<div dir="ltr"><p class="MsoNormal">The weekly PowerPoint presentations summarizing the recent
variability of the global monsoon systems have been updated on the CPC Global
Monsoons website: <br>
<a href="http://www.cpc.ncep.noaa.gov/products/Global_Monsoons/Global-Monsoon.shtml">http://www.cpc.ncep.noaa.gov/products/Global_Monsoons/Global-Monsoon.shtml</a>
<br>
<br>
<b>HIGHLIGHTS:<span></span></b></p>
<p class="MsoNormal"><b> </b></p>
<p class="MsoNormal"><b>African Monsoons:<span></span></b></p>
<p class="MsoNormal"><b> </b></p>
<p class="MsoNormal">Weekly
rainfall surpluses exceeded 100mm over parts of Senegal, Guinea and Nigeria.<span></span></p>
<p class="MsoNormal"><span> </span></p>
<p class="MsoNormal">Week-1
outlooks call for an increased chance for below-average rainfall across
southern Mauritania, Senegal, Gambia, Guinea-Bissau, northern Guinea-Conakry,
portions of Mali, northern Cote d’Ivoire, Burkina Faso, northern Ghana,
northern Togo and northern Benin. In contrast, there is an increased chance for
above-average rainfall over eastern Nigeria, northern Cameroon, southern Chad,
northern CAR, eastern Sudan, parts of South Sudan, portions of Eritrea and
western Ethiopia.<span></span></p>
<p class="MsoNormal"><span> </span></p>
<p class="MsoNormal"><b> </b></p>
<p class="MsoNormal"><b>Asian-Australian
Monsoons:<span></span></b></p>
<p class="MsoNormal"><span> </span></p>
<p class="MsoNormal">For the past 90 days, below normal rainfall deficits remain
in general over parts of central and coastal southwestern peninsular India,
east central China, Koreas, Japan, Papua New Guinea, and large parts of
Australia. Elsewhere the monsoon rainfall is at normal to excess levels. For
the past 30 days, much below normal
rainfall deficits are noted over central India and in Papua New Guinea.
Elsewhere the rainfall amounts are normal to above normal.<span></span></p>
<p class="MsoNormal"><span> </span></p>
<p class="MsoNormal">In this past week, the observed rainfall amounts has been
deficient over east central India, and coastal southeastern China. The India Met. Dept, (IMD) is
reporting that the summer monsoon (JJAS), so far since the beginning of June,
is about 5% below the long term mean for India as a whole. The India Met. Dept,
(IMD) is reporting that the monsoon, so far since the beginning of June, is
about 4% below the long term mean for India as a whole. In the next couple of weeks the NCEP GFS
model predicts below normal rainfall along the Gangetic plains in northern
India in the first weeks, and normal to above normal rainfall amounts
everywhere in the second week.<span></span></p>
<p class="MsoNormal"><span> </span></p>
<p class="MsoNormal"><span> </span></p>
<p class="MsoNormal"><b>North American
Monsoons:<span></span></b></p>
<p class="MsoNormal"><span> </span></p>
<p class="MsoNormal">Near-average (below-average) rainfall has been observed over
southwestern U.S. (central Mexico) during the past week.<span></span></p>
<p class="MsoNormal"><span> </span></p>
<p class="MsoNormal">Rainfall accumulations over the past 30 days were
below-average for Arizona and northwestern Mexico. <span></span></p>
<p class="MsoNormal"><span> </span></p>
<p class="MsoNormal">NCEP/GFS Forecasts call for near-average precipitation for
southwestern U.S. for the next two weeks.<span></span></p>
<p class="MsoNormal"><span> </span></p>
<p class="MsoNormal"><span> </span></p>
<p class="MsoNormal">*For questions or comments, please contact: <span></span></p>
<p class="MsoNormal"><br>
<a href="mailto:Endalkachew.Bekele@noaa.gov">Endalkachew.Bekele@noaa.gov</a> (for the African monsoons)<span></span></p>
<p class="MsoNormal"><a href="mailto:Muthuvel.Chelliah@noaa.gov">Muthuvel.Chelliah@noaa.gov</a>
(for Asian-Australian monsoons)<span></span></p>
<p class="MsoNormal"><a href="mailto:Wei.Shi@noaa.gov">Wei.Shi@noaa.gov</a>
(for American monsoons and for general issues about the CPC Global Monsoons
products)<span></span></p><div><div class="gmail_signature"><div cols="72"><strong>--------------------------------------------------------------------------- </strong></div>
<div cols="72">Wei Shi, Ph.D </div>
<div cols="72">Meteorologist </div>
<div cols="72">Climate Prediction Center/NCEP/NWS/NOAA </div>
<div cols="72">NCWCP Room 3116</div>
<div cols="72">5830 University Research Court </div>
<div cols="72">College Park, MD 20740 </div>
<div cols="72">USA </div>
<div cols="72">Phone: (301) 683-3440 </div>
<div cols="72"><strong>----------------------------------------------------------------------------</strong></div></div></div>
</div>