[Ncep.list.emc.monsoondesk] Weekly Updates of Global Monsoon Systems

[Muthuvel Chelliah - NOAA Federal]

The weekly PowerPoint presentations summarizing the recent variability of
the global monsoon systems have been updated on the CPC Global Monsoons
website:
http://www.cpc.ncep.noaa.gov/products/Global_Monsoons/Global-Monsoon.shtml

*HIGHLIGHTS:*



*African Monsoons:*



Above-average rainfall was observed across eastern Angola, much of Zambia,
northern Botswana, northern Zimbabwe, Malawi, Mozambique and southern
Madagascar.

Week-1 outlooks call for an increased chance for above-average rainfall
over parts of Gabon, Congo-Brazzaville, western DRC, northwestern Angola,
portions of western Zambia, Zimbabwe, and Mozambique. In contrast, there is
an increased chance for below-average rainfall over portions of Burundi,
eastern DRC, Tanzania, eastern Zambia, northern Malawi, and northern
Mozambique.




*Asian-Australian Monsoons:*



For the past 90 days, below normal rainfall deficits remain in general over
many parts of the Middle East, much of central and southern India, South
Korea, Japan, Papua New Guinea, and the deficits accrue over large parts of
north central and north eastern Australia. Elsewhere across southeast Asia,
and over western Australia, and southeastern China, the monsoon rainfall is
at normal to above normal levels. For the past 30 days,  rainfall amounts
were generally at near or slightly above normal levels across the region,
except over  Papua New Guinea, Sumatra island, and northern and
northeastern and eastern Australia where the rainfall deficits are severe.
Western Australia is receiving some above normal rainfall for this period.


In this past week, rainfall over the region was below normal over New
Guinea Island, southeastern China, and over large parts of Indonesian
Archipelago, northern and northeastern Australia. In the upcoming two
weeks, the NCEP GFS model continues to predict below normal rainfall over
southeastern China, and northeastern Australia. However, above normal
rainfall is forecast over northwestern and western Australia.





*South American Monsoons:*



No update is available this week.





*For questions or comments, please contact:


Endalkachew.Bekele at noaa.gov (for the African monsoons)

Muthuvel.Chelliah at noaa.gov  (for Asian-Australian monsoons)

Wei.Shi at noaa.gov  (for American monsoons and for general issues about the
CPC Global Monsoons products)
*---------------------------------------------------------------------------
 *
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Dr. Muthuvel Chelliah, eMail: Muthuvel.Chelliah at noaa.gov
Rm. 3008, Climate Prediction Center, Ph: (301) 683-3393
NCEP/NWS/NOAA/U.S.Dept.of Commerce,
5830, University Research Court, NCWCP,
College Park, MD 20740
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