<div dir="ltr"><div class="gmail_default" style="font-family:verdana,sans-serif;font-size:small"><br></div><div class="gmail_extra"><br clear="all"><div><div class="gmail_signature" data-smartmail="gmail_signature"><div dir="ltr"><div><div><div><div><div><font face="verdana,sans-serif">------------------------------------------------</font><br></div>Dr. Muthuvel Chelliah, eMail: <a href="mailto:Muthuvel.Chelliah@noaa.gov" target="_blank">Muthuvel.Chelliah@noaa.gov</a><br></div>Rm. 3008, Climate Prediction Center, Ph: (301) 683-3393<br></div>NCEP/NWS/NOAA/U.S.Dept.of Commerce,<br></div>5830, University Research Court, NCWCP,<br></div>College Park, MD 20740<br></div></div></div>
<br><div class="gmail_quote">On Mon, May 14, 2018 at 11:56 AM, Wei Shi - NOAA Federal <span dir="ltr"><<a href="mailto:wei.shi@noaa.gov" target="_blank">wei.shi@noaa.gov</a>></span> wrote:<br><blockquote class="gmail_quote" style="margin:0 0 0 .8ex;border-left:1px #ccc solid;padding-left:1ex"><div dir="ltr">
<p class="MsoNormal" style="margin:0in 0in 0.0001pt;font-size:12pt;font-family:"Times New Roman",serif">The weekly PowerPoint presentations summarizing the recent
variability of the global monsoon systems have been updated on the CPC Global
Monsoons website: <br>
<a href="http://www.cpc.ncep.noaa.gov/products/Global_Monsoons/Global-Monsoon.shtml" style="color:blue;text-decoration:underline" target="_blank">http://www.cpc.ncep.noaa.gov/<wbr>products/Global_Monsoons/<wbr>Global-Monsoon.shtml</a>
<br>
<br>
<b>HIGHLIGHTS:<span></span></b></p>
<p class="MsoNormal" style="margin:0in 0in 0.0001pt;font-size:12pt;font-family:"Times New Roman",serif"><b><span> </span></b></p>
<p class="MsoNormal" style="margin:0in 0in 0.0001pt;font-size:12pt;font-family:"Times New Roman",serif"><b>African Monsoons:<span></span></b></p>
<p class="MsoNormal" style="margin:0in 0in 0.0001pt;font-size:12pt;font-family:"Times New Roman",serif"><b><span> </span></b></p>
<p class="MsoNormal" style="margin:0in 0in 0.0001pt;font-size:12pt;font-family:"Times New Roman",serif"><span>Rainfall
surpluses exceeded 100mm over southeastern Nigeria. Above-average rainfall was
also observed over many places in the central Africa.<span></span></span></p>
<p class="MsoNormal" style="margin:0in 0in 0.0001pt;font-size:12pt;font-family:"Times New Roman",serif"><span><span> </span></span></p>
<p class="MsoNormal" style="margin:0in 0in 0.0001pt;font-size:12pt;font-family:"Times New Roman",serif"><span>Week-1
outlooks call for an increased chance for above-average rainfall over many
parts of the Gulf of Guinea countries, parts of eastern DRC, Burundi, Rwanda,
Uganda, South Sudan, Kenya, parts of Ethiopia, coastal Tanzania, eastern Kenya,
and southern Somalia. In contrast, there is an increased chance for
below-average rainfall over parts of southern Chad, CAR, southern Sudan, and
western South Sudan.<span></span></span></p>
<p class="MsoNormal" style="margin:0in 0in 0.0001pt;font-size:12pt;font-family:"Times New Roman",serif"><b><span> </span></b></p>
<p class="MsoNormal" style="margin:0in 0in 0.0001pt;font-size:12pt;font-family:"Times New Roman",serif"><b>Asian-Australian
Monsoons:<span></span></b></p>
<p class="MsoNormal" style="margin:0in 0in 0.0001pt;font-size:12pt;font-family:"Times New Roman",serif">
</p><p class="MsoNormal" style="margin:0in 0in 10pt;color:rgb(34,34,34);font-style:normal;font-variant-ligatures:normal;font-variant-caps:normal;font-weight:400;letter-spacing:normal;text-align:start;text-indent:0px;text-transform:none;white-space:normal;word-spacing:0px;background-color:rgb(255,255,255);text-decoration-style:initial;text-decoration-color:initial;line-height:16.8667px;font-size:11pt;font-family:Calibri,sans-serif">For the past 90 days, below normal rainfall deficits remain over southeastern China, over<span> <span> </span></span>large parts of Australia, New Guinea, parts of Malaysia, as well as over Afghanistan. Elsewhere, in general, the rainfall amounts received were at normal to slightly above normal levels. For the past 30 days,<span> <span> </span></span>the prominent features are the relatively<span> <span> </span></span>lower rainfall amounts over coastal south eastern China, and over New Guinea maritime island, and above normal amounts over Bangladesh. Rainfall amounts received over Australia continue to be less. Elsewhere, the pattern is mixed.<span></span></p><p class="MsoNormal" style="margin:0in 0in 10pt;color:rgb(34,34,34);font-style:normal;font-variant-ligatures:normal;font-variant-caps:normal;font-weight:400;letter-spacing:normal;text-align:start;text-indent:0px;text-transform:none;white-space:normal;word-spacing:0px;background-color:rgb(255,255,255);text-decoration-style:initial;text-decoration-color:initial;line-height:16.8667px;font-size:11pt;font-family:Calibri,sans-serif">In this past week, the monsoon rainfall continues to<span> <span> </span></span>gradually and almost totally recede away from northern Australia, while the seasonal<span> <span> </span></span>southwest summer monsoon over India is yet to start. However, southern India got some beneficial pre monsoon rainfall.<span> </span>Particularly, the rainfall is much below normal over southeastern Asian countries, particularly over New Guinea. Bangladesh region has begun to receive monsoon rainfall. In the upcoming two weeks, the NCEP GFS model forecast is suggesting a delayed monsoon onset over southern India, and generally a weaker monsoon rainfall amounts over southeast Asia, except possibly over eastern China in the second week.</p><p></p>
<p class="MsoNormal" style="margin:0in 0in 0.0001pt;font-size:12pt;font-family:"Times New Roman",serif"><b>South American
Monsoons:<span></span></b></p>
<p class="MsoNormal" style="margin:0in 0in 0.0001pt;font-size:12pt;font-family:"Times New Roman",serif"><span> </span></p>
<p class="MsoNormal" style="margin:0in 0in 0.0001pt;font-size:12pt;font-family:"Times New Roman",serif">Long-term rainfall deficits are present over the Amazon
Basin, the Brazilian Plateau and the extreme southern Brazil.<span></span></p>
<p class="MsoNormal" style="margin:0in 0in 0.0001pt;font-size:12pt;font-family:"Times New Roman",serif"><span> </span></p>
<p class="MsoNormal" style="margin:0in 0in 0.0001pt;font-size:12pt;font-family:"Times New Roman",serif">During the last 7 days, below-average precipitation was
observed over portions of northern and southern Brazil, southern Chile and
southern Colombia. Above-average precipitation was observed over portions of
northeastern Argentina, northern Peru and northern Colombia. <span></span></p>
<p class="MsoNormal" style="margin:0in 0in 0.0001pt;font-size:12pt;font-family:"Times New Roman",serif"><span> </span></p>
<p class="MsoNormal" style="margin:0in 0in 0.0001pt;font-size:12pt;font-family:"Times New Roman",serif">For Days 1-7 (14 - 20 May 2018), below-average precipitation
is predicted over much of northern Brazil, southern Venezuela, southern Chile,
and portions of eastern Argentina and southern Peru. Above-average
precipitation is predicted for portions of the extreme southern Brazil,
Paraguay, northern Peru and central Colombia.<span></span></p>
<p class="MsoNormal" style="margin:0in 0in 0.0001pt;font-size:12pt;font-family:"Times New Roman",serif"><span> </span></p>
<p class="MsoNormal" style="margin:0in 0in 0.0001pt;font-size:12pt;font-family:"Times New Roman",serif"><span> </span></p>
<p class="MsoNormal" style="margin:0in 0in 0.0001pt;font-size:12pt;font-family:"Times New Roman",serif">*For questions or comments, please contact: <span></span></p>
<p class="MsoNormal" style="margin:0in 0in 0.0001pt;font-size:12pt;font-family:"Times New Roman",serif"><br>
<a href="mailto:Endalkachew.Bekele@noaa.gov" target="_blank">Endalkachew.Bekele@noaa.gov</a> (for the African monsoons)<span></span></p>
<p class="MsoNormal" style="margin:0in 0in 0.0001pt;font-size:12pt;font-family:"Times New Roman",serif"><a href="mailto:Muthuvel.Chelliah@noaa.gov" style="color:blue;text-decoration:underline" target="_blank">Muthuvel.Chelliah@noaa.gov</a>
<span> </span>(for Asian-Australian monsoons)<span></span></p>
<p class="MsoNormal" style="margin:0in 0in 0.0001pt;font-size:12pt;font-family:"Times New Roman",serif"><a href="mailto:Wei.Shi@noaa.gov" style="color:blue;text-decoration:underline" target="_blank">Wei.Shi@noaa.gov</a>
(for American monsoons and for general issues about the CPC Global Monsoons
products)<span></span></p>
<br clear="all"><div><div class="m_2547179616652787687gmail_signature" data-smartmail="gmail_signature"><div cols="72"><strong>------------------------------<wbr>------------------------------<wbr>--------------- </strong></div>
<div cols="72">Wei Shi, Ph.D </div>
<div cols="72">Meteorologist </div>
<div cols="72">Climate Prediction Center/NCEP/NWS/NOAA </div>
<div cols="72">NCWCP Room 3116</div>
<div cols="72">5830 University Research Court </div>
<div cols="72">College Park, MD 20740 </div>
<div cols="72">USA </div>
<div cols="72">Phone: (301) 683-3440 </div>
<div cols="72"><strong>------------------------------<wbr>------------------------------<wbr>----------------</strong></div></div></div>
</div>
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<br></blockquote></div><br></div></div>