<div dir="ltr">
<p class="MsoNormal">The weekly PowerPoint presentations summarizing the recent
variability of the global monsoon systems have been updated on the CPC Global
Monsoons website:</p>
<p class="MsoNormal"><a href="http://www.cpc.ncep.noaa.gov/products/Global_Monsoons/Global-Monsoon.shtml">http://www.cpc.ncep.noaa.gov/products/Global_Monsoons/Global-Monsoon.shtml</a></p>
<p class="MsoNormal"> </p>
<p class="MsoNormal"><b>HIGHLIGHTS:</b></p>
<p class="MsoNormal"> </p>
<p class="MsoNormal"><span style="mso-spacerun:yes"> </span></p>
<p class="MsoNormal"><b style="mso-bidi-font-weight:normal">African Monsoons:</b></p>
<p class="MsoNormal"> </p>
<p class="MsoNormal"><span style="mso-spacerun:yes"></span>Weekly total rainfall surpluses exceeded 100mm over western
Guinea-Conakry and Sierra Leone.
</p><p class="MsoNormal"> </p>
<p class="MsoNormal">Week-1 outlooks call for an increased chance for
above-average rainfall over northern Nigeria, southern Chad, portions of South
Sudan and northern South Sudan Republic, Ethiopia and Eritrea. In contrast,
there is an increased chance for below-average rainfall over portions of
southern Mauritania, Senegal and northern DRC.</p>
<p class="MsoNormal"><span style="mso-spacerun:yes"> </span></p>
<p class="MsoNormal"> </p>
<p class="MsoNormal"><b style="mso-bidi-font-weight:normal">Asian-Australian
Monsoons:</b></p>
<p class="MsoNormal"> </p>
<p class="MsoNormal"><span style="mso-spacerun:yes"></span>For the past 90 days rainfall amounts are showing a mixed
pattern over the monsoon region with slightly deficient conditions over parts
of central western, particularly the state of Gujarat,<span style="mso-spacerun:yes"> </span>and central eastern India, Thailand, Laos,
and Cambodia, and parts of Papua New Guinea, but above normal elsewhere.
Eastern China near and west of Shanghai had received much above normal
rainfall. For the past 30 days the rainfall situation was deficient over
Gujarat and central eastern India, southern and northeastern China and Japan.
Elsewhere, rainfall was at generally at near normal or above normal levels.
Parts of eastern China recoreded above normal rainfall.
</p><p class="MsoNormal"> </p>
<p class="MsoNormal">In this past week, monsoon rainfall was generally below
normal over east central India, and across entire eastern China. According to
the India Met. Dept. (IMD), as of today, for the 2016 monsoon season so far
(June+July) the monsoon rainfall has been near normal<span style="mso-spacerun:yes"> </span>by about +1 % across the country.<span style="mso-spacerun:yes"> </span>In the next couple of weeks the NCEP GFS
model is predicting above normal over parts of northern and central India and
eastern China. Elsewhere the model predicts above normal rainfall. Typhoon Nida
is threatening immediate landfall over southern China.</p>
<p class="MsoNormal"><span style="mso-spacerun:yes"> </span></p>
<p class="MsoNormal"> </p>
<p class="MsoNormal"><span style="mso-spacerun:yes"> </span><b style="mso-bidi-font-weight:
normal">North American Monsoons:</b></p>
<p class="MsoNormal"> </p>
<p class="MsoNormal"><span style="mso-spacerun:yes"></span>Above-average rainfall has been observed over northern
Mexico during the past week while precipitation over southwestern US was
near-average.
</p><p class="MsoNormal"> </p>
<p class="MsoNormal">Rainfall accumulations over the past 30 days were
below-average over eastern-central and southern Mexico, as well as large
portions of New Mexico.</p>
<p class="MsoNormal"> </p>
<p class="MsoNormal">NCEP/GFS Forecasts call for above-average precipitation for
southwestern U.S. during the next week. </p>
<p class="MsoNormal"> </p>
<p class="MsoNormal"><span style="mso-spacerun:yes"> </span></p>
<p class="MsoNormal"><b style="mso-bidi-font-weight:normal">South American
Monsoons:</b>
</p><p class="MsoNormal"> </p>
<p class="MsoNormal">The annual summary for the 2015-2016 South American Monsoon
wet season is available on the CPC website at:</p>
<p class="MsoNormal"> </p>
<p class="MsoNormal"><a href="http://www.cpc.ncep.noaa.gov/products/Global_Monsoons/American_Monsoons/">http://www.cpc.ncep.noaa.gov/products/Global_Monsoons/American_Monsoons/</a>sams_weekly_update/Archive/Annual-Summary/</p><p class="MsoNormal"><br></p>
<p class="MsoNormal">*For questions or comments, please contact:</p>
<p class="MsoNormal"> </p><a href="mailto:Endalkachew.Bekele@noaa.gov">Endalkachew.Bekele@noaa.gov</a> (for the African monsoons)
<p class="MsoNormal"> </p>
<p class="MsoNormal"><a href="mailto:Muthuvel.Chelliah@noaa.gov">Muthuvel.Chelliah@noaa.gov</a><span style="mso-spacerun:yes">
</span>(for Asian-Australian monsoons)</p>
<p class="MsoNormal"> </p>
<p class="MsoNormal"><a href="mailto:Wei.Shi@noaa.gov">Wei.Shi@noaa.gov</a><span style="mso-spacerun:yes"> </span>(for
American monsoons and for general issues about the CPC Global Monsoons
products)</p>
<div><div class="gmail_signature" data-smartmail="gmail_signature"><div cols="72"><b>--------------------------------------------------------------------------- </b></div>
<div cols="72">Wei Shi, Ph.D </div>
<div cols="72">Meteorologist </div>
<div cols="72">Climate Prediction Center/NCEP/NWS/NOAA </div>
<div cols="72">NCWCP Room 3116</div>
<div cols="72">5830 University Research Court </div>
<div cols="72">College Park, MD 20740 </div>
<div cols="72">USA </div>
<div cols="72">Phone: (301) 683-3440 </div>
<div cols="72"><b>----------------------------------------------------------------------------</b></div></div></div>
</div>