<div dir="ltr"><p class="MsoNormal" style="margin:0in 0in 0.0001pt;font-size:12pt;font-family:"Times New Roman",serif">The weekly PowerPoint presentations summarizing the recent
variability of the global monsoon systems have been updated on the CPC Global
Monsoons website: <br>
<a href="http://www.cpc.ncep.noaa.gov/products/Global_Monsoons/Global-Monsoon.shtml" style="color:blue">http://www.cpc.ncep.noaa.gov/products/Global_Monsoons/Global-Monsoon.shtml</a>
<br>
<br>
<b>HIGHLIGHTS:</b></p>
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<p class="MsoNormal" style="margin:0in 0in 0.0001pt;font-size:12pt;font-family:"Times New Roman",serif"><b>African Monsoons:</b></p>
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<p class="MsoNormal" style="margin:0in 0in 0.0001pt;font-size:12pt;font-family:"Times New Roman",serif">Weekly
rainfall surpluses exceeded 100mm over many parts of Ethiopia. Rainfall
surpluses in excess of 100mm were also observed over parts of Sierra Leone and
Liberia, southern Nigeria, local areas in Sudan, eastern Kenya and parts of
Somalia.</p>
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<p class="MsoNormal" style="margin:0in 0in 0.0001pt;font-size:12pt;font-family:"Times New Roman",serif">Week-1
outlooks call for an increased chance for above-average rainfall across much of
the Gulf of Guinea countries, and portions of Congo, northern Angola, DRC, and southern Ethiopia.</p>
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<p class="MsoNormal" style="margin:0in 0in 0.0001pt;font-size:12pt;font-family:"Times New Roman",serif"><b>Asian-Australian
Monsoons:</b></p>
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<p class="MsoNormal" style="margin:0in 0in 0.0001pt;font-size:12pt;font-family:"Times New Roman",serif">For the past 90 days, the rainfall pattern was overall near
to above normal over India, Bangladesh, Burma, and South China Sea countries,
but less than normal over China, Malaysia, Indonesia, Papua New Guinea, New
Zealand, and southeastern Australia. For the past 30 days, much of India except
northern India, received above normal rainfall. Elsewhere, much of the whole
region received below normal rainfall, except South Korea.</p>
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<p class="MsoNormal" style="margin:0in 0in 0.0001pt;font-size:12pt;font-family:"Times New Roman",serif">In this past week, as the summer southwest monsoon season
has officially come to an end in India, the rainfall over the whole monsoon
region is at near or below normal levels. The northeast winter monsoon
(Oct-Dev) is about to start. For the
next two weeks, the NCEP GFS model forecasts slightly above normal rainfall
over southern India and parts of Indonesia. Elsewhere, below normal rainfall is
forecast, except over parts of Indonesian islands.<br>
<br>
</p>
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<p class="MsoNormal" style="margin:0in 0in 0.0001pt;font-size:12pt;font-family:"Times New Roman",serif"><b>South American
Monsoons:</b></p>
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<p class="MsoNormal" style="margin:0in 0in 0.0001pt;font-size:12pt;font-family:"Times New Roman",serif">During the last 7 days, below-average precipitation was
observed over portions of northwestern and southern Brazil, central Argentina,
southern Chile and northern Colombia.
Above-average precipitation was observed over much of the extreme
southern Brazil, Uruguay and central Colombia.</p>
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<p class="MsoNormal" style="margin:0in 0in 0.0001pt;font-size:12pt;font-family:"Times New Roman",serif">For 07 - 13 October 2019, NCEP/GFS forecasts call for below-average
precipitation over portions of the central and southern Brazil, southern Chile,
Paraguay, Bolivia, southern Peru and northwestern Colombia. Above-average
precipitation is predicted for portions of Uruguay, northern Peru and southern
Colombia.</p>
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<p class="MsoNormal" style="margin:0in 0in 0.0001pt;font-size:12pt;font-family:"Times New Roman",serif">*For questions or comments, please contact: </p>
<p class="MsoNormal" style="margin:0in 0in 0.0001pt;font-size:12pt;font-family:"Times New Roman",serif"><br>
<a href="mailto:Endalkachew.Bekele@noaa.gov" style="color:blue">Endalkachew.Bekele@noaa.gov</a> (for the African monsoons)</p>
<p class="MsoNormal" style="margin:0in 0in 0.0001pt;font-size:12pt;font-family:"Times New Roman",serif"><a href="mailto:Muthuvel.Chelliah@noaa.gov" style="color:blue">Muthuvel.Chelliah@noaa.gov</a>
(for Asian-Australian monsoons)</p>
<p class="MsoNormal" style="margin:0in 0in 0.0001pt;font-size:12pt;font-family:"Times New Roman",serif"><a href="mailto:Wei.Shi@noaa.gov" style="color:blue">Wei.Shi@noaa.gov</a>
(for American monsoons and for general issues about the CPC Global Monsoons
products)</p>
<p class="MsoNormal" style="margin:0in 0in 0.0001pt;font-size:12pt;font-family:"Times New Roman",serif"> </p><div><div dir="ltr" class="gmail_signature" data-smartmail="gmail_signature"><div cols="72"><strong>--------------------------------------------------------------------------- </strong></div>
<div cols="72">Wei Shi, Ph.D </div>
<div cols="72">Meteorologist </div>
<div cols="72">Climate Prediction Center/NCEP/NWS/NOAA </div>
<div cols="72">NCWCP Room 3116</div>
<div cols="72">5830 University Research Court </div>
<div cols="72">College Park, MD 20740 </div>
<div cols="72">USA </div>
<div cols="72">Phone: (301) 683-3440 </div>
<div cols="72"><strong>----------------------------------------------------------------------------</strong></div></div></div></div>