<div dir="ltr"><p class="MsoNormal">The weekly PowerPoint presentations summarizing the recent
variability of the global monsoon systems have been updated on the CPC Global
Monsoons website: <br>
<a href="http://www.cpc.ncep.noaa.gov/products/Global_Monsoons/Global-Monsoon.shtml">http://www.cpc.ncep.noaa.gov/products/Global_Monsoons/Global-Monsoon.shtml</a>
<br>
<br>
<b>HIGHLIGHTS:<span></span></b></p>
<p class="MsoNormal"><b> </b></p>
<p class="MsoNormal"><b>African Monsoons:<span></span></b></p>
<p class="MsoNormal" style="text-indent:12pt"><b> </b></p>
<p class="MsoNormal">Heavy
rainfall associated with Tropical Cyclone Enawo resulted in moisture surpluses
over many places in Madagascar.<span></span></p>
<p class="MsoNormal"><span> </span></p>
<p class="MsoNormal">Week-1
outlooks call for an increased chance for above-average rainfall over portions
of western Angola, eastern Zambia, northern Malawi, southern Tanzania and
northern Madagascar. In contrast, there is an increased chance for
below-average rainfall over portions of eastern Angola, southern DRC, western
Zambia, northeastern DRC, much of Uganda, western Kenya, southeastern South
Sudan and southwestern Ethiopia.<span></span></p>
<p class="MsoNormal"><b> </b></p>
<p class="MsoNormal"><b> </b></p>
<p class="MsoNormal"><b>Asian-Australian
Monsoons:<span></span></b></p>
<p class="MsoNormal"><span> </span></p>
<p class="MsoNormal">For the past 90 days, slight to heavy rainfall deficits
remain over parts of southeastern, eastern to northeastern parts of Australia,
as well as over Papua New Guinea and over small parts of southeastern China.
However, rainfall situation is generally better in western Australia,
particularly in the northern region. Over India, the longer term 180 days
deficits continues to stay over the southern states particularly Tamilnadu. For
the past 30 days the rainfall was above
normal over parts of southern Afghanistan, northeastern India, Bangladesh and
large part of southeast Asia, except Papua New Guinea. Large parts of northern Australia
are experiencing rainfall deficits at various levels.<span></span></p>
<p class="MsoNormal"> <span></span></p>
<p class="MsoNormal">In this past week,
the rainfall over much of the region was much below normal (particularly
far northern Australia). In the Indian Ocean, tropical cyclone Enawo dumped
heavy rains in Madagascar early in past week. Regions surrounding the far
northern Bay of Bengal also received large rainfall amounts on the east side of
+ve PVA and with associated moisture from the head Bay. In the next couple of weeks the NCEP GFS
model is predicting a mixed rainfall pattern over east Asia, with particularly
less rainfall over northern Australia in the first week and slightly more in
the second week.<span></span></p>
<p class="MsoNormal"><span> </span></p>
<p class="MsoNormal"><span> </span></p>
<p class="MsoNormal"><b>South American
Monsoons:<span></span></b></p>
<p class="MsoNormal"><span> </span></p>
<p class="MsoNormal">Long-term rainfall deficits are present over the Amazon
Basin and central Brazil.<span></span></p>
<p class="MsoNormal"><span> </span></p>
<p class="MsoNormal">During the last 7 days (06 - 12 Mar 2017), below-average
precipitation was observed over central Brazil, western Bolivia, Paraguay and
northern Argentina. Above-average
precipitation was observed over much of northern South America, Uruguay and the
extreme southern Brazil.<span></span></p>
<p class="MsoNormal"><span> </span></p>
<p class="MsoNormal">For 13 – 19 Mar 2017, below-average precipitation is
predicted over much of northwestern South America, central Brazil, southern
Bolivia, central Argentina and southern Chile.
Above-average precipitation is predicted for portions of northern and
southern Brazil, Peru, central Bolivia and Paraguay.<span></span></p>
<p class="MsoNormal"><span> </span></p>
<p class="MsoNormal"><br>
*For questions or comments, please contact: <span></span></p>
<p class="MsoNormal"><br>
<a href="mailto:Endalkachew.Bekele@noaa.gov">Endalkachew.Bekele@noaa.gov</a> (for the African monsoons)<span></span></p>
<p class="MsoNormal"><a href="mailto:Muthuvel.Chelliah@noaa.gov">Muthuvel.Chelliah@noaa.gov</a>
(for Asian-Australian monsoons)<span></span></p>
<p class="MsoNormal"><a href="mailto:Wei.Shi@noaa.gov">Wei.Shi@noaa.gov</a>
(for American monsoons and for general issues about the CPC Global Monsoons
products)<span></span></p>
<p class="MsoNormal"><span> </span></p><div><div class="gmail_signature"><div cols="72"><strong>--------------------------------------------------------------------------- </strong></div>
<div cols="72">Wei Shi, Ph.D </div>
<div cols="72">Meteorologist </div>
<div cols="72">Climate Prediction Center/NCEP/NWS/NOAA </div>
<div cols="72">NCWCP Room 3116</div>
<div cols="72">5830 University Research Court </div>
<div cols="72">College Park, MD 20740 </div>
<div cols="72">USA </div>
<div cols="72">Phone: (301) 683-3440 </div>
<div cols="72"><strong>----------------------------------------------------------------------------</strong></div></div></div>
</div>