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<p class="MsoNormal" style="margin:0in 0in 0.0001pt;font-size:12pt;font-family:"Times New Roman",serif">The weekly PowerPoint presentations summarizing the recent
variability of the global monsoon systems have been updated on the CPC Global
Monsoons website: <br>
<a href="http://www.cpc.ncep.noaa.gov/products/Global_Monsoons/Global-Monsoon.shtml" style="color:blue;text-decoration:underline">http://www.cpc.ncep.noaa.gov/products/Global_Monsoons/Global-Monsoon.shtml</a>
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<br>
<b>HIGHLIGHTS:<span></span></b></p>
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<p class="MsoNormal" style="margin:0in 0in 0.0001pt;font-size:12pt;font-family:"Times New Roman",serif"><b>African Monsoons:<span></span></b></p>
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<p class="MsoNormal" style="margin:0in 0in 0.0001pt;font-size:12pt;font-family:"Times New Roman",serif"><span>Weekly
rainfall surpluses exceeded 100mm over portions of Cote d’Ivoire and Chad.<span></span></span></p>
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<p class="MsoNormal" style="margin:0in 0in 0.0001pt;font-size:12pt;font-family:"Times New Roman",serif"><span>Week-1
outlooks call for an increased chance for above-average rainfall over parts of
Senegal, Guinea, Sierra Leone, Mali, Burkina Faso, Cote d'Ivoire, Nigeria,
Niger, parts of CAR, northern DRC, South Sudan, Uganda, and Kenya. In contrast,
there is an increased chance for below-average rainfall over parts of
northeastern Nigeria, southeastern Niger, northern Cameroon, and western Chad.<span></span></span></p>
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<p class="MsoNormal" style="margin:0in 0in 0.0001pt;font-size:12pt;font-family:"Times New Roman",serif"><b><span> </span></b></p>
<p class="MsoNormal" style="margin:0in 0in 0.0001pt;font-size:12pt;font-family:"Times New Roman",serif"><b>Asian-Australian
Monsoons:<span></span></b></p>
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<p class="MsoNormal" style="margin:0in 0in 0.0001pt;font-size:12pt;font-family:"Times New Roman",serif">For the past 90 days, pockets of below normal rainfall
deficits remain over central eastern China,<span>
</span>Koreas, central Japan, central and southern peninsular India,
southeastern<span> </span>Australia, and Papua New
Guinea. Elsewhere, the rainfall amounts received were at normal to slightly
above normal levels, particularly along the Western Ghats, Bangladesh, Burma,
Cambodia, Laos, the Philippines, and Vietnam. For the past 30 days, rainfall
deficits are noted over much of India (except along the southern Western
Ghats), in parts of eastern central and southeastern China, Koreas, Japan,
large parts of Indonesian islands and Malaysia. Elsewhere rainfall received was
at normal to above normal levels.<span></span></p>
<p class="MsoNormal" style="margin:0in 0in 0.0001pt;font-size:12pt;font-family:"Times New Roman",serif"><span> </span></p>
<p class="MsoNormal" style="margin:0in 0in 0.0001pt;font-size:12pt;font-family:"Times New Roman",serif">In this past week, rainfall amounts are generally below
normal everywhere in the region except along the Kerala coast in southwestern
India in the Western Ghats, and there are reports of heavy mud slides, flooding
and loss of life, especially from water release from over several filled
dams.<span> </span>But large deficits occurred over
western north central India and most of Indonesia.<span> </span>According to the India Met. Dept, since the
first of June till today, All India Rainfall has been has been 6 % deficient.
In the upcoming two weeks, the NCEP GFS model forecasts slightly above normal
rainfall over central India and southeastern China, and then spotty rainfall
here and there elsewhere.<span></span></p>
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<p class="MsoNormal" style="margin:0in 0in 0.0001pt;font-size:12pt;font-family:"Times New Roman",serif"><b>North American
Monsoons:<span></span></b></p>
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<p class="MsoNormal" style="margin:0in 0in 0.0001pt;font-size:12pt;font-family:"Times New Roman",serif">Slightly above-average rainfall has been observed over
northern Arizona and northwestern Mexico during the past week. <span></span></p>
<p class="MsoNormal" style="margin:0in 0in 0.0001pt;font-size:12pt;font-family:"Times New Roman",serif"><span> </span></p>
<p class="MsoNormal" style="margin:0in 0in 0.0001pt;font-size:12pt;font-family:"Times New Roman",serif">Rainfall accumulations over the past 30 days were
below-average for much of eastern Mexico and portions of southwestern U.S. <span></span></p>
<p class="MsoNormal" style="margin:0in 0in 0.0001pt;font-size:12pt;font-family:"Times New Roman",serif"><span> </span></p>
<p class="MsoNormal" style="margin:0in 0in 0.0001pt;font-size:12pt;font-family:"Times New Roman",serif">NCEP/GFS Forecasts call for near-average precipitation for
Arizona but below-average for New Mexico and much of northern Mexico during 27
August – 02 September, 2018.<span></span></p>
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<p class="MsoNormal" style="margin:0in 0in 0.0001pt;font-size:12pt;font-family:"Times New Roman",serif"><span> </span></p>
<p class="MsoNormal" style="margin:0in 0in 0.0001pt;font-size:12pt;font-family:"Times New Roman",serif">*For questions or comments, please contact: <span></span></p>
<p class="MsoNormal" style="margin:0in 0in 0.0001pt;font-size:12pt;font-family:"Times New Roman",serif"><br>
<a href="mailto:Endalkachew.Bekele@noaa.gov">Endalkachew.Bekele@noaa.gov</a> (for the African monsoons)<span></span></p>
<p class="MsoNormal" style="margin:0in 0in 0.0001pt;font-size:12pt;font-family:"Times New Roman",serif"><a href="mailto:Muthuvel.Chelliah@noaa.gov" style="color:blue;text-decoration:underline">Muthuvel.Chelliah@noaa.gov</a>
<span> </span>(for Asian-Australian monsoons)<span></span></p>
<p class="MsoNormal" style="margin:0in 0in 0.0001pt;font-size:12pt;font-family:"Times New Roman",serif"><a href="mailto:Wei.Shi@noaa.gov" style="color:blue;text-decoration:underline">Wei.Shi@noaa.gov</a>
(for American monsoons and for general issues about the CPC Global Monsoons
products)<span></span></p>
<br clear="all"><div><div class="gmail_signature" data-smartmail="gmail_signature"><div cols="72"><strong>--------------------------------------------------------------------------- </strong></div>
<div cols="72">Wei Shi, Ph.D </div>
<div cols="72">Meteorologist </div>
<div cols="72">Climate Prediction Center/NCEP/NWS/NOAA </div>
<div cols="72">NCWCP Room 3116</div>
<div cols="72">5830 University Research Court </div>
<div cols="72">College Park, MD 20740 </div>
<div cols="72">USA </div>
<div cols="72">Phone: (301) 683-3440 </div>
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