<div dir="ltr"><div class="gmail_default" style="font-family:verdana,sans-serif;font-size:small"><div dir="ltr" style="font-family:Arial,Helvetica,sans-serif"><p class="MsoNormal" style="margin:0in 0in 0.0001pt;font-size:12pt;font-family:"Times New Roman",serif">The weekly PowerPoint presentations summarizing the recent variability of the global monsoon systems have been updated on the CPC Global Monsoons website: <br><a href="http://www.cpc.ncep.noaa.gov/products/Global_Monsoons/Global-Monsoon.shtml" target="_blank" style="color:blue">http://www.cpc.ncep.noaa.gov/products/Global_Monsoons/Global-Monsoon.shtml</a> <br><br><b>HIGHLIGHTS:</b></p><p class="MsoNormal" style="margin:0in 0in 0.0001pt;font-size:12pt;font-family:"Times New Roman",serif"><b> </b></p><p class="MsoNormal" style="margin:0in 0in 0.0001pt;font-size:12pt;font-family:"Times New Roman",serif"><b>African Monsoons:</b></p><p class="MsoNormal" style="margin:0in 0in 0.0001pt;font-size:12pt;font-family:"Times New Roman",serif"> <span style="font-family:Calibri,sans-serif;font-size:11pt"> </span></p>
<p class="MsoNormal" style="margin:0in 0in 0.0001pt;line-height:150%;background-image:initial;background-position:initial;background-size:initial;background-repeat:initial;background-origin:initial;background-clip:initial;font-size:11pt;font-family:Calibri,sans-serif">Parts of southern Tanzania, northern
Malawi, northern Mozambique and southern Madagascar experienced moisture
surpluses of over 100 mm (more than 200% of normal rainfall).</p>
<p class="MsoNormal" style="margin:0in 0in 0.0001pt;line-height:150%;background-image:initial;background-position:initial;background-size:initial;background-repeat:initial;background-origin:initial;background-clip:initial;font-size:11pt;font-family:Calibri,sans-serif"> </p>
<p class="MsoNormal" style="margin:0in 0in 0.0001pt;line-height:150%;background-image:initial;background-position:initial;background-size:initial;background-repeat:initial;background-origin:initial;background-clip:initial;font-size:11pt;font-family:Calibri,sans-serif">Week-1 outlooks call for an increased
chance for above-average rainfall over parts of northern DRC, portions of
Ethiopia, southern Tanzania, northern Malawi and parts of northern Mozambique.
In contrast, there is an increased chance for below-average rainfall over
southeastern Angola, southwestern Zambia, Botswana and parts of western
Zimbabwe.</p><p class="MsoNormal" style="margin:0in 0in 0.0001pt;font-size:12pt;font-family:"Times New Roman",serif"> </p><p class="MsoNormal" style="margin:0in 0in 0.0001pt;font-size:12pt;font-family:"Times New Roman",serif"><b>Asian-Australian Monsoons:</b></p><p class="MsoNormal" style="margin:0in 0in 0.0001pt;font-size:12pt;font-family:"Times New Roman",serif"><br></p><p class="MsoNormal" style="margin:0in 0in 10pt;line-height:115%;font-size:11pt;font-family:Calibri,sans-serif">For the past 90 days, below normal rainfall deficits dominated deep southern coastal peninsular
India, Korea, Japan, Malaysia, large parts of New Guinea island of Indonesia
and Papua New Guinea, and almost all of
Australia, particularly north western regions. Elsewhere, the rainfall amounts
received were at normal to slightly above normal levels, particularly in
southeastern China, Kashmir India, parts of the Middle East, and Indonesia.
Large below normal deficits dominated almost all of Australia, especially northwestern
Australia with severe deficits. For the past 30 days, seasonal rainfall fell
over Kashmir, Nepal, Bangladesh, and across the Middle East in general. Large
rainfall fell over southeast China. Large parts of Australia continue to be
abnormally dry, especially in the north.</p><p class="MsoNormal" style="margin:0in 0in 0.0001pt;font-size:12pt;font-family:"Times New Roman",serif">
</p><p class="MsoNormal" style="margin:0in 0in 10pt;line-height:115%;font-size:11pt;font-family:Calibri,sans-serif">In this past week, large parts of Indonesia, Malaysia, Papua
New Guinea received below normal rainfall. Elsewhere, seasonal normal rainfall
fell across the region. In the upcoming two weeks, the NCEP GFS model forecasts
below normal over southeastern China, and above normal rainfall over parts of
eastern Australia, and near normal rainfall elsewhere.</p><p class="MsoNormal" style="margin:0in 0in 0.0001pt;font-size:12pt;font-family:"Times New Roman",serif"><br></p><p class="MsoNormal" style="margin:0in 0in 0.0001pt;font-size:12pt;font-family:"Times New Roman",serif"><br></p><p class="MsoNormal" style="margin:0in 0in 0.0001pt;font-size:12pt;font-family:"Times New Roman",serif"><b>South American Monsoons:</b></p><p class="MsoNormal" style="margin:0in 0in 0.0001pt;font-size:12pt;font-family:"Times New Roman",serif"> </p><p class="MsoNormal" style="margin:0in 0in 0.0001pt;font-size:12pt;font-family:"Times New Roman",serif">Weekly update not available this week.</p><p class="MsoNormal" style="margin:0in 0in 0.0001pt;font-size:12pt;font-family:"Times New Roman",serif"> </p><p class="MsoNormal" style="margin:0in 0in 0.0001pt;font-size:12pt;font-family:"Times New Roman",serif">*For questions or comments, please contact:</p><p class="MsoNormal" style="margin:0in 0in 0.0001pt;font-size:12pt;font-family:"Times New Roman",serif"><br><a href="mailto:Endalkachew.Bekele@noaa.gov" target="_blank" style="color:blue">Endalkachew.Bekele@noaa.gov</a> (for the African monsoons)</p><p class="MsoNormal" style="margin:0in 0in 0.0001pt;font-size:12pt;font-family:"Times New Roman",serif"><a href="mailto:Muthuvel.Chelliah@noaa.gov" target="_blank" style="color:blue">Muthuvel.Chelliah@noaa.gov</a> (for Asian-Australian monsoons)</p><p class="MsoNormal" style="margin:0in 0in 0.0001pt;font-size:12pt;font-family:"Times New Roman",serif"><a href="mailto:Wei.Shi@noaa.gov" target="_blank" style="color:blue"><span class="gmail-il">Wei</span>.<span class="gmail-il">Shi</span>@noaa.gov</a> (for American monsoons and for general issues about the CPC Global Monsoons products)</p><div><div dir="ltr" class="gmail-m_1103695633641445332gmail_signature"><div cols="72"><strong>--------------------------------------------------------------------------- </strong></div><div cols="72"><span class="gmail-il">Wei</span> <span class="gmail-il">Shi</span>, Ph.D </div><div cols="72">Meteorologist </div><div cols="72">Climate Prediction Center/NCEP/NWS/NOAA </div><div cols="72">NCWCP Room 3116</div><div cols="72">5830 University Research Court </div><div cols="72">College Park, MD 20740 </div><div cols="72">USA </div><div cols="72">Phone: (301) 683-3440 </div><div cols="72"><strong>----------------------------------------------------------------------------</strong></div></div></div></div><span style="font-family:Arial,Helvetica,sans-serif">______________________________</span><span style="font-family:Arial,Helvetica,sans-serif">_________________</span><br style="font-family:Arial,Helvetica,sans-serif"><span style="font-family:Arial,Helvetica,sans-serif">Ncep.list.cpc_afms mailing list</span><br style="font-family:Arial,Helvetica,sans-serif"><a href="mailto:Ncep.list.cpc_afms@lstsrv.ncep.noaa.gov" target="_blank" style="font-family:Arial,Helvetica,sans-serif">Ncep.list.cpc_afms@lstsrv.ncep.noaa.gov</a><br style="font-family:Arial,Helvetica,sans-serif"><a href="https://www.lstsrv.ncep.noaa.gov/mailman/listinfo/ncep.list.cpc_afms" rel="noreferrer" target="_blank" style="font-family:Arial,Helvetica,sans-serif">https://www.lstsrv.ncep.noaa.gov/mailman/listinfo/ncep.list.cpc_afms</a> <br clear="all"></div><div><div dir="ltr" class="gmail_signature" data-smartmail="gmail_signature"><div dir="ltr"><div><div><div><div><div><font face="verdana,sans-serif">------------------------------------------------</font><br></div>Dr. Muthuvel Chelliah, eMail: <a href="mailto:Muthuvel.Chelliah@noaa.gov" target="_blank">Muthuvel.Chelliah@noaa.gov</a><br></div>Rm. 3008, Climate Prediction Center, Ph: (301) 683-3393<br></div>NCEP/NWS/NOAA/U.S.Dept.of Commerce,<br></div>5830, University Research Court, NCWCP,<br></div>College Park, MD 20740<br></div></div></div></div>