of the Gulf of Guinea countries, parts of eastern DRC,
> Burundi, Rwanda, Uganda, South Sudan, Kenya, parts of Ethiopia, coastal
> Tanzania, eastern Kenya, and southern Somalia. In contrast, there is an
> increased chance for below-average rainfall over parts of southern Chad,
> CAR, southern Sudan, and western South Sudan.
>
>
>
> *Asian-Australian Monsoons:*
>
> For the past 90 days, below normal rainfall deficits remain over
> southeastern China, over  large parts of Australia, New Guinea, parts of
> Malaysia, as well as over Afghanistan. Elsewhere, in general, the rainfall
> amounts received were at normal to slightly above normal levels. For the
> past 30 days,  the prominent features are the relatively  lower rainfall
> amounts over coastal south eastern China, and over New Guinea maritime
> island, and above normal amounts over Bangladesh. Rainfall amounts received
> over Australia continue to be less. Elsewhere, the pattern is mixed.
>
> In this past week, the monsoon rainfall continues to  gradually and
> almost totally recede away from northern Australia, while the seasonal  southwest
> summer monsoon over India is yet to start. However, southern India got some
> beneficial pre monsoon rainfall. Particularly, the rainfall is much below
> normal over southeastern Asian countries, particularly over New Guinea.
> Bangladesh region has begun to receive monsoon rainfall. In the upcoming
> two weeks, the NCEP GFS model forecast is suggesting a delayed monsoon
> onset over southern India, and generally a weaker monsoon rainfall amounts
> over southeast Asia, except possibly over eastern China in the second week.
>
> *South American Monsoons:*
>
>
>
> Long-term rainfall deficits are present over the Amazon Basin, the
> Brazilian Plateau and the extreme southern Brazil.
>
>
>
> During the last 7 days, below-average precipitation was observed over
> portions of northern and southern Brazil, southern Chile and southern
> Colombia. Above-average precipitation was observed over portions of
> northeastern Argentina, northern Peru and northern Colombia.
>
>
>
> For Days 1-7 (14 - 20 May 2018), below-average precipitation is predicted
> over much of northern Brazil, southern Venezuela, southern Chile, and
> portions of eastern Argentina and southern Peru. Above-average
> precipitation is predicted for portions of the extreme southern Brazil,
> Paraguay, northern Peru and central Colombia.
>
>
>
>
>
> *For questions or comments, please contact:
>
>
> Endalkachew.Bekele at noaa.gov (for the African monsoons)
>
> Muthuvel.Chelliah at noaa.gov  (for Asian-Australian monsoons)
>
> Wei.Shi at noaa.gov  (for American monsoons and for general issues about the
> CPC Global Monsoons products)
>
> *---------------------------------------------------------------------------
>    *
> Wei Shi, Ph.D
> Meteorologist
> Climate Prediction Center/NCEP/NWS/NOAA
> NCWCP  Room 3116
> 5830 University Research Court
> College Park, MD 20740
> USA
> Phone: (301) 683-3440
>
> *----------------------------------------------------------------------------*
>
> _______________________________________________
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>
>
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