<div dir="ltr"><p class="MsoNormal">The weekly PowerPoint presentations summarizing the recent
variability of the global monsoon systems have been updated on the CPC Global
Monsoons website: <br>
<a href="http://www.cpc.ncep.noaa.gov/products/Global_Monsoons/Global-Monsoon.shtml">http://www.cpc.ncep.noaa.gov/products/Global_Monsoons/Global-Monsoon.shtml</a>
<br>
<br>
<b>HIGHLIGHTS:<span></span></b></p>
<p class="MsoNormal"><b> </b></p>
<p class="MsoNormal"><b>African Monsoons:<span></span></b></p>
<p class="MsoNormal" style="text-indent:12pt"><b> </b></p>
<p class="MsoNormal">Weekly
rainfall totals exceeded 100mm over portions of Guinea, Sierra Leone,
southwestern Cameroon, eastern Sudan and western Ethiopia.<span></span></p>
<p class="MsoNormal"><span> </span></p>
<p class="MsoNormal">Week-1
outlooks call for an increased chance for above-average rainfall over southern
Senegal, Guinea-Bissau, Guinea, Sierra Leone, Liberia, southern Mali, western
Cote d'Ivoire, southern Benin, southern Nigeria, southwestern Cameroon,
portions of western Eritrea and Ethiopia. In contrast, there is an increased
chance for below-average rainfall over eastern CAR, southern Sudan, and
portions of South Sudan Republic.<span></span></p>
<p class="MsoNormal"><span> </span></p>
<p class="MsoNormal"><b> </b></p>
<p class="MsoNormal"><b>Asian-Australian
Monsoons:<span></span></b></p>
<p class="MsoNormal"><span> </span></p>
<p class="MsoNormal">For the past 90 days, weak-to-large below normal rainfall
deficits remain in general over parts of east central India, North/South Korea,
Japan, Papa New Guinea, and much of Australia. During same period, rainfall
excess remain over northeastern India, Bangladesh, Burma, and many southeast
Asian countries in the South China Sea area including large parts of Thailand,
Laos, Cambodia, Vietnam, the Philippines and Indonesia. For the past 30 days,
overall, below normal rainfall situation
is noted over peninsular India, north central China, southeastern Australia,
but the longer term rainfall deficits remain still remain all over Australia.
Elsewhere, the rainfall anomaly pattern is near or slightly above normal.<span></span></p>
<p class="MsoNormal"><span> </span></p>
<p class="MsoNormal">In this past week, the observed rainfall amounts has been
deficient across central India, China, Koreas, Japan and over the Philippines
and eastern Papua New Guinea. The India Met. Dept, (IMD) is reporting that the
monsoon, so far since the beginning of June, is only about 1% below the long
term mean across India as a whole. In the next couple of weeks the NCEP GFS
model is predicting below normal rainfall over northeastern India and China,
but near to above normal elsewhere across the monsoon region. As of this
writing there are no reported oceanic cyclones/storms in south and east Asia.<span></span></p>
<p class="MsoNormal"><span> </span></p>
<p class="MsoNormal"><span> </span></p>
<p class="MsoNormal"><b>North American
Monsoons:<span></span></b></p>
<p class="MsoNormal"><span> </span></p>
<p class="MsoNormal">Above-average rainfall has been observed over southern
Arizona, northwestern and central Mexico during the past week.<span></span></p>
<p class="MsoNormal"><span> </span></p>
<p class="MsoNormal">Rainfall accumulations over the past 30 days were
below-average for southern New Mexico and much of northern and central Mexico. <span></span></p>
<p class="MsoNormal"><span> </span></p>
<p class="MsoNormal">NCEP/GFS Forecasts call for above-average precipitation for
Arizona and western Mexico (along the Sierra Madre Occidental) for the next two
weeks.<span></span></p><p class="MsoNormal"><br></p><p class="MsoNormal"><br></p>
<p class="MsoNormal"><span> </span></p>
<p class="MsoNormal"><span> </span></p>
<p class="MsoNormal">*For questions or comments, please contact: <span></span></p>
<p class="MsoNormal"><br>
<a href="mailto:Endalkachew.Bekele@noaa.gov">Endalkachew.Bekele@noaa.gov</a> (for the African monsoons)<span></span></p>
<p class="MsoNormal"><a href="mailto:Muthuvel.Chelliah@noaa.gov">Muthuvel.Chelliah@noaa.gov</a>
(for Asian-Australian monsoons)<span></span></p>
<p class="MsoNormal"><a href="mailto:Wei.Shi@noaa.gov">Wei.Shi@noaa.gov</a>
(for American monsoons and for general issues about the CPC Global Monsoons
products)<span></span></p><div><div class="gmail_signature"><div cols="72"><strong>--------------------------------------------------------------------------- </strong></div>
<div cols="72">Wei Shi, Ph.D </div>
<div cols="72">Meteorologist </div>
<div cols="72">Climate Prediction Center/NCEP/NWS/NOAA </div>
<div cols="72">NCWCP Room 3116</div>
<div cols="72">5830 University Research Court </div>
<div cols="72">College Park, MD 20740 </div>
<div cols="72">USA </div>
<div cols="72">Phone: (301) 683-3440 </div>
<div cols="72"><strong>----------------------------------------------------------------------------</strong></div></div></div>
</div>