<div dir="ltr"><p class="MsoNormal" style="margin:0in 0in 0.0001pt;font-size:12pt;font-family:"Times New Roman",serif">The weekly PowerPoint presentations summarizing the recent
variability of the global monsoon systems have been updated on the CPC Global
Monsoons website: <br>
<a href="http://www.cpc.ncep.noaa.gov/products/Global_Monsoons/Global-Monsoon.shtml" style="color:blue">http://www.cpc.ncep.noaa.gov/products/Global_Monsoons/Global-Monsoon.shtml</a>
<br>
<br>
<b>HIGHLIGHTS:</b></p>
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<p class="MsoNormal" style="margin:0in 0in 0.0001pt;font-size:12pt;font-family:"Times New Roman",serif"><b>African Monsoons:</b></p>
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<p class="MsoNormal" style="margin:0in 0in 0.0001pt;font-size:12pt;font-family:"Times New Roman",serif">Weekly
rainfall surpluses exceeded 100mm over local areas Nigeria, Tanzania and Kenya.</p>
<p class="MsoNormal" style="margin:0in 0in 0.0001pt;font-size:12pt;font-family:"Times New Roman",serif"> </p>
<p class="MsoNormal" style="margin:0in 0in 0.0001pt;font-size:12pt;font-family:"Times New Roman",serif">Week-1
outlooks call for an increased chance for above-average rainfall over Sierra
Leone, Liberia, southeastern Guinea, Cote d’Ivoire, southern Ghana, southern
Togo, southern Benin, southern Nigeria, western and southern Cameroon,
Equatorial Guinea, Gabon, southwestern Congo. Outlooks also call for
above-average rainfall over northeastern DRC, western Uganda, western Rwanda,
southern Ethiopia, northeastern Kenya, southern Somalia, and southern Botswana
and northern South Africa. In contrast, there is an increased chance for
below-average rainfall over southern DRC, and much of Zambia.</p>
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<p class="MsoNormal" style="margin:0in 0in 0.0001pt;font-size:12pt;font-family:"Times New Roman",serif"><b>Asian-Australian
Monsoons:</b></p>
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<p class="MsoNormal" style="margin:0in 0in 0.0001pt;font-size:12pt;font-family:"Times New Roman",serif">For the past 90 days, the rainfall pattern was overall near
to above normal over India, Bangladesh, Burma, Japan, and many South China Sea
countries except Thailand. Rainfall was less
than normal over central eastern
China, Malaysia, Indonesia, Papua New Guinea, New Zealand, and
southeastern Australia. For the past 30 days,
since the end of summer monsoon, India slightly received above normal
rainfall along the Western Ghats region and the land near the northern Bay of Bengal. Elsewhere, the
rainfall is generally below normal, except over parts of Indonesia and central
China and in Japan. </p>
<p class="MsoNormal" style="margin:0in 0in 0.0001pt;font-size:12pt;font-family:"Times New Roman",serif"> </p>
<p class="MsoNormal" style="margin:0in 0in 0.0001pt;font-size:12pt;font-family:"Times New Roman",serif">In this past week, rainfall over peninsular India is
especially in central eastern areas is above normal, while the rest of south
east Asia suffered from below normal rainfall.
The northeast winter monsoon for southern India combined with the
Tropical cyclone/storm season in the Bay of Bengal is Oct-Dec months. Since the
first of October, thru today, rainfall over the whole of India is 41% above
normal, according to the India Met. Dept. Recall that the 2019 southwest summer
monsoon (Jun-Sep) that just ended was also overall a relatively good monsoon
for the Indian subcontinent. For the next two weeks, the NCEP GFS model
forecasts mixed rainfall pattern over the whole region, with below normal
rainfall over southern India, and slightly above normal rainfall over
southeastern China in the second week.</p>
<p class="MsoNormal" style="margin:0in 0in 0.0001pt;font-size:12pt;font-family:"Times New Roman",serif"> </p>
<p class="MsoNormal" style="margin:0in 0in 0.0001pt;font-size:12pt;font-family:"Times New Roman",serif"> </p>
<p class="MsoNormal" style="margin:0in 0in 0.0001pt;font-size:12pt;font-family:"Times New Roman",serif"><b>South American
Monsoons:</b></p>
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<p class="MsoNormal" style="margin:0in 0in 0.0001pt;font-size:12pt;font-family:"Times New Roman",serif">Not available for this week</p>
<p class="MsoNormal" style="margin:0in 0in 0.0001pt;font-size:12pt;font-family:"Times New Roman",serif"> </p>
<p class="MsoNormal" style="margin:0in 0in 0.0001pt;font-size:12pt;font-family:"Times New Roman",serif"> </p>
<p class="MsoNormal" style="margin:0in 0in 0.0001pt;font-size:12pt;font-family:"Times New Roman",serif">*For questions or comments, please contact: </p>
<p class="MsoNormal" style="margin:0in 0in 0.0001pt;font-size:12pt;font-family:"Times New Roman",serif"><br>
<a href="mailto:Endalkachew.Bekele@noaa.gov" style="color:blue">Endalkachew.Bekele@noaa.gov</a> (for the African monsoons)</p>
<p class="MsoNormal" style="margin:0in 0in 0.0001pt;font-size:12pt;font-family:"Times New Roman",serif"><a href="mailto:Muthuvel.Chelliah@noaa.gov" style="color:blue">Muthuvel.Chelliah@noaa.gov</a>
(for Asian-Australian monsoons)</p>
<p class="MsoNormal" style="margin:0in 0in 0.0001pt;font-size:12pt;font-family:"Times New Roman",serif"><a href="mailto:Wei.Shi@noaa.gov" style="color:blue">Wei.Shi@noaa.gov</a>
(for American monsoons and for general issues about the CPC Global Monsoons
products)</p><div><div dir="ltr" class="gmail_signature" data-smartmail="gmail_signature"><div cols="72"><strong>--------------------------------------------------------------------------- </strong></div>
<div cols="72">Wei Shi, Ph.D </div>
<div cols="72">Meteorologist </div>
<div cols="72">Climate Prediction Center/NCEP/NWS/NOAA </div>
<div cols="72">NCWCP Room 3116</div>
<div cols="72">5830 University Research Court </div>
<div cols="72">College Park, MD 20740 </div>
<div cols="72">USA </div>
<div cols="72">Phone: (301) 683-3440 </div>
<div cols="72"><strong>----------------------------------------------------------------------------</strong></div></div></div></div>