<div dir="ltr"><p class="MsoNormal">The weekly PowerPoint presentations summarizing the recent
variability of the global monsoon systems have been updated on the CPC Global
Monsoons website: <br>
<a href="http://www.cpc.ncep.noaa.gov/products/Global_Monsoons/Global-Monsoon.shtml">http://www.cpc.ncep.noaa.gov/products/Global_Monsoons/Global-Monsoon.shtml</a>
<br>
<br>
<b>HIGHLIGHTS:<span></span></b></p>
<p class="MsoNormal"><b> </b></p>
<p class="MsoNormal"><b>African Monsoons:<span></span></b></p>
<p class="MsoNormal" style="text-indent:12pt"><b> </b></p>
<p class="MsoNormal">Weekly
rainfall surpluses exceeded 100mm over local areas in Kenya, whereas
below-average rainfall prevailed over northern DRC.<span></span></p>
<p class="MsoNormal"><span> </span></p>
<p class="MsoNormal">Week-1
outlooks call for an increased chance for above-average rainfall over eastern
Angola, southeastern DRC, northern Zambia, eastern Uganda,, southern Ethiopia,
and Kenya. In contrast, there is an increased chance for below-average rainfall
over portions of Tanzania and northern Mozambique.<span></span></p>
<p class="MsoNormal"><span> </span></p>
<p class="MsoNormal"><b> </b></p>
<p class="MsoNormal"><b>Asian-Australian
Monsoons:<span></span></b></p>
<p class="MsoNormal"><span> </span></p>
<p class="MsoNormal">For the past 90 days, severe rainfall deficits are beginning
to accrue all over India, particularly southern peninsular India, where the
deficits are due both from the southwest summer monsoon that ended in September
and the emerging fall/winter northeast monsoon (Oct-Dec). Elsewhere the 90 day
rainfall amounts are at near or above normal levels For the past 30 days the
rainfall was much below normal over southeastern India, particularly over
coastal regions of Tamilnadu state. It should be noted and remembered that
Chennai & vicinity regions in this Tamilnadu state, received record
rainfall amounts in over a hundred years, causing extensive damage and loss of
life, during last December in 2015.
Rainfall deficits are also
beginning to emerge over parts of northern and eastern Australia. Elsewhere,
the rainfall amounts are above normal, particularly over eastern China.<span></span></p>
<p class="MsoNormal"><span> </span></p>
<p class="MsoNormal">In this past week, south eastern India, the region of winter
northeast monsoon, continued to receive zero or
below normal rainfall. According to the India Met. Dept. (IMD), with
almost a month and a half into the 3-month long northeast winter monsoon
(Oct-Dec), the rainfall for the whole
country was highly deficient by about -39 % across the country. Drought or near
drought conditions exist in the southern India especially in the state of
Tamilnadu. In the next couple of weeks the NCEP GFS model continues to predict
almost no rainfall over southern peninsular India, thus contributing to further
severe rainfall deficits in the region.<span></span></p>
<p class="MsoNormal"><span> </span></p><p class="MsoNormal"><span><br></span></p>
<p class="MsoNormal"><b>South American
Monsoons:<span></span></b></p>
<p class="MsoNormal"><span> </span></p>
<p class="MsoNormal">Long-term rainfall deficits are present over Brazilian
Plateau and the extreme southern Brazil.<span></span></p>
<p class="MsoNormal"><span> </span></p>
<p class="MsoNormal">During the last 7 days (14 - 20 Nov 2016), below-average
precipitation was observed over northern Peru, western Brazil and eastern
Argentina. Above-average precipitation was observed over northern Argentina and
southeastern Brazil.<span></span></p>
<p class="MsoNormal"><span> </span></p>
<p class="MsoNormal">For 21 - 27 Nov 2016, below-average precipitation is
predicted over much of Brazil, western Colombia and southern Chile.
Above-average precipitation is predicted for eastern Colombia and western
Venezuela.<span></span></p>
<p class="MsoNormal"><span> </span></p>
<p class="MsoNormal"><br>
*For questions or comments, please contact: <span></span></p>
<p class="MsoNormal"><br>
<a href="mailto:Endalkachew.Bekele@noaa.gov">Endalkachew.Bekele@noaa.gov</a> (for the African monsoons)<span></span></p>
<p class="MsoNormal"><a href="mailto:Muthuvel.Chelliah@noaa.gov">Muthuvel.Chelliah@noaa.gov</a>
(for Asian-Australian monsoons)<span></span></p>
<p class="MsoNormal"><a href="mailto:Wei.Shi@noaa.gov">Wei.Shi@noaa.gov</a>
(for American monsoons and for general issues about the CPC Global Monsoons
products)<span></span></p>
<p class="MsoNormal"><span> </span></p><div><div class="gmail_signature"><div cols="72"><strong>--------------------------------------------------------------------------- </strong></div>
<div cols="72">Wei Shi, Ph.D </div>
<div cols="72">Meteorologist </div>
<div cols="72">Climate Prediction Center/NCEP/NWS/NOAA </div>
<div cols="72">NCWCP Room 3116</div>
<div cols="72">5830 University Research Court </div>
<div cols="72">College Park, MD 20740 </div>
<div cols="72">USA </div>
<div cols="72">Phone: (301) 683-3440 </div>
<div cols="72"><strong>----------------------------------------------------------------------------</strong></div></div></div>
</div>