<div dir="ltr"><p class="MsoNormal">The weekly PowerPoint presentations summarizing the recent
variability of the global monsoon systems have been updated on the CPC Global
Monsoons website: <br>
<a href="http://www.cpc.ncep.noaa.gov/products/Global_Monsoons/Global-Monsoon.shtml">http://www.cpc.ncep.noaa.gov/products/Global_Monsoons/Global-Monsoon.shtml</a>
<br>
<br>
<b>HIGHLIGHTS:<span></span></b></p>
<p class="MsoNormal"><b> </b></p>
<p class="MsoNormal"><b>African Monsoons:<span></span></b></p>
<p class="MsoNormal"><b> </b></p>
<p class="MsoNormal">Weekly
rainfall deficits exceeded 100mm over parts of southern Zambia, northern
Zimbabwe, central Mozambique and western Madagascar. In contrast, another week
of moderate to heavy rainfall sustained moisture surpluses over parts of
Tanzania.<span></span></p>
<p class="MsoNormal"><span> </span></p>
<p class="MsoNormal">Week-1
outlooks call for an increased chance for above-average rainfall over southern
Angola, western Zambia, eastern Botswana, Zimbabwe, and eastern South Africa.
In contrast, there is an increased chance for below-average rainfall over much
of Tanzania, eastern Zambia, Malawi, and northern Mozambique.<span></span></p>
<p class="MsoNormal"><b> </b></p>
<p class="MsoNormal"><b>Asian-Australian
Monsoons:<span></span></b></p>
<p class="MsoNormal"><span> </span></p>
<p class="MsoNormal">For the past 90 days, below normal rainfall deficits remain
in general over Iran, Afghanistan, much of central and southern India, South
Korea, Japan, Papua New Guinea, and large parts of north central and north
eastern Australia. Elsewhere else the monsoon rainfall is at normal to above
normal levels. For the past 30 days, rainfall amounts were generally at near or
slightly above normal levels across the region, except over Papua New Guinea,
southern Sumatra island, and northern and northeastern Australia where the
rainfall deficits are severe.<span></span></p>
<p class="MsoNormal"><span> </span></p>
<p class="MsoNormal">In this past week, rainfall over the region was generally
mixed, with below normal rainfall regions exceeding the other categories. Northern Australia continues to receive some
decent rainfall for a second week in a row, where there are longer term
shortfalls. Central eastern Australia continues to be dry. In the upcoming two
weeks, the NCEP GFS model predicts below normal rainfall over northcentral and
eastern Australia. Elsewhere, the predicted rainfall pattern is mixed, with
slightly above normal rainfall over parts of western Australia and Borneo
island.<span></span></p>
<p class="MsoNormal"><span> </span></p>
<p class="MsoNormal"><span> </span></p>
<p class="MsoNormal"><b>South American
Monsoons:<span></span></b></p>
<p class="MsoNormal"><span> </span></p>
<p class="MsoNormal">Long-term rainfall deficits are present over the Amazon
Basin and the Brazilian Plateau.<span></span></p>
<p class="MsoNormal"><span> </span></p>
<p class="MsoNormal">During the last 7 days, below-average precipitation was
observed over much of Brazil, Uruguay, eastern Argentina and Bolivia. Above-average precipitation was observed over
portions of the extreme southern Brazil and northern Argentina.<span></span></p>
<p class="MsoNormal"><span> </span></p>
<p class="MsoNormal">For Days 1-7 (29 Jan – 04 Feb 2018), below-average
precipitation is predicted over much of northern and south eastern South
America. Above-average precipitation is predicted for portions of central and
southern Brazil, northern Argentina and southern Bolivia.<span></span></p>
<p class="MsoNormal"><span> </span></p>
<p class="MsoNormal"><span> </span></p>
<p class="MsoNormal">*For questions or comments, please contact: <span></span></p>
<p class="MsoNormal"><br>
<a href="mailto:Endalkachew.Bekele@noaa.gov">Endalkachew.Bekele@noaa.gov</a> (for the African monsoons)<span></span></p>
<p class="MsoNormal"><a href="mailto:Muthuvel.Chelliah@noaa.gov">Muthuvel.Chelliah@noaa.gov</a>
(for Asian-Australian monsoons)<span></span></p>
<p class="MsoNormal"><a href="mailto:Wei.Shi@noaa.gov">Wei.Shi@noaa.gov</a>
(for American monsoons and for general issues about the CPC Global Monsoons
products)<span></span></p><div><div class="gmail_signature"><div cols="72"><strong>--------------------------------------------------------------------------- </strong></div>
<div cols="72">Wei Shi, Ph.D </div>
<div cols="72">Meteorologist </div>
<div cols="72">Climate Prediction Center/NCEP/NWS/NOAA </div>
<div cols="72">NCWCP Room 3116</div>
<div cols="72">5830 University Research Court </div>
<div cols="72">College Park, MD 20740 </div>
<div cols="72">USA </div>
<div cols="72">Phone: (301) 683-3440 </div>
<div cols="72"><strong>----------------------------------------------------------------------------</strong></div></div></div>
</div>