<div dir="ltr"><p class="MsoNormal">The weekly PowerPoint presentations summarizing the recent
variability of the global monsoon systems have been updated on the CPC Global
Monsoons website: <br>
<a href="http://www.cpc.ncep.noaa.gov/products/Global_Monsoons/Global-Monsoon.shtml">http://www.cpc.ncep.noaa.gov/products/Global_Monsoons/Global-Monsoon.shtml</a>
<br>
<br>
<b>HIGHLIGHTS:<span></span></b></p>
<p class="MsoNormal"><b> </b></p>
<p class="MsoNormal"><b>African Monsoons:<span></span></b></p>
<p class="MsoNormal" style="text-indent:12pt"><b> </b></p>
<p class="MsoNormal">Moderate
to locally heavy rainfall resulted in moisture surpluses over parts of Cote d’Ivoire,
CAR, northern DRC, South Sudan, portions of Ethiopia, and southern Mozambique.<span></span></p>
<p class="MsoNormal"><span> </span></p>
<p class="MsoNormal">Week-1
outlooks call for an increased chance for above-average rainfall over parts of
Guinea, Sierra Leone, Liberia, western Cote d’Ivoire, and southern Ethiopia. In
contrast, there is an increased chance for below-average rainfall over eastern
Cote d’Ivoire, southern Ghana, southern Togo, southern Benin, portions of Chad,
CAR, and South Sudan and parts of western Ethiopia.<span></span></p>
<p class="MsoNormal"><span> </span></p>
<p class="MsoNormal"><b> </b></p>
<p class="MsoNormal"><b>Asian-Australian
Monsoons:<span></span></b></p>
<p class="MsoNormal"><span> </span></p>
<p class="MsoNormal">For the past 90 days, normal to slightly below normal
rainfall deficits remain over most of
India, except over northeastern India and Bangladesh where the rainfall was
excess. Large rainfall deficits are noted over large parts of central
Australia. Elsewhere it is a mixed pattern with near normal rainfall situation
over southeast Asian countries, above normal over the Philippines, Malaysia and
Indonesia and below normal over papa New Guinea. In the longer 180days term, severe deficits
from last year remain over southern/central India and over central and
northeastern Australia. For the past 30 days
rainfall deficits are found over southeastern China, eastern Australia,
and Papa New Guinea. Elsewhere, the rainfall amounts are at near or above
normal levels, particularly it is above over north eastern India and parts of
Indonesia.<span></span></p>
<p class="MsoNormal"><span> </span></p>
<p class="MsoNormal">In this past week,, almost no rainfall fell over most of
India, but positive rainfall anomalies are noted over northeastern India.
Elsewhere the weekly rainfall amounts have generally been below normal. In its
first outlook release (Apr. 19) the India Met. Dept, stated that for the 2017
summer monsoon season(Jun-Sep) rainfall will be at 96% of the long period
average, thus implying a near normal monsoon rainfall season. In the next
couple of weeks the NCEP GFS model is predicting a mixed rainfall pattern over
south and southeast Asia, with almost little to no rainfall over India and
Australia.<span></span></p>
<p class="MsoNormal"><span> </span></p>
<p class="MsoNormal"><span> </span></p>
<p class="MsoNormal"><b>South American
Monsoons:<span></span></b></p>
<p class="MsoNormal"><span> </span></p>
<p class="MsoNormal">Long-term rainfall deficits are present over the Amazon
Basin and central Brazil.<span></span></p>
<p class="MsoNormal"><span> </span></p>
<p class="MsoNormal">During the last 7 days (24-30 Apr 2017), below-average
precipitation was observed over much of the northern South America. Above-average precipitation was observed over
portions of Peru, central Bolivia, central Argentina, as well as central and
the extreme southern Brazil.<span></span></p>
<p class="MsoNormal"><span> </span></p>
<p class="MsoNormal">For 01-07 May 2017, below-average precipitation is predicted
over central Peru, northern Argentina, Uruguay, Paraguay, the extreme southern
Brazil, as well as portions of northern and central Brazil. Above-average precipitation is predicted for
much of Colombia, Ecuador, northern Peru, central Bolivia, southern Chile, and
portions of southern Brazil.<span></span></p>
<p class="MsoNormal"><span> </span></p>
<p class="MsoNormal"><span> </span></p>
<p class="MsoNormal">*For questions or comments, please contact: <span></span></p>
<p class="MsoNormal"><br>
<a href="mailto:Endalkachew.Bekele@noaa.gov">Endalkachew.Bekele@noaa.gov</a> (for the African monsoons)<span></span></p>
<p class="MsoNormal"><a href="mailto:Muthuvel.Chelliah@noaa.gov">Muthuvel.Chelliah@noaa.gov</a>
(for Asian-Australian monsoons)<span></span></p>
<p class="MsoNormal"><a href="mailto:Wei.Shi@noaa.gov">Wei.Shi@noaa.gov</a>
(for American monsoons and for general issues about the CPC Global Monsoons
products)<span></span></p><div><div class="gmail_signature"><div cols="72"><strong>--------------------------------------------------------------------------- </strong></div>
<div cols="72">Wei Shi, Ph.D </div>
<div cols="72">Meteorologist </div>
<div cols="72">Climate Prediction Center/NCEP/NWS/NOAA </div>
<div cols="72">NCWCP Room 3116</div>
<div cols="72">5830 University Research Court </div>
<div cols="72">College Park, MD 20740 </div>
<div cols="72">USA </div>
<div cols="72">Phone: (301) 683-3440 </div>
<div cols="72"><strong>----------------------------------------------------------------------------</strong></div></div></div>
</div>