[Ncep.list.emc.monsoondesk] Weekly Updates of Global Monsoon Systems

[Wei Shi - NOAA Federal]

The weekly PowerPoint presentations summarizing the recent variability of
the global monsoon systems have been updated on the CPC Global Monsoons
website:
http://www.cpc.ncep.noaa.gov/products/Global_Monsoons/Global-Monsoon.shtml

*HIGHLIGHTS:*



*African Monsoons:*



Weekly rainfall surpluses exceeded 50mm over coastal Cote d’Ivoire and
Ghana, eastern Chad, western and southern Sudan, northern South Sudan, and
local areas in DRC, Tanzania and Kenya.



Week-1 outlooks call for an increased chance for above-average rainfall
over northeastern Cote d’Ivoire, Ghana, Togo, Benin, Nigeria, western and
northern Cameroon, eastern Chad, western and southern Sudan, South Sudan,
southwestern Ethiopia, northeastern DRC, Uganda, and western Kenya. In
contrast, there is an increased chance for below-average rainfall over
Equatorial Guinea, Gabon, portions of Congo, and western and central DRC.





*Asian-Australian Monsoons:*



For the past 90 days, below normal rainfall deficits dominated large parts
of southern peninsular India, Korea, Japan, Thailand, Malaysia, southern
Philippines, and Papua New Guinea,  and almost all of Australia,
particularly coastal north western regions. Elsewhere, the rainfall amounts
received were mixed. For the past 30 days the rainfall amounts received
were quite mixed, and particularly deficient over southern China bordering
Burma and north eastward.



In this past week, over almost the whole region, the rainfall amounts
received were quite mixed. The summer southwest monsoon rainfall onset over
southwest India, along Kerala coast is June 6, as forecast by the India
Met. Dept.(IMD). For the next two weeks, the NCEP GFS model forecasts a
mixed precipitation across the region and mostly a dry pattern across
central India and China.



*South American Monsoons:*



South American Monsoons are currently inactive.







*For questions or comments, please contact:


Endalkachew.Bekele at noaa.gov  (for the African monsoons)

Muthuvel.Chelliah at noaa.gov  (for Asian-Australian monsoons)

Wei.Shi at noaa.gov  (for American monsoons and for general issues about the
CPC Global Monsoons products)
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   *
Wei Shi, Ph.D
Meteorologist
Climate Prediction Center/NCEP/NWS/NOAA
NCWCP  Room 3116
5830 University Research Court
College Park, MD 20740
USA
Phone: (301) 683-3440
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