<div dir="ltr"><p class="MsoNormal">The weekly PowerPoint presentations summarizing the recent
variability of the global monsoon systems have been updated on the CPC Global
Monsoons website: <br>
<a href="http://www.cpc.ncep.noaa.gov/products/Global_Monsoons/Global-Monsoon.shtml">http://www.cpc.ncep.noaa.gov/products/Global_Monsoons/Global-Monsoon.shtml</a>
<br>
<br>
<b>HIGHLIGHTS:<span></span></b></p>
<p class="MsoNormal"><b> </b></p>
<p class="MsoNormal"><b>African Monsoons:<span></span></b></p>
<p class="MsoNormal" style="text-indent:12pt"><b> </b></p>
<p class="MsoNormal">Below-average
rainfall prevailed over many places in the Central and Southern Africa
countries.<span></span></p>
<p class="MsoNormal"><span> </span></p>
<p class="MsoNormal">Week-1
outlooks call for an increased chance for above-average rainfall over portions
Gabon, Congo-Brazzaville, northwestern DRC, western Zambia, Botswana, Zimbabwe,
eastern South Africa, southern Mozambique, and southern Madagascar. In
contrast, there is an increased chance for below-average rainfall over
northeastern DRC, Uganda, Rwanda, Burundi, Tanzania, northern Mozambique, and
northern Madagascar.<span></span></p>
<p class="MsoNormal"><span> </span></p>
<p class="MsoNormal"><b> </b></p>
<p class="MsoNormal"><b>Asian-Australian
Monsoons:<span></span></b></p>
<p class="MsoNormal"><span> </span></p>
<p class="MsoNormal">For the past 90 days, severe rainfall deficits remain over
large parts of India, particularly over
southern peninsular India, where week after week, for the many weeks
now, the rainfall has been very much below normal over the southeastern state
of Tamilnadu. Mild deficits are also emerging all across Australia. Elsewhere
the 90 day rainfall amounts are at near or well above normal levels. For the
past 30 days the rainfall was much below normal over southeastern India,
particularly over coastal regions of Tamilnadu state.. Rainfall
deficits are also beginning to emerge over many parts of northern and
eastern Australia and eastern Papua New Guinea. Elsewhere in the region, the rainfall
amounts are above normal, particularly over southeastern China.<span></span></p>
<p class="MsoNormal"><span> </span></p>
<p class="MsoNormal">In this past week, towards the tail end, severe tropical
cyclonic storm Vardah is impacting southeast coast of India with heavy
rainfall, winds and devastation, where it has been very dry. According to the
India Met. Dept. (IMD), for more than two months into the 3-month long
northeast winter monsoon (Oct-Dec), the
rainfall for the whole country continues to stay highly deficient by about -44
% across the country. With the failure of the winter monsoon so far, severe
drought conditions exist in the southern India especially in the state of
Tamilnadu. In the next couple of weeks the NCEP GFS model is predicting almost
little or no rainfall thus contributing further to the already drought
conditions in the southern peninsular India. Less rainfall is also forecast over
northeastern Australia and large parts of Indonesia.<span></span></p>
<p class="MsoNormal"><span> </span></p>
<p class="MsoNormal"><span> </span></p>
<p class="MsoNormal"><b>South American
Monsoons:<span></span></b></p>
<p class="MsoNormal"><span> </span></p>
<p class="MsoNormal">Long-term rainfall deficits are present over Brazilian
Plateau and the extreme southern Brazil.<span></span></p>
<p class="MsoNormal"><span> </span></p>
<p class="MsoNormal">During the last 7 days (05 -11 Dec 2016), below-average
precipitation was observed over much of Brazil, Bolivia, Uruguay and eastern
Argentina. Above-average precipitation was observed over portions of Colombia,
eastern Peru, northern Argentina, Paraguay and southern Brazil.<span></span></p>
<p class="MsoNormal"><span> </span></p>
<p class="MsoNormal">For 12-18 Dec 2016, below-average precipitation is predicted
across Bolivia and southern Brazil, as well as over northern Peru, southern
Colombia and much of Venezuela.
Above-average precipitation is predicted for central Colombia, western
Peru and much of the northern Brazil.<span></span></p>
<p class="MsoNormal"><span> </span></p>
<p class="MsoNormal"><br>
*For questions or comments, please contact: <span></span></p>
<p class="MsoNormal"><br>
<a href="mailto:Endalkachew.Bekele@noaa.gov">Endalkachew.Bekele@noaa.gov</a> (for the African monsoons)<span></span></p>
<p class="MsoNormal"><a href="mailto:Muthuvel.Chelliah@noaa.gov">Muthuvel.Chelliah@noaa.gov</a>
(for Asian-Australian monsoons)<span></span></p>
<p class="MsoNormal"><a href="mailto:Wei.Shi@noaa.gov">Wei.Shi@noaa.gov</a>
(for American monsoons and for general issues about the CPC Global Monsoons
products)<span></span></p><div><div class="gmail_signature"><div cols="72"><strong>--------------------------------------------------------------------------- </strong></div>
<div cols="72">Wei Shi, Ph.D </div>
<div cols="72">Meteorologist </div>
<div cols="72">Climate Prediction Center/NCEP/NWS/NOAA </div>
<div cols="72">NCWCP Room 3116</div>
<div cols="72">5830 University Research Court </div>
<div cols="72">College Park, MD 20740 </div>
<div cols="72">USA </div>
<div cols="72">Phone: (301) 683-3440 </div>
<div cols="72"><strong>----------------------------------------------------------------------------</strong></div></div></div>
</div>