<div dir="ltr"><p class="MsoNormal">The weekly PowerPoint presentations summarizing the recent
variability of the global monsoon systems have been updated on the CPC Global
Monsoons website: <br>
<a href="http://www.cpc.ncep.noaa.gov/products/Global_Monsoons/Global-Monsoon.shtml">http://www.cpc.ncep.noaa.gov/products/Global_Monsoons/Global-Monsoon.shtml</a>
<br>
<br>
<b>HIGHLIGHTS:<span></span></b></p>
<p class="MsoNormal"><b> </b></p>
<p class="MsoNormal"><b>African Monsoons:<span></span></b></p>
<p class="MsoNormal" style="text-indent:12pt"><b> </b></p>
<p class="MsoNormal">Weekly
rainfall surpluses exceeded 100mm over parts of eastern Zimbabwe and central
Mozambique, whereas suppressed rainfall prevailed over portions of Angola,
southern DRC, much of Tanzania and northern Mozambique.<span></span></p>
<p class="MsoNormal"><span> </span></p>
<p class="MsoNormal">Week-1
outlooks call for an increased chance for above-average rainfall over central
and eastern Angola, Zambia, northern Zimbabwe, central Mozambique and southern
Madagascar. In contrast, there is an increased chance for below-average
rainfall over portions of Tanzania, northern Mozambique, and southern Botswana
and portions of South Africa.<span></span></p>
<p class="MsoNormal"><span> </span></p>
<p class="MsoNormal"><b> </b></p>
<p class="MsoNormal"><b>Asian-Australian
Monsoons:<span></span></b></p>
<p class="MsoNormal"><span> </span></p>
<p class="MsoNormal">For the past 90 days, severe rainfall deficits remain over
southern peninsular India and over large parts of central, northern and eastern
Australia. Elsewhere, the rainfall is above normal levels over much of the
region. For the past 30 days the rainfall was
below normal over extreme southern peninsular India and many parts of
Australia. Southeastern China and the
Philippines received above normal rainfall.<span></span></p>
<p class="MsoNormal"><span> </span></p>
<p class="MsoNormal">In this past week,
severe tropical cyclonic storm Vardha brought unprecedented heavy rains
over parts of southern peninsular India, and much relief to the drought like
conditions there. According to the India Met. Dept. (IMD), with the Northeast
winter monsoon(OND) coming to an end soon in the next couple of weeks, the rainfall for southern India continues to
stay highly deficient by about -43 % across the country. With the failure of
the winter monsoon so far, severe drought conditions continue exist in the
southern India especially in the state of Tamilnadu. In the next couple of
weeks the NCEP GFS model is predicting almost little or no rainfall thus
contributing further to the already drought conditions in the southern
peninsular India but heavy rainfall over western Australia, particularly in the
northwestern territories.<span></span></p>
<p class="MsoNormal"><span> </span></p>
<p class="MsoNormal"><span> </span></p>
<p class="MsoNormal"><b>South American
Monsoons:<span></span></b></p>
<p class="MsoNormal"><span> </span></p>
<p class="MsoNormal">Long-term rainfall deficits are present over the Amazon
Basin, central Brazil and the extreme southern Brazil.<span></span></p>
<p class="MsoNormal"><span> </span></p>
<p class="MsoNormal">During the last 7 days (12 -18 Dec 2016), below-average
precipitation was observed over central Colombia, much of central and southern
Brazil, Bolivia, Paraguay and northern Argentina. Above-average precipitation
was observed over northern Peru, northern and eastern Brazil.<span></span></p>
<p class="MsoNormal"><span> </span></p>
<p class="MsoNormal">For 19-25 Dec 2016, below-average precipitation is predicted
over much of Bolivia, northern Argentina, central and southeastern Brazil, as
well as western Venezuela. Above-average
precipitation is predicted for portions of Colombia, Peru, northern Brazil,
Uruguay and southern Chile.<span></span></p>
<p class="MsoNormal"><span> </span></p>
<p class="MsoNormal"><br>
*For questions or comments, please contact: <span></span></p>
<p class="MsoNormal"><br>
<a href="mailto:Endalkachew.Bekele@noaa.gov">Endalkachew.Bekele@noaa.gov</a> (for the African monsoons)<span></span></p>
<p class="MsoNormal"><a href="mailto:Muthuvel.Chelliah@noaa.gov">Muthuvel.Chelliah@noaa.gov</a>
(for Asian-Australian monsoons)<span></span></p>
<p class="MsoNormal"><a href="mailto:Wei.Shi@noaa.gov">Wei.Shi@noaa.gov</a>
(for American monsoons and for general issues about the CPC Global Monsoons
products)<span></span></p><div><div class="gmail_signature"><div cols="72"><strong>--------------------------------------------------------------------------- </strong></div>
<div cols="72">Wei Shi, Ph.D </div>
<div cols="72">Meteorologist </div>
<div cols="72">Climate Prediction Center/NCEP/NWS/NOAA </div>
<div cols="72">NCWCP Room 3116</div>
<div cols="72">5830 University Research Court </div>
<div cols="72">College Park, MD 20740 </div>
<div cols="72">USA </div>
<div cols="72">Phone: (301) 683-3440 </div>
<div cols="72"><strong>----------------------------------------------------------------------------</strong></div></div></div>
</div>