[Ncep.list.emc.monsoondesk] Weekly Updates of Global Monsoon Systems

Wei Shi - NOAA Federal wei.shi at noaa.gov
Mon Mar 21 15:56:59 UTC 2016

The weekly PowerPoint presentations summarizing the recent variability of
the global monsoon systems have been updated on the CPC Global Monsoons


*African Monsoons (AFMS.ppt):*

Suppressed rainfall prevailed across many places in East Africa, whereas
portions of Southern Africa continued to receive above-average rainfall.

Week-1 outlooks call for an increased chance for below-average rainfall
over central and southern Angola, portions of northern Namibia and western
Zambia. In contrast, there is an increased chance for above-average
rainfall over southern Tanzania, southeastern DRC, eastern Zambia, eastern
Zimbabwe, Malawi, central and northern Mozambique, the Comoros Islands and
portions of western Madagascar.

*Asian-Australian Monsoons (AAMS.ppt):*

For the past 90 days rainfall amounts was generally at near normal levels
across India (seasonal rainfall is almost nonexistent here), large parts of
China, was a mixed pattern across the southern and east Asia monsoon
region, the Philippines and over Indonesia.  However, coastal southeastern
China and western half of Borneo island had received excessively above
normal rainfall, while Papua New Guinea and northern and central Australia
had generally received below normal rainfall, except sporadically there
were some above normal spots. For the past 30 days the rainfall situation
was generally deficient over the whole region, particularly over central
Australia. The exception is the western and southern portions of Borneo
island where the rainfall is at above normal levels.

In this past week, slightly above normal rainfall continued over Pakistan,
far northern India, eastern China, and over Queensland was also slightly
above normal. In the next couple of weeks the NCEP GFS model is predicting
return of slightly above normal rainfall over the whole region,
particularly in the second week.

*South American Monsoons (SAMS.ppt):*

Recent rainfall has reduced long-term rainfall deficits over central Brazil.

During the last 7 days (14-20 March 2016), below-average precipitation was
observed over Bolivia, Paraguay, and most of Northeast, central and
southern Brazil.  Above-average precipitation was observed over northern
Peru and eastern Ecuador.

For 21-27 March 2016, above-average precipitation is predicted for western
and southern Brazil, northern Peru, eastern Ecuador, northern Bolivia and
Paraguay. Below-average precipitation is predicted for, northern and
northeastern Brazil, central and northeastern Argentina and Uruguay.

*For questions or comments, please contact:

Endalkachew.Bekele at noaa.gov (for the African monsoons)

Muthuvel.Chelliah at noaa.gov (for Asian-Australian monsoons)

Vernon.Kousky at noaa.gov (for South American monsoons)

Wei.Shi at noaa.gov  (for North American monsoon update and for general issues
about the CPC Global Monsoons products)
Wei Shi, Ph.D
Climate Prediction Center/NCEP/NWS/NOAA
NCWCP  Room 3116
5830 University Research Court
College Park, MD 20740
Phone: (301) 683-3440
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