<div dir="ltr"><p class="MsoNormal" style="margin:0in 0in 0.0001pt;font-size:12pt;font-family:"Times New Roman",serif">The weekly PowerPoint presentations summarizing the recent
variability of the global monsoon systems have been updated on the CPC Global
Monsoons website: <br>
<a href="http://www.cpc.ncep.noaa.gov/products/Global_Monsoons/Global-Monsoon.shtml" style="color:blue">http://www.cpc.ncep.noaa.gov/products/Global_Monsoons/Global-Monsoon.shtml</a>
<br>
<br>
<b>HIGHLIGHTS:</b></p>
<p class="MsoNormal" style="margin:0in 0in 0.0001pt;font-size:12pt;font-family:"Times New Roman",serif"><b> </b></p>
<p class="MsoNormal" style="margin:0in 0in 0.0001pt;font-size:12pt;font-family:"Times New Roman",serif"><b>African Monsoons:</b></p>
<p class="MsoNormal" style="margin:0in 0in 0.0001pt;font-size:12pt;font-family:"Times New Roman",serif"> </p>
<p class="MsoNormal" style="margin:0in 0in 0.0001pt;font-size:12pt;font-family:"Times New Roman",serif">Weekly
rainfall surpluses exceeded 100mm over parts of southern Nigeria.</p>
<p class="MsoNormal" style="margin:0in 0in 0.0001pt;font-size:12pt;font-family:"Times New Roman",serif"> </p>
<p class="MsoNormal" style="margin:0in 0in 0.0001pt;font-size:12pt;font-family:"Times New Roman",serif">Week-1
outlooks call for an increased chance for below-average rainfall over much of
Senegal, southwestern Mali and Guinea-Bissau. In contrast, there is an
increased chance for above-average rainfall over many places in the Gulf of
Guinea and Central Africa countries, and portions of Sudan and Ethiopia.</p>
<p class="MsoNormal" style="margin:0in 0in 0.0001pt;font-size:12pt;font-family:"Times New Roman",serif"><b> </b></p>
<p class="MsoNormal" style="margin:0in 0in 0.0001pt;font-size:12pt;font-family:"Times New Roman",serif"><b>Asian-Australian
Monsoons:</b></p>
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<p class="MsoNormal" style="margin:0in 0in 0.0001pt;font-size:12pt;font-family:"Times New Roman",serif">For the past 90 days, the rainfall pattern was overall above
normal between 10 N and 30 N. South of 10N, the rainfall received has been
below normal, especially over the Indonesian archipelago. Even though it is not
quite the main rainfall season so far for Australia, southeastern Australia
also received less than normal rainfall. Central eastern China also received
less rainfall than normal. For the past 30 days, much of India except northern
India, received above normal rainfall. Elsewhere, the whole region received
below normal rainfall except south China Sea countries Vietnam, Cambodia, Burma
which received more rainfall. </p>
<p class="MsoNormal" style="margin:0in 0in 0.0001pt;font-size:12pt;font-family:"Times New Roman",serif"> </p>
<p class="MsoNormal" style="margin:0in 0in 0.0001pt;font-size:12pt;font-family:"Times New Roman",serif">In this past week, regions west of 100E received more
rainfall than normal and regions east of 100E received less than normal
rainfall. As of today since the first of June, the India Met. Dept. reported
that the overall All India Monsson Rainfall index was slightly above normal
(+10%). The 2019 southwest Indian summer monsoon officially ends today. For
deep southern peninsular India, the northeast winter monsoon (Oct-Dec) is
expected to start soon, and a near normal season is forecast for the season by
South Asian Climate Outlook Forum(SASCOF). For the next two weeks, the NCEP GFS
model forecasts slightly above normal rainfall over southern and eastern India,
less rainfall over central and western India, and generally below normal over
southeast Asia except for parts of Indonesia and southern China.<br>
<br>
</p>
<p class="MsoNormal" style="margin:0in 0in 0.0001pt;font-size:12pt;font-family:"Times New Roman",serif"> </p>
<p class="MsoNormal" style="margin:0in 0in 0.0001pt;font-size:12pt;font-family:"Times New Roman",serif"><b>South American
Monsoons:</b></p>
<p class="MsoNormal" style="margin:0in 0in 0.0001pt;font-size:12pt;font-family:"Times New Roman",serif"> </p>
<p class="MsoNormal" style="margin:0in 0in 0.0001pt;font-size:12pt;font-family:"Times New Roman",serif">During the last 7 days, below-average precipitation was
observed over portions of northwestern and the extreme southern Brazil,
Uruguay, northeastern Argentina, southern Chile, southern Paraguay, Bolivia and
southern Colombia. Above-average
precipitation was observed over small portions of northwestern and southeastern
Brazil, as well as northeastern Peru and northern Colombia.</p>
<p class="MsoNormal" style="margin:0in 0in 0.0001pt;font-size:12pt;font-family:"Times New Roman",serif"> </p>
<p class="MsoNormal" style="margin:0in 0in 0.0001pt;font-size:12pt;font-family:"Times New Roman",serif">For 30 September – 06 October 2019, below-average
precipitation is predicted over portions of the far northern South America as well
as southern Brazil and southern Chile. Above-average precipitation is predicted
for portions of the extreme southern Brazil, Uruguay, Paraguay, northern
Bolivia, central Peru and southern Colombia.</p>
<p class="MsoNormal" style="margin:0in 0in 0.0001pt;font-size:12pt;font-family:"Times New Roman",serif"> </p>
<p class="MsoNormal" style="margin:0in 0in 0.0001pt;font-size:12pt;font-family:"Times New Roman",serif"> </p>
<p class="MsoNormal" style="margin:0in 0in 0.0001pt;font-size:12pt;font-family:"Times New Roman",serif">*For questions or comments, please contact: </p>
<p class="MsoNormal" style="margin:0in 0in 0.0001pt;font-size:12pt;font-family:"Times New Roman",serif"><br>
<a href="mailto:Endalkachew.Bekele@noaa.gov" style="color:blue">Endalkachew.Bekele@noaa.gov</a> (for the African monsoons)</p>
<p class="MsoNormal" style="margin:0in 0in 0.0001pt;font-size:12pt;font-family:"Times New Roman",serif"><a href="mailto:Muthuvel.Chelliah@noaa.gov" style="color:blue">Muthuvel.Chelliah@noaa.gov</a>
(for Asian-Australian monsoons)</p>
<p class="MsoNormal" style="margin:0in 0in 0.0001pt;font-size:12pt;font-family:"Times New Roman",serif"><a href="mailto:Wei.Shi@noaa.gov" style="color:blue">Wei.Shi@noaa.gov</a>
(for American monsoons and for general issues about the CPC Global Monsoons
products)</p><div><div dir="ltr" class="gmail_signature" data-smartmail="gmail_signature"><div cols="72"><strong>--------------------------------------------------------------------------- </strong></div>
<div cols="72">Wei Shi, Ph.D </div>
<div cols="72">Meteorologist </div>
<div cols="72">Climate Prediction Center/NCEP/NWS/NOAA </div>
<div cols="72">NCWCP Room 3116</div>
<div cols="72">5830 University Research Court </div>
<div cols="72">College Park, MD 20740 </div>
<div cols="72">USA </div>
<div cols="72">Phone: (301) 683-3440 </div>
<div cols="72"><strong>----------------------------------------------------------------------------</strong></div></div></div></div>