<div dir="ltr"><p class="MsoNormal">The weekly PowerPoint presentations summarizing the recent
variability of the global monsoon systems have been updated on the CPC Global
Monsoons website: <br>
<a href="http://www.cpc.ncep.noaa.gov/products/Global_Monsoons/Global-Monsoon.shtml">http://www.cpc.ncep.noaa.gov/products/Global_Monsoons/Global-Monsoon.shtml</a>
<br>
<br>
<b>HIGHLIGHTS:<span></span></b></p>
<p class="MsoNormal"><b> </b></p>
<p class="MsoNormal"><b>African Monsoons:<span></span></b></p>
<p class="MsoNormal" style="text-indent:12pt"><b> </b></p>
<p class="MsoNormal">Weekly
total rainfall exceeded 150mm over parts of northern Namibia, local areas in
eastern Angola, portions of southern DRC, Zambia, and central Mozambique.<span></span></p>
<p class="MsoNormal"><span> </span></p>
<p class="MsoNormal">Week-1
outlooks call for an increased chance for above-average rainfall over parts of
southern Angola and northern Namibia, portions of southern DRC, much of Zambia,
and much of Madagascar. In contrast, there is an increased chance for
below-average rainfall over portions of Botswana, South Africa, Lesotho,
Swaziland, southern Zimbabwe, southern Mozambique, portions of Ethiopia,
Uganda, northern Tanzania and Kenya.<span></span></p>
<p class="MsoNormal"><b> </b></p>
<p class="MsoNormal"><b> </b></p>
<p class="MsoNormal"><b>Asian-Australian
Monsoons:<span></span></b></p>
<p class="MsoNormal"><span> </span></p>
<p class="MsoNormal">For the past 90 days, slight to heavy rainfall deficits
remain over parts of southeastern, eastern to northeastern parts of Australia,
as well as over Papua New Guinea. However, rainfall situation is generally
better in western Australia, particularly in the northern region. Over the same
period smaller deficits remain over eastern central India and southeastern
China. Over India, the longer term 180
days deficits are much larger over southern peninsular areas, particularly in
Tamilnadu. For the past 30 days the rainfall was above normal over parts of southern
Afghanistan, northeastern Pakistan, and Jammu Kashmir region of India..
However, rainfall was below normal over eastern China, northeastern and eastern
Australia, and central and eastern New Guinea island. Very little to no rainfall fell over southern India to possibly
offset the longer 180 days deficits there leading to severe drought in that
region.<span></span></p>
<p class="MsoNormal"><span> </span></p>
<p class="MsoNormal">In this past week,
the rainfall over much of the region was much below normal (particularly
northern Australia), except over the Philippines and parts of Java and Borneo islands. At this
time. a category 2 tropical cyclone Enawo is on its way to make landfall in
Madagascar in the southern Indian Ocean and threatening the island with severe
rains, and extra tropical storm Blanche is impacting northwestern Australia
with more rainfall. In the next couple of weeks the NCEP GFS model is
predicting above normal rainfall over the drought ridden southern peninsular
India. In northern Australia less rainfall is forecast during first week, but
some relief during second week.<span></span></p>
<p class="MsoNormal"><span> </span></p>
<p class="MsoNormal"><span> </span></p>
<p class="MsoNormal"><b>South American
Monsoons:<span></span></b></p>
<p class="MsoNormal"><span> </span></p>
<p class="MsoNormal">Long-term rainfall deficits are present over the Amazon
Basin and central Brazil.<span></span></p>
<p class="MsoNormal"><span> </span></p>
<p class="MsoNormal">During the last 7 days (27 Feb – 05 Mar 2017), below-average precipitation was observed over
much of Brazil, Uruguay, Colombia, Ecuador and northern Bolivia. Above-average precipitation was observed over
portions of northern Peru, northern Argentina and southern Brazil.<span></span></p>
<p class="MsoNormal"><span> </span></p>
<p class="MsoNormal">For 06 – 12 Mar 2017, below-average precipitation is
predicted over central Brazil and portions of Bolivia and northern Argentina.
Above-average precipitation is predicted for much of the northern South America
and Uruguay.<span></span></p>
<p class="MsoNormal"><span> </span></p>
<p class="MsoNormal"><br>
*For questions or comments, please contact: <span></span></p>
<p class="MsoNormal"><br>
<a href="mailto:Endalkachew.Bekele@noaa.gov">Endalkachew.Bekele@noaa.gov</a> (for the African monsoons)<span></span></p>
<p class="MsoNormal"><a href="mailto:Muthuvel.Chelliah@noaa.gov">Muthuvel.Chelliah@noaa.gov</a>
(for Asian-Australian monsoons)<span></span></p>
<p class="MsoNormal"><a href="mailto:Wei.Shi@noaa.gov">Wei.Shi@noaa.gov</a>
(for American monsoons and for general issues about the CPC Global Monsoons
products)<span></span></p><div><div class="gmail_signature"><div cols="72"><strong>--------------------------------------------------------------------------- </strong></div>
<div cols="72">Wei Shi, Ph.D </div>
<div cols="72">Meteorologist </div>
<div cols="72">Climate Prediction Center/NCEP/NWS/NOAA </div>
<div cols="72">NCWCP Room 3116</div>
<div cols="72">5830 University Research Court </div>
<div cols="72">College Park, MD 20740 </div>
<div cols="72">USA </div>
<div cols="72">Phone: (301) 683-3440 </div>
<div cols="72"><strong>----------------------------------------------------------------------------</strong></div></div></div>
</div>