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<p class="MsoNormal">The weekly PowerPoint presentations summarizing the recent
variability of the global monsoon systems have been updated on the CPC Global
Monsoons website: <br>
<a href="http://www.cpc.ncep.noaa.gov/products/Global_Monsoons/Global-Monsoon.shtml">http://www.cpc.ncep.noaa.gov/products/Global_Monsoons/Global-Monsoon.shtml</a>
<br>
<br>
<b style="mso-bidi-font-weight:normal">HIGHLIGHTS:</b></p>
<p class="MsoNormal"><b style="mso-bidi-font-weight:normal"> </b></p>
<p class="MsoNormal"><b style="mso-bidi-font-weight:normal">African Monsoons (AFMS.ppt):</b></p>
<p class="MsoNormal"><b style="mso-bidi-font-weight:normal"> </b></p>
<p class="MsoNormal"><span style="mso-fareast-font-family:"Times New Roman"">Above-average
rainfall was observed across portions of Central and Southern Africa, whereas
suppressed rainfall continued to prevail across Southeastern Africa.</span></p>
<p class="MsoNormal"><span style="mso-fareast-font-family:"Times New Roman""> </span></p>
<p class="MsoNormal"><span style="mso-fareast-font-family:"Times New Roman"">Week-1
outlooks call for an increased chance for above-average rainfall over Gabon,
Equatorial Guinea, Congo-Brazzaville, western DRC, southern Angola and western
Zambia. In contrast, there is an increased chance for below-average rainfall
over central and southern Tanzania, northern Malawi, northern Mozambique, and
northern Madagascar.</span></p>
<p class="MsoNormal"><span style="mso-fareast-font-family:"Times New Roman""> </span></p>
<p class="MsoNormal" style="text-indent:12pt"><span style="mso-fareast-font-family:
"Times New Roman""> </span></p>
<p class="MsoNormal"><b style="mso-bidi-font-weight:normal">Asian-Australian
Monsoons (AAMS.ppt):</b></p>
<p class="MsoNormal"> </p>
<p class="MsoNormal">For the past 90 days rainfall amounts was generally at near
normal levels across India, was a mixed pattern across the southern and east
Asia monsoon region, the Philippines and over Indonesia.<span style="mso-spacerun:yes"> </span>However, eastern China had received
excessively above normal rainfall, while Papa New Guinea and northern and
central Australia had generally received below normal rainfall, except
sporadically there were some above normal spots. For the past 30 days the
rainfall situation is very similar to the recent 90 days, except that the
rainfall deficit over the Philippines, Papa New Guinea and northern Australia
is more severe. Even southeastern China which had enjoyed above rainfall for a
while, had received slightly below normal rainfall.</p>
<p class="MsoNormal"> </p>
<p class="MsoNormal"> </p>
<p class="MsoNormal">In this past week, rainfall over the entire has generally
been below normal except over Borneo island of Indonesia. With the official end
of the boreal winter (DJF) season, and as we enter March, in the next couple of
weeks the NCEP GFS model is predicting a mixed rainfall pattern across the
region with continued less rainfall over Australia and more rainfall over parts
of Malaysia, the island of Borneo and in the second week over southeastern
China.</p>
<p class="MsoNormal"> </p>
<p class="MsoNormal"> </p>
<p class="MsoNormal"><b style="mso-bidi-font-weight:normal">South American
Monsoons (SAMS.ppt):</b></p>
<p class="MsoNormal"><b style="mso-bidi-font-weight:normal"> </b></p>
<p class="MsoNormal">Long-term rainfall deficits continue over most of<span style="mso-spacerun:yes"> </span>the Amazon Basin and Central Brazil.</p>
<p class="MsoNormal"> </p>
<p class="MsoNormal">During the last 7 days (22-28 February2016), below-average
precipitation was observed over the northwestern and eastern Amazon Basin, and
central and Northeast Brazil.<span style="mso-spacerun:yes">
</span>Above-average precipitation was observed over portions of<span style="mso-spacerun:yes"> </span>Peru, Bolivia, Paraguay and southern Brazil.</p>
<p class="MsoNormal"> </p>
<p class="MsoNormal">For<span style="mso-spacerun:yes"> </span>29 February-6
March 2016, below-average precipitation is predicted for most of Northeast
Brazil and portions of central Brazil.<span style="mso-spacerun:yes">
</span>Above-average precipitation is predicted for most of northern and
central Peru, western Brazil, northern Bolivia and Paraguay.</p>
<p class="MsoNormal"> </p>
<p class="MsoNormal"><br>
*For questions or comments, please contact: </p>
<p class="MsoNormal"><br>
<a href="mailto:Endalkachew.Bekele@noaa.gov">Endalkachew.Bekele@noaa.gov</a> (for the African monsoons)</p>
<p class="MsoNormal"><a href="mailto:Muthuvel.Chelliah@noaa.gov">Muthuvel.Chelliah@noaa.gov</a> (for Asian-Australian monsoons)</p>
<p class="MsoNormal"><a href="mailto:Vernon.Kousky@noaa.gov">Vernon.Kousky@noaa.gov</a>
(for South American monsoons)</p>
<p class="MsoNormal"><a href="mailto:Wei.Shi@noaa.gov">Wei.Shi@noaa.gov</a>
(for North American monsoon update and for general issues about the CPC Global
Monsoons products)</p>
<p class="MsoNormal"> </p>
<div><div class="gmail_signature"><div cols="72"><b>--------------------------------------------------------------------------- </b></div>
<div cols="72">Wei Shi, Ph.D </div>
<div cols="72">Meteorologist </div>
<div cols="72">Climate Prediction Center/NCEP/NWS/NOAA </div>
<div cols="72">NCWCP Room 3116</div>
<div cols="72">5830 University Research Court </div>
<div cols="72">College Park, MD 20740 </div>
<div cols="72">USA </div>
<div cols="72">Phone: (301) 683-3440 </div>
<div cols="72"><b>----------------------------------------------------------------------------</b></div></div></div>
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