<div dir="ltr"><p class="MsoNormal" style="margin:0in 0in 0.0001pt;font-size:12pt;font-family:"Times New Roman",serif">The weekly PowerPoint presentations summarizing the recent
variability of the global monsoon systems have been updated on the CPC Global
Monsoons website: <br>
<a href="http://www.cpc.ncep.noaa.gov/products/Global_Monsoons/Global-Monsoon.shtml" style="color:blue">http://www.cpc.ncep.noaa.gov/products/Global_Monsoons/Global-Monsoon.shtml</a>
<br>
<br>
<b>HIGHLIGHTS:</b></p>
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<p class="MsoNormal" style="margin:0in 0in 0.0001pt;font-size:12pt;font-family:"Times New Roman",serif"><b>African Monsoons:</b></p>
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<p class="MsoNormal" style="margin:0in 0in 0.0001pt;font-size:12pt;font-family:"Times New Roman",serif">Moisture
surpluses of over 100 mm were observed over the eastern part of Liberia,
southwestern Côte d’Ivoire, southern Nigeria, western and northern Cameroon,
southeastern Sudan, central Uganda, central Kenya and northeastern Madagascar.</p>
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<p class="MsoNormal" style="margin:0in 0in 0.0001pt;font-size:12pt;font-family:"Times New Roman",serif">Week-1
outlook shows an increased chance for above average rainfall over parts of
southern Mali, southern Niger, southern Nigeria, southern Chad, parts of
Uganda, South Sudan, western Kenya, northeastern DRC and southwestern Ethiopia.</p>
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<p class="MsoNormal" style="margin:0in 0in 0.0001pt;font-size:12pt;font-family:"Times New Roman",serif"><b>Asian-Australian
Monsoons:</b></p>
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<p class="MsoNormal" style="margin:0in 0in 0.0001pt;font-size:12pt;font-family:"Times New Roman",serif">For the past 90 days, below normal rainfall deficits dominated all over India, Korea, Japan,
Thailand, and Papua New Guinea. In fact,
the rainfall over the whole region has been deficient for the past 90 days,
except in a few limited regions. For the past 30 days the rainfall amounts
received were quite across India, by as much as 32 % below normal over much of
India, and southern China bordering Burma and north eastward. However,
southeastern China received above normal rainfall, as well as large parts of
Indonesia.</p>
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<p class="MsoNormal" style="margin:0in 0in 0.0001pt;font-size:12pt;font-family:"Times New Roman",serif">In this past week, over almost the whole region, the
rainfall amounts continued to be below normal, especially eastern central
India. Due the delayed and now highly deficient southwest summer monsoon
rainfall over India, large parts of India are suffering rom scorching heat and
much below normal rainfall, bordering on drought conditions. Major populated
cities such as Chennai in southern India continue to suffer from drinking
water. For the next two weeks, the NCEP
GFS model forecasts continued below normal rainfall for large parts of India,
but northeast India, Burma & vicinity, and southeastern China is expected
to get more rainfall than normal.</p>
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<p class="MsoNormal" style="margin:0in 0in 0.0001pt;font-size:12pt;font-family:"Times New Roman",serif"> </p>
<p class="MsoNormal" style="margin:0in 0in 0.0001pt;font-size:12pt;font-family:"Times New Roman",serif"><b>North American
Monsoons:</b></p>
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<p class="MsoNormal" style="margin:0in 0in 0.0001pt;font-size:12pt;font-family:"Times New Roman",serif">Below-average rainfall has been observed over much of
northwestern and southern Mexico during the past week. </p>
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<p class="MsoNormal" style="margin:0in 0in 0.0001pt;font-size:12pt;font-family:"Times New Roman",serif">Rainfall accumulations over the past 30 days were
below-average for much of the west coast of Mexico.</p>
<p class="MsoNormal" style="margin:0in 0in 0.0001pt;font-size:12pt;font-family:"Times New Roman",serif"> </p>
<p class="MsoNormal" style="margin:0in 0in 0.0001pt;font-size:12pt;font-family:"Times New Roman",serif">NCEP/GFS Forecasts call for near-average precipitation for
northwestern Mexico and southwestern US during the next two weeks.</p>
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<p class="MsoNormal" style="margin:0in 0in 0.0001pt;font-size:12pt;font-family:"Times New Roman",serif"> </p>
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<p class="MsoNormal" style="margin:0in 0in 0.0001pt;font-size:12pt;font-family:"Times New Roman",serif">*For questions or comments, please contact: </p>
<p class="MsoNormal" style="margin:0in 0in 0.0001pt;font-size:12pt;font-family:"Times New Roman",serif"><br>
<a href="mailto:Endalkachew.Bekele@noaa.gov" style="color:blue">Endalkachew.Bekele@noaa.gov</a> (for the African monsoons)</p>
<p class="MsoNormal" style="margin:0in 0in 0.0001pt;font-size:12pt;font-family:"Times New Roman",serif"><a href="mailto:Muthuvel.Chelliah@noaa.gov" style="color:blue">Muthuvel.Chelliah@noaa.gov</a>
(for Asian-Australian monsoons)</p>
<p class="MsoNormal" style="margin:0in 0in 0.0001pt;font-size:12pt;font-family:"Times New Roman",serif"><a href="mailto:Wei.Shi@noaa.gov" style="color:blue">Wei.Shi@noaa.gov</a>
(for American monsoons and for general issues about the CPC Global Monsoons
products)</p><div><div dir="ltr" class="gmail_signature" data-smartmail="gmail_signature"><div cols="72"><strong>--------------------------------------------------------------------------- </strong></div>
<div cols="72">Wei Shi, Ph.D </div>
<div cols="72">Meteorologist </div>
<div cols="72">Climate Prediction Center/NCEP/NWS/NOAA </div>
<div cols="72">NCWCP Room 3116</div>
<div cols="72">5830 University Research Court </div>
<div cols="72">College Park, MD 20740 </div>
<div cols="72">USA </div>
<div cols="72">Phone: (301) 683-3440 </div>
<div cols="72"><strong>----------------------------------------------------------------------------</strong></div></div></div></div>