[Ncep.list.emc.monsoondesk] Weekly Updates of Global Monsoon Systems

Wei Shi - NOAA Federal wei.shi at noaa.gov
Mon Feb 1 16:52:30 UTC 2016

The weekly PowerPoint presentations summarizing the recent variability of
the global monsoon systems have been updated on the CPC Global Monsoons


*African Monsoons (AFMS.ppt):*

Weekly total rainfall surpluses exceeded 100mm over portions of
southeastern Tanzania, northern Mozambique, and local areas in Botswana.

Week-1 outlooks call for an increased chance for below-average rainfall
over Equatorial Guinea, Gabon, Congo Brazzaville, portions of DRC, Rwanda,
Burundi, western Tanzania, portions of northern Angola, Zimbabwe, southern
Malawi, northeastern South Africa, central and southern Mozambique, and
Madagascar. In contrast, there is an increased chance for above-average
rainfall over portions of southern Angola, northern Namibia, much of
Zambia, northern Malawi, southern Tanzania, and northern Mozambique.

*Asian-Australian Monsoons (AAMS.ppt):*

For the past 90 days rainfall amounts have a mixed pattern over many parts
of India, across the southern and east Asia monsoon region, the Philippines
and over Indonesia.  However, eastern China had received excessively above
normal rainfall, while Papa New Guinea and northern Australia had received
below normal rainfall. For the past 30 days the rainfall situation is very
similar to the recent 90 days, except that the rainfall deficit over the
Philippines, eastern Indonesia, Papa New Guinea and northern Australia is
more severe.

In this past week, rainfall over the entire region a mixed bag, with more
rainfall over southeastern China, near to above normal rainfall over
western and eastern Australia, and generally below normal rainfall over
northern Australia and the south east Asian countries in between.  In the
next couple of weeks, the NCEP GFS model is predicting below normal
rainfall over southeastern China for the first time in a few months, below
normal rainfall over western Australia and mixed pattern over southeast
Asian countries.

*South American Monsoons (SAMS.ppt):*

Recent rains reduced long-term deficits over Central Brazil.

During the last 7 days (25-31 January 2016), below-average precipitation
was observed over the central and western Amazon Basin, northern Bolivia
and Uruguay.  Above-average precipitation was observed over portions of
Central and Northeast Brazil, Paraguay and northern Argentina.

For 1-7 February 2016, below-average precipitation is predicted for central
and extreme southern Brazil, Uruguay and northeastern Argentina.
Above-average precipitation is predicted for Peru, portions of Bolivia,
Paraguay and northern Northeast Brazil.

*For questions or comments, please contact:

Endalkachew.Bekele at noaa.gov (for the African monsoons)

Muthuvel.Chelliah at noaa.gov (for Asian-Australian monsoons)

Vernon.Kousky at noaa.gov (for South American monsoons)

Wei.Shi at noaa.gov  (for North American monsoon update and for general issues
about the CPC Global Monsoons products)
Wei Shi, Ph.D
Climate Prediction Center/NCEP/NWS/NOAA
NCWCP  Room 3116
5830 University Research Court
College Park, MD 20740
Phone: (301) 683-3440
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