[Ncep.list.emc.monsoondesk] Weekly Updates of Global Monsoon Systems

[Wei Shi - NOAA Federal]

The weekly PowerPoint presentations summarizing the recent variability of
the global monsoon systems have been updated on the CPC Global Monsoons
website:
http://www.cpc.ncep.noaa.gov/products/Global_Monsoons/Global-Monsoon.shtml

*HIGHLIGHTS:*



*African Monsoons:*



Rainfall was above-average over portions of Central and East Africa, while
suppressed rainfall continued to prevail across many places in Southern
Africa.



Week-1 outlooks call for an increased chance for above-average rainfall
over much of Sierra Leone and Liberia, and portions of Ethiopia and
southern Tanzania. In contrast, there is an increased chance for
below-average rainfall over eastern Angola, western Zambia, northern
Botswana, western Zimbabwe, southeastern South Sudan, northern Uganda, much
of Kenya, northern Tanzania, and parts of southern Somalia.





*Asian-Australian Monsoons:*



For the past 90 days, below normal rainfall deficits  dominated deep
southern coastal peninsular India, Korea, Japan, Malaysia, parts of New
Guinea island of Indonesia and Papua New Guinea,  and almost all of
Australia, particularly north western regions. Elsewhere, the rainfall
amounts received were at normal to slightly above normal levels,
particularly in southeastern China, Kashmir India, parts of the Middle
East, and Indonesia. Large below normal deficits dominated almost all of
Australia, especially northwestern Australia with severe deficits. For the
past 30 days, slightly above normal rainfall fell over the Middle East,
southeast China and parts of Indonesia. Elsewhere it is below normal to
near normal.



In this past week, eastern Australia received some heavy rainfall, which
some relief to the dry conditions here. The NCEP GFS model’s forecasts are
not available this week.







*South American Monsoons:*



Long-term rainfall deficits are present over the Amazon Basin and the
Brazilian Plateau.



During the last 7 days, below-average precipitation was observed over much
of southern Brazil, Uruguay, eastern Argentina, southern Chile, Paraguay,
northern Bolivia, western Ecuador and eastern Colombia.  Above-average
precipitation was observed over portions of eastern and northwestern
Brazil, northern Peru and central Colombia.





*For questions or comments, please contact:


Endalkachew.Bekele at noaa.gov  (for the African monsoons)

Muthuvel.Chelliah at noaa.gov  (for Asian-Australian monsoons)
Wei.Shi at noaa.gov  (for American monsoons and for general issues about the
CPC Global Monsoons products)
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   *
Wei Shi, Ph.D
Meteorologist
Climate Prediction Center/NCEP/NWS/NOAA
NCWCP  Room 3116
5830 University Research Court
College Park, MD 20740
USA
Phone: (301) 683-3440
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