[Ncep.list.emc.monsoondesk] Weekly Updates of Global Monsoon Systems

[Wei Shi - NOAA Federal]

The weekly PowerPoint presentations summarizing the recent variability of
the global monsoon systems have been updated on the CPC Global Monsoons
website:
http://www.cpc.ncep.noaa.gov/products/Global_Monsoons/Global-Monsoon.shtml

*HIGHLIGHTS:*



*African Monsoons (AFMS.ppt):*



Above-average rainfall was observed across portions of Central and Southern
Africa, whereas suppressed rainfall continued to prevail across
Southeastern Africa.



Week-1 outlooks call for an increased chance for above-average rainfall
over Gabon, Equatorial Guinea, Congo-Brazzaville, western DRC, southern
Angola and western Zambia. In contrast, there is an increased chance for
below-average rainfall over central and southern Tanzania, northern Malawi,
northern Mozambique, and northern Madagascar.





*Asian-Australian Monsoons (AAMS.ppt):*



For the past 90 days rainfall amounts was generally at near normal levels
across India, was a mixed pattern across the southern and east Asia monsoon
region, the Philippines and over Indonesia.  However, eastern China had
received excessively above normal rainfall, while Papa New Guinea and
northern and central Australia had generally received below normal
rainfall, except sporadically there were some above normal spots. For the
past 30 days the rainfall situation is very similar to the recent 90 days,
except that the rainfall deficit over the Philippines, Papa New Guinea and
northern Australia is more severe. Even southeastern China which had
enjoyed above rainfall for a while, had received slightly below normal
rainfall.





In this past week, rainfall over the entire has generally been below normal
except over Borneo island of Indonesia. With the official end of the boreal
winter (DJF) season, and as we enter March, in the next couple of weeks the
NCEP GFS model is predicting a mixed rainfall pattern across the region
with continued less rainfall over Australia and more rainfall over parts of
Malaysia, the island of Borneo and in the second week over southeastern
China.





*South American Monsoons (SAMS.ppt):*



Long-term rainfall deficits continue over most of  the Amazon Basin and
Central Brazil.



During the last 7 days (22-28 February2016), below-average precipitation
was observed over the northwestern and eastern Amazon Basin, and central
and Northeast Brazil.  Above-average precipitation was observed over
portions of  Peru, Bolivia, Paraguay and southern Brazil.



For  29 February-6 March 2016, below-average precipitation is predicted for
most of Northeast Brazil and portions of central Brazil.  Above-average
precipitation is predicted for most of northern and central Peru, western
Brazil, northern Bolivia and Paraguay.




*For questions or comments, please contact:


Endalkachew.Bekele at noaa.gov (for the African monsoons)

Muthuvel.Chelliah at noaa.gov (for Asian-Australian monsoons)

Vernon.Kousky at noaa.gov (for South American monsoons)

Wei.Shi at noaa.gov  (for North American monsoon update and for general issues
about the CPC Global Monsoons products)


*---------------------------------------------------------------------------
   *
Wei Shi, Ph.D
Meteorologist
Climate Prediction Center/NCEP/NWS/NOAA
NCWCP  Room 3116
5830 University Research Court
College Park, MD 20740
USA
Phone: (301) 683-3440
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