<div dir="ltr"><p class="MsoNormal" style="margin:0in 0in 0.0001pt;font-size:12pt;font-family:"Times New Roman",serif">The weekly PowerPoint presentations summarizing the recent
variability of the global monsoon systems have been updated on the CPC Global
Monsoons website: <br>
<a href="http://www.cpc.ncep.noaa.gov/products/Global_Monsoons/Global-Monsoon.shtml" style="color:blue">http://www.cpc.ncep.noaa.gov/products/Global_Monsoons/Global-Monsoon.shtml</a>
<br>
<br>
<b>HIGHLIGHTS:</b></p>
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<p class="MsoNormal" style="margin:0in 0in 0.0001pt;font-size:12pt;font-family:"Times New Roman",serif"><b>African Monsoons:</b></p>
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<p class="MsoNormal" style="margin:0in 0in 0.0001pt;font-size:12pt;font-family:"Times New Roman",serif">Above-average
rainfall was observed over the far western Gulf of Guinea countries. Rainfall
was also above-average over parts of CAR and South Sudan, portions of DRC and
Ethiopia.</p>
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<p class="MsoNormal" style="margin:0in 0in 0.0001pt;font-size:12pt;font-family:"Times New Roman",serif">Suppressed
rainfall prevailed across equatorial eastern Africa.</p>
<p class="MsoNormal" style="margin:0in 0in 0.0001pt;font-size:12pt;font-family:"Times New Roman",serif"> </p>
<p class="MsoNormal" style="margin:0in 0in 0.0001pt;font-size:12pt;font-family:"Times New Roman",serif">Week-1
outlooks call for an increased chance for above-average rainfall over southern
Gabon, southern Congo-Brazzaville, western and eastern DRC, northern Angola,
southwestern Angola, Rwanda, Burundi, and parts of Ethiopia. In contrast, there
is an increased chance for below-average rainfall over southern CAR, northern
DRC, portions of South Sudan, southeastern Angola, northeastern Namibia, western
Zambia, and northern Botswana.</p>
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<p class="MsoNormal" style="margin:0in 0in 0.0001pt;font-size:12pt;font-family:"Times New Roman",serif"><b> </b></p>
<p class="MsoNormal" style="margin:0in 0in 0.0001pt;font-size:12pt;font-family:"Times New Roman",serif"><b>Asian-Australian
Monsoons:</b></p>
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<p class="MsoNormal" style="margin:0in 0in 0.0001pt;font-size:12pt;font-family:"Times New Roman",serif">For the past 90 days, below normal rainfall deficits dominated much of central and western India
extending into parts of Pakistan, a small region in interior central eastern
China, Thailand, large parts of eastern
Australia, Malaysia, the Philippines, parts of Indonesia, and Papua New
Guinea. Elsewhere, the rainfall amounts received were at normal to slightly
above normal levels, particularly in Burma, Japan, Korea, Cambodia, and
Vietnam. For the past 30 days, severe rainfall deficits are noted across large
parts of south central India, coastal central eastern China, Japan, Thailand,
Laos, Cambodia, large parts of Indonesian islands, Malaysia, the Philippines,
and New Guinea. Overall, less (than normal) rainfall fell across the region.</p>
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<p class="MsoNormal" style="margin:0in 0in 0.0001pt;font-size:12pt;font-family:"Times New Roman",serif">In this past week, rainfall amounts are generally below
normal over much of the region especially along southern and coastal eastern
India. The other monsoon over India, termed the Northeast Winter monsoon’s
(Oct-Dec) onset is much delayed this year, and finally arrived last week
according to IMD. Also according to IMD since the first of October till today,
All India Rainfall has been has been 50% below normal, but Tamilnadu, Kerala,
Odissa and Kashmir states received above normal rainfall according to IMD. In
the upcoming two weeks, the NCEP GFS model forecasts generally below normal
rainfall over almost the entire monsoon region, except over southeastern China
and in some parts of Indonesia.</p>
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<p class="MsoNormal" style="margin:0in 0in 0.0001pt;font-size:12pt;font-family:"Times New Roman",serif"> </p>
<p class="MsoNormal" style="margin:0in 0in 0.0001pt;font-size:12pt;font-family:"Times New Roman",serif"><b>South American
Monsoons:</b></p>
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<p class="MsoNormal" style="margin:0in 0in 0.0001pt;font-size:12pt;font-family:"Times New Roman",serif">Long-term rainfall deficits are present over the Amazon
Basin and the northern Brazilian Plateau.</p>
<p class="MsoNormal" style="margin:0in 0in 0.0001pt;font-size:12pt;font-family:"Times New Roman",serif"> </p>
<p class="MsoNormal" style="margin:0in 0in 0.0001pt;font-size:12pt;font-family:"Times New Roman",serif">During the last 7 days, below-average precipitation was
observed over portions of west-central and southeastern Brazil, central
Colombia, northern Bolivia and northern Argentina. Above-average precipitation
was observed over portions of the extreme southern Brazil, Paraguay, central
Argentina, southern Chile, as well as eastern Colombia. </p>
<p class="MsoNormal" style="margin:0in 0in 0.0001pt;font-size:12pt;font-family:"Times New Roman",serif"> </p>
<p class="MsoNormal" style="margin:0in 0in 0.0001pt;font-size:12pt;font-family:"Times New Roman",serif">For Days 1-7 (05 - 11 Nov 2018), below-average precipitation
is predicted for much of Venezuela, western Colombia, southern Peru, the
extreme southern Brazil, southern Paraguay and northeastern Argentina. Above-average precipitation is predicted for
portions of central and southern Brazil, southern Bolivia, northern and central
Argentina and northern Peru. </p>
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<p class="MsoNormal" style="margin:0in 0in 0.0001pt;font-size:12pt;font-family:"Times New Roman",serif"> </p>
<p class="MsoNormal" style="margin:0in 0in 0.0001pt;font-size:12pt;font-family:"Times New Roman",serif">*For questions or comments, please contact: </p>
<p class="MsoNormal" style="margin:0in 0in 0.0001pt;font-size:12pt;font-family:"Times New Roman",serif"><br>
<a href="mailto:Endalkachew.Bekele@noaa.gov">Endalkachew.Bekele@noaa.gov</a> (for the African monsoons)</p>
<p class="MsoNormal" style="margin:0in 0in 0.0001pt;font-size:12pt;font-family:"Times New Roman",serif"><a href="mailto:Muthuvel.Chelliah@noaa.gov" style="color:blue">Muthuvel.Chelliah@noaa.gov</a>
(for Asian-Australian monsoons)</p>
<p class="MsoNormal" style="margin:0in 0in 0.0001pt;font-size:12pt;font-family:"Times New Roman",serif"><a href="mailto:Wei.Shi@noaa.gov" style="color:blue">Wei.Shi@noaa.gov</a>
(for American monsoons and for general issues about the CPC Global Monsoons
products)</p><p class="MsoNormal" style="margin:0in 0in 0.0001pt;font-size:12pt;font-family:"Times New Roman",serif"><br></p><div><div dir="ltr" class="gmail_signature" data-smartmail="gmail_signature"><div cols="72"><strong>--------------------------------------------------------------------------- </strong></div>
<div cols="72">Wei Shi, Ph.D </div>
<div cols="72">Meteorologist </div>
<div cols="72">Climate Prediction Center/NCEP/NWS/NOAA </div>
<div cols="72">NCWCP Room 3116</div>
<div cols="72">5830 University Research Court </div>
<div cols="72">College Park, MD 20740 </div>
<div cols="72">USA </div>
<div cols="72">Phone: (301) 683-3440 </div>
<div cols="72"><strong>----------------------------------------------------------------------------</strong></div></div></div></div>