<div dir="ltr">
<p class="MsoNormal">The weekly PowerPoint presentations summarizing the recent
variability of the global monsoon systems have been updated on the CPC Global
Monsoons website: <br>
<a href="http://www.cpc.ncep.noaa.gov/products/Global_Monsoons/Global-Monsoon.shtml">http://www.cpc.ncep.noaa.gov/products/Global_Monsoons/Global-Monsoon.shtml</a>
<br>
<br>
<b style="mso-bidi-font-weight:normal">HIGHLIGHTS:</b></p>
<p class="MsoNormal"><b style="mso-bidi-font-weight:normal"> </b></p>
<p class="MsoNormal"><b style="mso-bidi-font-weight:normal">African Monsoons (AFMS.ppt):</b></p>
<p class="MsoNormal" style="text-indent:12pt"><b style="mso-bidi-font-weight:
normal"> </b></p><span style="mso-fareast-font-family:
"Times New Roman"">Weekly total rainfall surpluses exceeded 100mm over portions
of southeastern Tanzania, northern Mozambique, and local areas in Botswana.</span>
<p class="MsoNormal" style="text-indent:12pt"><span style="mso-fareast-font-family:
"Times New Roman""> </span></p><span style="mso-fareast-font-family:
"Times New Roman"">Week-1 outlooks call for an increased chance for
below-average rainfall over Equatorial Guinea, Gabon, Congo Brazzaville,
portions of DRC, Rwanda, Burundi, western Tanzania, portions of northern
Angola, Zimbabwe, southern Malawi, northeastern South Africa, central and
southern Mozambique, and Madagascar. In contrast, there is an increased chance
for above-average rainfall over portions of southern Angola, northern Namibia,
much of Zambia, northern Malawi, southern Tanzania, and northern Mozambique.</span>
<p class="MsoNormal" style="text-indent:12pt"><span style="mso-fareast-font-family:
"Times New Roman""> </span></p>
<p class="MsoNormal" style="text-indent:12pt"><b style="mso-bidi-font-weight:
normal"> </b></p>
<p class="MsoNormal"><b style="mso-bidi-font-weight:normal">Asian-Australian
Monsoons (AAMS.ppt):</b></p>
<p class="MsoNormal"> </p>
<p class="MsoNormal">For the past 90 days rainfall amounts have a mixed pattern
over many parts of India, across the southern and east Asia monsoon region, the
Philippines and over Indonesia.<span style="mso-spacerun:yes"> </span>However,
eastern China had received excessively above normal rainfall, while Papa New
Guinea and northern Australia had received below normal rainfall. For the past
30 days the rainfall situation is very similar to the recent 90 days, except
that the rainfall deficit over the Philippines, eastern Indonesia, Papa New
Guinea and northern Australia is more severe.</p>
<p class="MsoNormal"> </p>
<p class="MsoNormal">In this past week, rainfall over the entire region a mixed
bag, with more rainfall over southeastern China, near to above normal rainfall
over western and eastern Australia, and generally below normal rainfall over
northern Australia and the south east Asian countries in between.<span style="mso-spacerun:yes"> </span>In the next couple of weeks, the NCEP GFS
model is predicting below normal rainfall over southeastern China for the first
time in a few months, below normal rainfall over western Australia and mixed
pattern over southeast Asian countries.
</p><p class="MsoNormal"> </p>
<p class="MsoNormal"> </p>
<p class="MsoNormal"><b style="mso-bidi-font-weight:normal">South American
Monsoons (SAMS.ppt):</b></p>
<p class="MsoNormal"><b style="mso-bidi-font-weight:normal"> </b></p>
<p class="MsoNormal">Recent rains reduced long-term deficits over Central Brazil.</p>
<p class="MsoNormal"> </p>
<p class="MsoNormal">During the last 7 days (25-31 January 2016), below-average precipitation
was observed over the central and western Amazon Basin, northern Bolivia and
Uruguay.<span style="mso-spacerun:yes"> </span>Above-average precipitation was
observed over portions of Central and Northeast Brazil, Paraguay and northern
Argentina.</p>
<p class="MsoNormal"> </p>
<p class="MsoNormal">For 1-7 February 2016, below-average precipitation is
predicted for central and extreme southern Brazil, Uruguay and northeastern
Argentina. Above-average precipitation is predicted for Peru, portions of
Bolivia, Paraguay and northern Northeast Brazil.</p>
<p class="MsoNormal"> </p>
<p class="MsoNormal"><br>
*For questions or comments, please contact: </p>
<p class="MsoNormal"><br>
<a href="mailto:Endalkachew.Bekele@noaa.gov">Endalkachew.Bekele@noaa.gov</a> (for the African monsoons)</p>
<p class="MsoNormal"><a href="mailto:Muthuvel.Chelliah@noaa.gov">Muthuvel.Chelliah@noaa.gov</a> (for Asian-Australian monsoons)</p>
<p class="MsoNormal"><a href="mailto:Vernon.Kousky@noaa.gov">Vernon.Kousky@noaa.gov</a>
(for South American monsoons)</p>
<p class="MsoNormal"><a href="mailto:Wei.Shi@noaa.gov">Wei.Shi@noaa.gov</a>
(for North American monsoon update and for general issues about the CPC Global
Monsoons products)</p>
<div><div class="gmail_signature"><div cols="72"><b>--------------------------------------------------------------------------- </b></div>
<div cols="72">Wei Shi, Ph.D </div>
<div cols="72">Meteorologist </div>
<div cols="72">Climate Prediction Center/NCEP/NWS/NOAA </div>
<div cols="72">NCWCP Room 3116</div>
<div cols="72">5830 University Research Court </div>
<div cols="72">College Park, MD 20740 </div>
<div cols="72">USA </div>
<div cols="72">Phone: (301) 683-3440 </div>
<div cols="72"><b>----------------------------------------------------------------------------</b></div></div></div>
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