[Ncep.list.emc.monsoondesk] Weekly Updates of Global Monsoon Systems

[Wei Shi - NOAA Federal]

The weekly PowerPoint presentations summarizing the recent variability of
the global monsoon systems have been updated on the CPC Global Monsoons
website:

http://www.cpc.ncep.noaa.gov/products/Global_Monsoons/Global-Monsoon.shtml



*HIGHLIGHTS:*





*African Monsoons:*



Weekly total rainfall surpluses exceeded 100mm over western Guinea-Conakry
and Sierra Leone.



Week-1 outlooks call for an increased chance for above-average rainfall
over northern Nigeria, southern Chad, portions of South Sudan and northern
South Sudan Republic, Ethiopia and Eritrea. In contrast, there is an
increased chance for below-average rainfall over portions of southern
Mauritania, Senegal and northern DRC.





*Asian-Australian Monsoons:*



For the past 90 days rainfall amounts are showing a mixed pattern over the
monsoon region with slightly deficient conditions over parts of central
western, particularly the state of Gujarat,  and central eastern India,
Thailand, Laos, and Cambodia, and parts of Papua New Guinea, but above
normal elsewhere. Eastern China near and west of Shanghai had received much
above normal rainfall. For the past 30 days the rainfall situation was
deficient over Gujarat and central eastern India, southern and northeastern
China and Japan. Elsewhere, rainfall was at generally at near normal or
above normal levels. Parts of eastern China recoreded above normal
rainfall.



In this past week, monsoon rainfall was generally below normal over east
central India, and across entire eastern China. According to the India Met.
Dept. (IMD), as of today, for the 2016 monsoon season so far (June+July)
the monsoon rainfall has been near normal  by about +1 % across the country.
In the next couple of weeks the NCEP GFS model is predicting above normal
over parts of northern and central India and eastern China. Elsewhere the
model predicts above normal rainfall. Typhoon Nida is threatening immediate
landfall over southern China.





 *North American Monsoons:*



Above-average rainfall has been observed over northern Mexico during the
past week while precipitation over southwestern US was near-average.



Rainfall accumulations over the past 30 days were below-average over
eastern-central and southern Mexico, as well as large portions of New
Mexico.



NCEP/GFS Forecasts call for above-average precipitation for southwestern
U.S. during the next week.





*South American Monsoons:*



The annual summary for the 2015-2016 South American Monsoon wet season is
available on the CPC website at:



http://www.cpc.ncep.noaa.gov/products/Global_Monsoons/American_Monsoons/
sams_weekly_update/Archive/Annual-Summary/




*For questions or comments, please contact:


Endalkachew.Bekele at noaa.gov (for the African monsoons)



Muthuvel.Chelliah at noaa.gov  (for Asian-Australian monsoons)



Wei.Shi at noaa.gov  (for American monsoons and for general issues about the
CPC Global Monsoons products)
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   *
Wei Shi, Ph.D
Meteorologist
Climate Prediction Center/NCEP/NWS/NOAA
NCWCP  Room 3116
5830 University Research Court
College Park, MD 20740
USA
Phone: (301) 683-3440
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