[Ncep.list.emc.monsoondesk] Weekly Updates of Global Monsoon Systems

Wei Shi - NOAA Federal wei.shi at noaa.gov
Mon Jul 25 15:24:48 UTC 2016

The weekly PowerPoint presentations summarizing the recent variability of
the global monsoon systems have been updated on the CPC Global Monsoons


*African Monsoons:*

Above-average rainfall was observed over many places of West and Central
Africa countries.  Moderate to heavy rainfall also sustained moisture
surpluses across portions of Sudan and Ethiopia.

Week-1 outlooks call for an increased chance for above-average rainfall
over much of Guinea-Conakry, Sierra Leone, Liberia, western Cote d'Ivoire,
southern and eastern Sudan, much of Eritrea, and portions of Ethiopia and
South Sudan.

*Asian-Australian Monsoons:*

For the past 90 days rainfall amounts are showing a mixed pattern over the
monsoon region with slightly deficient conditions over parts of central
western, particularly the state of Gujarat,  and central eastern India,
Thailand, Laos, and Cambodia, and parts of Papua New Guinea, but above
normal elsewhere. Eastern China west of Shanghai had received much above
normal rainfall. For the past 30 days the rainfall situation was deficient
over Gujarat and central eastern India, southern and northeastern China and
Japan. Elsewhere, rainfall was at generally at near normal or above normal
levels. Central eastern China near the Anhui province had received
above  normal
rainfall which caused excessive flooding in that region earlier in this

In this past week, monsoon rainfall was generally below normal across
central India, southern and eastern China. According to the India Met.
Dept. (IMD), as of today, the monsoon rainfall has been near normal  by
about -1 % across the country. In the next couple of weeks the NCEP GFS
model is predicting slightly above normal over central and northern India
and across southeast Asian countries, and below normal elsewhere
particularly over southcentral and western central China.

*North American Monsoons:*

Below-average rainfall has been observed over eastern New Mexico and
northwestern Mexico during the past week.

Rainfall accumulations over the past 30 days were below-average over
eastern-central and southern Mexico.

NCEP/GFS Forecasts call for near-average precipitation for southwestern
U.S. during the next two weeks

*South American Monsoons:*

The annual summary for the 2015-2016 South American Monsoon wet season is
available on the CPC website at:


*For questions or comments, please contact:

Endalkachew.Bekele at noaa.gov (for the African monsoons)

Muthuvel.Chelliah at noaa.gov  (for Asian-Australian monsoons)

Wei.Shi at noaa.gov  (for American monsoons and for general issues about the
CPC Global Monsoons products)
Wei Shi, Ph.D
Climate Prediction Center/NCEP/NWS/NOAA
NCWCP  Room 3116
5830 University Research Court
College Park, MD 20740
Phone: (301) 683-3440
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