[Ncep.list.emc.monsoondesk] Weekly Updates of Global Monsoon Systems

Wei Shi - NOAA Federal wei.shi at noaa.gov
Mon Mar 28 16:00:41 UTC 2016

The weekly PowerPoint presentations summarizing the recent variability of
the global monsoon systems have been updated on the CPC Global Monsoons


*African Monsoons (AFMS.ppt):*

Above-average rainfall was observed over many places in the Gulf of Guinea
and Southeastern Africa countries, whereas suppressed rainfall prevailed
over southern Gabon, southern Congo-Brazzaville and Angola.

Week-1 outlooks call for an increased chance for below-average rainfall
over portions of southern Gabon, southern Congo-Brazzaville, southwestern
DRC, and northwestern Angola. In contrast, there is an increased chance for
above-average rainfall over portions of southeastern DRC, eastern Zambia,
northern Malawi, much of Tanzania, and portions of northern Mozambique.

*Asian-Australian Monsoons (AAMS.ppt):*

For the past 90 days rainfall amounts was generally at near normal levels
across India, large parts of China, but a  mixed pattern across the
southern and east Asia monsoon region, the Philippines and over
Indonesia.  However,
coastal southeastern China and western half of Borneo Island had received
excessively above normal rainfall, while Papua New Guinea and northern and
central Australia had generally received below normal rainfall, except
sporadically there were some above normal spots.  For the past 30 days the
rainfall situation was generally deficient over the whole region,
particularly over northwestern Australia. The exception is over northern
Queensland, over  southwestern Borneo island where the rainfall is at above
normal levels.

In this past week, slightly above normal rainfall conditions existed over
southwestern Indonesia, southeastern China, and southwestern Australia. In
the next couple of weeks the NCEP GFS model is predicting slightly above
normal rainfall conditions over parts of northeast India, Bangladesh,
western Indonesia some parts of Australia including northern Queensland.

*South American Monsoons (SAMS.ppt):*

Recent rainfall has reduced long-term rainfall deficits  over central

During the last 7 days (21-28  March 2016), below-average precipitation was
observed over  the eastern Amazon Basin,  most of Northeast Brazil, and
central Argentina.  Above-average precipitation was observed over northern
Bolivia, Paraguay and southern Brazil.

For  28 March -3 April 2016, below-average precipitation is predicted for
most of central and Northeast Brazil.  Above-average precipitation is
predicted for most of the Amazon Basin, northern Peru and eastern Ecuador.

*For questions or comments, please contact:

Endalkachew.Bekele at noaa.gov (for the African monsoons)

Muthuvel.Chelliah at noaa.gov (for Asian-Australian monsoons)

Vernon.Kousky at noaa.gov (for South American monsoons)

Wei.Shi at noaa.gov  (for North American monsoon update and for general issues
about the CPC Global Monsoons products)
Wei Shi, Ph.D
Climate Prediction Center/NCEP/NWS/NOAA
NCWCP  Room 3116
5830 University Research Court
College Park, MD 20740
Phone: (301) 683-3440
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