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<p class="MsoNormal" style="margin:0in 0in 0.0001pt;font-size:12pt;font-family:"Times New Roman",serif">The weekly PowerPoint presentations summarizing the recent
variability of the global monsoon systems have been updated on the CPC Global
Monsoons website: <br>
<a href="http://www.cpc.ncep.noaa.gov/products/Global_Monsoons/Global-Monsoon.shtml" style="color:blue;text-decoration:underline">http://www.cpc.ncep.noaa.gov/products/Global_Monsoons/Global-Monsoon.shtml</a>
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<br>
<b>HIGHLIGHTS:<span></span></b></p>
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<p class="MsoNormal" style="margin:0in 0in 0.0001pt;font-size:12pt;font-family:"Times New Roman",serif"><b>African Monsoons:<span></span></b></p>
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<p class="MsoNormal" style="margin:0in 0in 0.0001pt;font-size:12pt;font-family:"Times New Roman",serif"><span>Weekly
rainfall surpluses exceeded 100mm over western Guinea-Conakry, and parts of
Sierra Leone and Mali.<span></span></span></p>
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<p class="MsoNormal" style="margin:0in 0in 0.0001pt;font-size:12pt;font-family:"Times New Roman",serif"><span>Week-1
outlooks call for an increased chance for above-average rainfall over parts of
Senegal, Guinea-Conakry, Sierra Leone, Mali, Burkina Faso, Cote d'Ivoire,
Ghana, Togo, Benin, Nigeria, Niger, and parts of eastern Chad, northern CAR,
northern South Sudan and Sudan. In contrast, there is an increased chance for
below-average rainfall over parts of CAR, northern Congo, northern DRC and
South Sudan.<span></span></span></p>
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<p class="MsoNormal" style="margin:0in 0in 0.0001pt;font-size:12pt;font-family:"Times New Roman",serif"><b><span> </span></b></p>
<p class="MsoNormal" style="margin:0in 0in 0.0001pt;font-size:12pt;font-family:"Times New Roman",serif"><b>Asian-Australian
Monsoons:<span></span></b></p>
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<p class="MsoNormal" style="margin:0in 0in 0.0001pt;font-size:12pt;font-family:"Times New Roman",serif">For the past 90 days, pockets of below normal rainfall
deficits remain over south/central eastern China,<span> </span>central India, and<span> </span>over almost all of<span> </span>Australia, and Papua New Guinea. Elsewhere,
the rainfall amounts received were at normal to slightly above normal levels,
particularly along the Western Ghats, northeast India, Burma, Cambodia, Laos,
the Philippines, and Vietnam. For the past 30 days, rainfall deficits are noted
in large parts of eastern China, Koreas, Japan, peninsular central India, large
parts of Indonesian islands and Malaysia. Elsewhere rainfall received was at
normal to above normal levels.<span> </span><span></span></p>
<p class="MsoNormal" style="margin:0in 0in 0.0001pt;font-size:12pt;font-family:"Times New Roman",serif"><span> </span></p>
<p class="MsoNormal" style="margin:0in 0in 0.0001pt;font-size:12pt;font-family:"Times New Roman",serif">In this past week, rainfall amounts are generally below
normal everywhere in the region except along the Kerala coast in southwestern
India in the Western Ghats, and there are reports of heavy mud slides, flooding
and loss of life.<span> </span>But large deficits
occurred over western central India. According to the India Met. Dept, since
the first of June till today, All India Rainfall has been has been10 %
deficient. In the upcoming two weeks, the NCEP GFS model forecast<span> </span>continues to predict above normal rainfall
along the Kerala Coast, parts of northern India, Laos, Vietnam and Indonesia.<span></span></p>
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<p class="MsoNormal" style="margin:0in 0in 0.0001pt;font-size:12pt;font-family:"Times New Roman",serif"><b>North American
Monsoons:<span></span></b></p>
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<p class="MsoNormal" style="margin:0in 0in 0.0001pt;font-size:12pt;font-family:"Times New Roman",serif">Near-average rainfall has been observed over Arizona and New
Mexico during the past week. Meanwhile, portions of the northern and central
Mexico have received above-average precipitation. <span></span></p>
<p class="MsoNormal" style="margin:0in 0in 0.0001pt;font-size:12pt;font-family:"Times New Roman",serif"><span> </span></p>
<p class="MsoNormal" style="margin:0in 0in 0.0001pt;font-size:12pt;font-family:"Times New Roman",serif">Rainfall accumulations over the past 30 days were
near-average for Arizona and below-average for much of Mexico and New Mexico. <span></span></p>
<p class="MsoNormal" style="margin:0in 0in 0.0001pt;font-size:12pt;font-family:"Times New Roman",serif"><span> </span></p>
<p class="MsoNormal" style="margin:0in 0in 0.0001pt;font-size:12pt;font-family:"Times New Roman",serif">NCEP/GFS Forecasts call for near-average precipitation for
Arizona and New Mexico and above-average rainfall for northwestern Mexico for
the next two weeks.<span></span></p>
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<p class="MsoNormal" style="margin:0in 0in 0.0001pt;font-size:12pt;font-family:"Times New Roman",serif"><span> </span></p>
<p class="MsoNormal" style="margin:0in 0in 0.0001pt;font-size:12pt;font-family:"Times New Roman",serif">*For questions or comments, please contact: <span></span></p>
<p class="MsoNormal" style="margin:0in 0in 0.0001pt;font-size:12pt;font-family:"Times New Roman",serif"><br>
<a href="mailto:Endalkachew.Bekele@noaa.gov">Endalkachew.Bekele@noaa.gov</a> (for the African monsoons)<span></span></p>
<p class="MsoNormal" style="margin:0in 0in 0.0001pt;font-size:12pt;font-family:"Times New Roman",serif"><a href="mailto:Muthuvel.Chelliah@noaa.gov" style="color:blue;text-decoration:underline">Muthuvel.Chelliah@noaa.gov</a>
<span> </span>(for Asian-Australian monsoons)<span></span></p>
<p class="MsoNormal" style="margin:0in 0in 0.0001pt;font-size:12pt;font-family:"Times New Roman",serif"><a href="mailto:Wei.Shi@noaa.gov" style="color:blue;text-decoration:underline">Wei.Shi@noaa.gov</a>
(for American monsoons and for general issues about the CPC Global Monsoons
products)<span></span></p>
<br clear="all"><div><div class="gmail_signature" data-smartmail="gmail_signature"><div cols="72"><strong>--------------------------------------------------------------------------- </strong></div>
<div cols="72">Wei Shi, Ph.D </div>
<div cols="72">Meteorologist </div>
<div cols="72">Climate Prediction Center/NCEP/NWS/NOAA </div>
<div cols="72">NCWCP Room 3116</div>
<div cols="72">5830 University Research Court </div>
<div cols="72">College Park, MD 20740 </div>
<div cols="72">USA </div>
<div cols="72">Phone: (301) 683-3440 </div>
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