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<p class="MsoNormal" style="margin:0in 0in 0.0001pt;font-size:12pt;font-family:"Times New Roman",serif">The weekly PowerPoint presentations summarizing the recent
variability of the global monsoon systems have been updated on the CPC Global
Monsoons website: <br>
<a href="http://www.cpc.ncep.noaa.gov/products/Global_Monsoons/Global-Monsoon.shtml" style="color:blue;text-decoration:underline">http://www.cpc.ncep.noaa.gov/products/Global_Monsoons/Global-Monsoon.shtml</a>
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<br>
<b>HIGHLIGHTS:<span></span></b></p>
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<p class="MsoNormal" style="margin:0in 0in 0.0001pt;font-size:12pt;font-family:"Times New Roman",serif"><b>African Monsoons:<span></span></b></p>
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<p class="MsoNormal" style="margin:0in 0in 0.0001pt;font-size:12pt;font-family:"Times New Roman",serif"><span>Weekly
rainfall surpluses exceeded 100mm over portions of Guinea-Conakry, Sierra
Leone, central Ghana, local areas in Togo and Benin, western Nigeria and
northern Cameroon.<span></span></span></p>
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<p class="MsoNormal" style="margin:0in 0in 0.0001pt;font-size:12pt;font-family:"Times New Roman",serif"><span>Week-1
outlooks call for an increased chance for above-average rainfall across much of
Guinea-Conakry, southern Mali, Sierra Leone, northern Liberia, northern Cote
d'Ivoire, Burkina Faso and northern Ghana. Outlooks also call for above-average
rainfall over southern Nigeria and the neighboring areas of southern Benin and
western Cameroon, eastern Chad and western Sudan. In contrast, there is an
increased chance for below-average rainfall over northeastern DRC, southern
South Sudan, southwestern Ethiopia and northern Uganda.<span></span></span></p>
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<p class="MsoNormal" style="margin:0in 0in 0.0001pt;font-size:12pt;font-family:"Times New Roman",serif"><b>Asian-Australian
Monsoons:<span></span></b></p>
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<p class="MsoNormal" style="margin:0in 0in 0.0001pt;font-size:12pt;font-family:"Times New Roman",serif">For the past 90 days, pockets of below normal rainfall
deficits remain over southeastern China,<span>
</span>central India, and<span> </span>over almost
all of<span> </span>Australia, and Papua New Guinea.
Elsewhere, the rainfall amounts received were at normal to slightly above
normal levels, particularly along the Western Ghats, northeast India and Burma.
For the past 30 days, rainfall deficits are noted in parts of peninsular
southern India and eastern China. Elsewhere rainfall received was at normal to
above normal levels. <span></span></p>
<p class="MsoNormal" style="margin:0in 0in 0.0001pt;font-size:12pt;font-family:"Times New Roman",serif"><span> </span></p>
<p class="MsoNormal" style="margin:0in 0in 0.0001pt;font-size:12pt;font-family:"Times New Roman",serif">In this past week, rainfall amounts above normal levels
along the Western Ghats of peninsular India and in parts of north central
India, but deficient across most of eastern China, Korea, Japan, and large
parts of Malaysia and Indonesia. According to the India Met. Dept, since the first
of June till today, All India Rainfall has been almost normal with only 2 %
deficient.<span></span></p>
<p class="MsoNormal" style="margin:0in 0in 0.0001pt;font-size:12pt;font-family:"Times New Roman",serif"><span> </span></p>
<p class="MsoNormal" style="margin:0in 0in 0.0001pt;font-size:12pt;font-family:"Times New Roman",serif">In the upcoming two weeks, the NCEP GFS model forecast is
predicting more rainfall along the Western Ghats of Kerala,<span> </span>below normal rainfall over large parts of
south central India, as well as along a stretch northeastern China.<span></span></p>
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<p class="MsoNormal" style="margin:0in 0in 0.0001pt;font-size:12pt;font-family:"Times New Roman",serif"><span> </span></p>
<p class="MsoNormal" style="margin:0in 0in 0.0001pt;font-size:12pt;font-family:"Times New Roman",serif"><b>North American
Monsoons:<span></span></b></p>
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<p class="MsoNormal" style="margin:0in 0in 0.0001pt;font-size:12pt;font-family:"Times New Roman",serif">Near-average rainfall has been observed over Arizona and
western New Mexico during the past week. Meanwhile, central and southern Mexico
continued to experience drier-than-normal conditions. <span></span></p>
<p class="MsoNormal" style="margin:0in 0in 0.0001pt;font-size:12pt;font-family:"Times New Roman",serif"><span> </span></p>
<p class="MsoNormal" style="margin:0in 0in 0.0001pt;font-size:12pt;font-family:"Times New Roman",serif">Rainfall accumulations over the past 30 days were slightly
above-average for Arizona and below-average for much of Mexico and eastern New
Mexico. <span></span></p>
<p class="MsoNormal" style="margin:0in 0in 0.0001pt;font-size:12pt;font-family:"Times New Roman",serif"><span> </span></p>
<p class="MsoNormal" style="margin:0in 0in 0.0001pt;font-size:12pt;font-family:"Times New Roman",serif">NCEP/GFS Forecasts call for near-average precipitation for
southwestern U. S. and below-average precipitation for Mexico for the next two
weeks.<span></span></p>
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<p class="MsoNormal" style="margin:0in 0in 0.0001pt;font-size:12pt;font-family:"Times New Roman",serif"><span> </span></p>
<p class="MsoNormal" style="margin:0in 0in 0.0001pt;font-size:12pt;font-family:"Times New Roman",serif">*For questions or comments, please contact: <span></span></p>
<p class="MsoNormal" style="margin:0in 0in 0.0001pt;font-size:12pt;font-family:"Times New Roman",serif"><br>
<a href="mailto:Endalkachew.Bekele@noaa.gov">Endalkachew.Bekele@noaa.gov</a> (for the African monsoons)<span></span></p>
<p class="MsoNormal" style="margin:0in 0in 0.0001pt;font-size:12pt;font-family:"Times New Roman",serif"><a href="mailto:Muthuvel.Chelliah@noaa.gov" style="color:blue;text-decoration:underline">Muthuvel.Chelliah@noaa.gov</a>
<span> </span>(for Asian-Australian monsoons)<span></span></p>
<p class="MsoNormal" style="margin:0in 0in 0.0001pt;font-size:12pt;font-family:"Times New Roman",serif"><a href="mailto:Wei.Shi@noaa.gov" style="color:blue;text-decoration:underline">Wei.Shi@noaa.gov</a>
(for American monsoons and for general issues about the CPC Global Monsoons
products)<span></span></p>
<br clear="all"><div><div class="gmail_signature" data-smartmail="gmail_signature"><div cols="72"><strong>--------------------------------------------------------------------------- </strong></div>
<div cols="72">Wei Shi, Ph.D </div>
<div cols="72">Meteorologist </div>
<div cols="72">Climate Prediction Center/NCEP/NWS/NOAA </div>
<div cols="72">NCWCP Room 3116</div>
<div cols="72">5830 University Research Court </div>
<div cols="72">College Park, MD 20740 </div>
<div cols="72">USA </div>
<div cols="72">Phone: (301) 683-3440 </div>
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