[Ncep.list.emc.monsoondesk] Weekly Updates of Global Monsoon Systems

Wei Shi - NOAA Federal wei.shi at noaa.gov
Mon Aug 8 17:02:24 UTC 2016

The weekly PowerPoint presentations summarizing the recent variability of
the global monsoon systems have been updated on the CPC Global Monsoons


*African Monsoons:*

Above-average rainfall was observed over portions of the Gulf of Guinea the
Greater Horn of countries, while rainfall was below-average over parts of
Senegal, western Mali, and parts of Nigeria and Chad.

Week-1 outlooks call for an increased chance for above-average rainfall
over eastern Senegal, Guinea, central and southern Mali, Burkina Faso,
western Niger, northwestern Nigeria, Eritrea and western Ethiopia.

*Asian-Australian Monsoons:*

For the past 90 days rainfall amounts are showing a mixed pattern over the
monsoon region with slightly deficient conditions over parts of central
western India, particularly the state of Gujarat,  and central eastern
India, Thailand, Laos, and Cambodia, and parts of Papua New Guinea, but
above normal elsewhere particularly the Indonesian archipelago. For the
past 30 days the rainfall situation was also a mixed pattern with deficient
rainfall over Gujarat and central eastern India, southern and northeastern
China and Japan. Elsewhere, rainfall was at generally at near normal or
above normal levels.

In this past week, monsoon rainfall was generally below normal over
northern and southern India, far northeastern China and Japan. According to
the India Met. Dept. (IMD), as of today, for the 2016 monsoon season so
far, since the 1st of June, the monsoon rainfall has been near normal  by
about +3 % across the country.   In the next couple of weeks the NCEP GFS
model is generally  predicting below normal rainfall for much of the
monsoon region.

*North American Monsoons:*

Below-average rainfall has been observed over northwestern Mexico during
the past week.

Rainfall accumulations over the past 30 days were below-average over
northern Mexico.

NCEP/GFS Forecasts call for above-average precipitation for southwestern
U.S. /northwestern Mexico during 08-14 August, 2016.

*South American Monsoons:*

The annual summary for the 2015-2016 South American Monsoon wet season is
available on the CPC website at:


*For questions or comments, please contact:

Endalkachew.Bekele at noaa.gov (for the African monsoons)

Muthuvel.Chelliah at noaa.gov  (for Asian-Australian monsoons)

Wei.Shi at noaa.gov  (for American monsoons and for general issues about the
CPC Global Monsoons products)
Wei Shi, Ph.D
Climate Prediction Center/NCEP/NWS/NOAA
NCWCP  Room 3116
5830 University Research Court
College Park, MD 20740
Phone: (301) 683-3440
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