<div dir="ltr"><p class="MsoNormal">The weekly PowerPoint presentations summarizing the recent
variability of the global monsoon systems have been updated on the CPC Global
Monsoons website: <br>
<a href="http://www.cpc.ncep.noaa.gov/products/Global_Monsoons/Global-Monsoon.shtml">http://www.cpc.ncep.noaa.gov/products/Global_Monsoons/Global-Monsoon.shtml</a>
<br>
<br>
<b>HIGHLIGHTS:<span></span></b></p>
<p class="MsoNormal"><b> </b></p>
<p class="MsoNormal"><b>African Monsoons:<span></span></b></p>
<p class="MsoNormal" style="text-indent:12pt"><b> </b></p>
<p class="MsoNormal">Moderate
to locally heavy rainfall resulted in moisture surpluses over southern
Ethiopia, and local areas in northern Kenya and southern Somalia. In contrast,
below-average rainfall prevailed across many places in Southern Africa
countries.<span></span></p>
<p class="MsoNormal"><span> </span></p>
<p class="MsoNormal">Week-1
outlooks call for an increased chance for above-average rainfall over portions
Angola, southern DRC, northern Zambia, and portions western Tanzania. In
contrast, there is an increased chance for below-average rainfall over
northeastern DRC, Uganda, parts of Kenya, Tanzania, southern Zambia, and
portions of Botswana and Zimbabwe.<span></span></p>
<p class="MsoNormal"><span> </span></p>
<p class="MsoNormal"><b> </b></p>
<p class="MsoNormal"><b>Asian-Australian
Monsoons:<span></span></b></p>
<p class="MsoNormal"><span> </span></p>
<p class="MsoNormal">For the past 90 days, severe rainfall deficits have
developed over large parts of India, particularly southern peninsular India,
where week after week, for the many weeks now, the rainfall has been very much
below normal over the southeastern state of Tamilnadu. Mild deficits are also
emerging all across Australia. Elsewhere the 90 day rainfall amounts are at
near or well above normal levels. For the past 30 days the rainfall was much
below normal over southeastern India, particularly over coastal regions of
Tamilnadu state. Rainfall deficits are
also beginning to emerge over parts of northern and eastern Australia and
eastern Papua New Guinea. Elsewhere in the region, the rainfall amounts are
above normal, particularly over southeastern China. <span></span></p>
<p class="MsoNormal"><span> </span></p>
<p class="MsoNormal">In this past week, for the first time in many weeks, far
southern peninsular India received some rainfall, consistent with the forecast
made last week. According to the India Met. Dept. (IMD), with almost two months
into the 3-month long northeast winter monsoon (Oct-Dec), the rainfall for the whole country was very
highly deficient by about -44 % across the country. With the failure of the
winter monsoon so far, severe drought conditions exist in the southern India
especially in the state of Tamilnadu. Moreover, in the next couple of weeks the
NCEP GFS model is predicting almost no rainfall thus contributing further to
the already drought conditions in the southern peninsular India. Less rainfall
is also forecast over northeastern Australia and large parts of Indonesia.<span></span></p>
<p class="MsoNormal"><span> </span></p>
<p class="MsoNormal"><span> </span></p>
<p class="MsoNormal"><b>South American
Monsoons:<span></span></b></p>
<p class="MsoNormal"><span> </span></p>
<p class="MsoNormal">Long-term rainfall deficits are present over Brazilian
Plateau and the extreme southern Brazil.<span></span></p>
<p class="MsoNormal"><span> </span></p>
<p class="MsoNormal">During the last 7 days (28 Nov- 04 Dec 2016), below-average
precipitation was observed over much of Brazil, northern Bolivia, northeastern
Argentina and southern Chile. Above-average precipitation was observed over
Colombia, eastern Ecuador, Paraguay and southern Brazil.<span></span></p>
<p class="MsoNormal"><span> </span></p>
<p class="MsoNormal">For 05-11 Dec 2016, below-average precipitation is predicted
over much of Brazil, northern Bolivia, southwestern Colombia, Ecuador, Uruguay
and eastern Argentina. Above-average precipitation is predicted for eastern
Colombia, northwestern Peru, southern Paraguay and the extreme southern Brazil.<span></span></p>
<p class="MsoNormal"><span> </span></p>
<p class="MsoNormal"><br>
*For questions or comments, please contact: <span></span></p>
<p class="MsoNormal"><br>
<a href="mailto:Endalkachew.Bekele@noaa.gov">Endalkachew.Bekele@noaa.gov</a> (for the African monsoons)<span></span></p>
<p class="MsoNormal"><a href="mailto:Muthuvel.Chelliah@noaa.gov">Muthuvel.Chelliah@noaa.gov</a>
(for Asian-Australian monsoons)<span></span></p>
<p class="MsoNormal"><a href="mailto:Wei.Shi@noaa.gov">Wei.Shi@noaa.gov</a>
(for American monsoons and for general issues about the CPC Global Monsoons
products)<span></span></p><div><div class="gmail_signature"><div cols="72"><strong>--------------------------------------------------------------------------- </strong></div>
<div cols="72">Wei Shi, Ph.D </div>
<div cols="72">Meteorologist </div>
<div cols="72">Climate Prediction Center/NCEP/NWS/NOAA </div>
<div cols="72">NCWCP Room 3116</div>
<div cols="72">5830 University Research Court </div>
<div cols="72">College Park, MD 20740 </div>
<div cols="72">USA </div>
<div cols="72">Phone: (301) 683-3440 </div>
<div cols="72"><strong>----------------------------------------------------------------------------</strong></div></div></div>
</div>