[Ncep.nhc.nco_contacts] TSB Morning Rounds - Fri May 28, 2016
Christopher Mello - NOAA Federal
christopher.mello at noaa.gov
Fri May 27 12:56:16 UTC 2016
Here is today's summary of NHC computer operations:
An early season tropical cyclone will likely keep NHC busy this weekend.
Once TAFB changed to mixed case, the TWDAT update script started dropping
the line "Based on XXXX UTC surface analysis and ..." that comes after the
header and area descriptor. Chris will investigate .
145z TAFB fix did import correctly, but the SAB fix did not. TSB will
The TAFB Dvorak fix for AL91 at 26/2345Z did not import automatically, but
the 2045Z fix came in OK. Monica fixed the import of the CTCX model tracker
into the ATCF. You'll also now see this aid (CTCI/CTC2) in the intensity
forecast dialog box in the ATCF.
The RII in the GFS version of SHIPS has not been running for most of AL91
due to a missing IR predictor. It has been running in the ECMWF version
though. Mark will investigate.
The fairly large variations in some of the predictors that Todd mentioned
is most likely due to the forecast track moving through environments with
strong gradients of shear and other parameters.
HSU currently gives a high chance of tropical cyclone development to occur
east of Florida before it tracks towards the SE USA coast over the weekend.
National Hurricane Center
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