<div dir="ltr"><p class="MsoNormal">The weekly PowerPoint presentations summarizing the recent
variability of the global monsoon systems have been updated on the CPC Global
Monsoons website: <br>
<a href="http://www.cpc.ncep.noaa.gov/products/Global_Monsoons/Global-Monsoon.shtml">http://www.cpc.ncep.noaa.gov/products/Global_Monsoons/Global-Monsoon.shtml</a>
<br>
<br>
<b>HIGHLIGHTS:<span></span></b></p>
<p class="MsoNormal"><b> </b></p>
<p class="MsoNormal"><b>African Monsoons:<span></span></b></p>
<p class="MsoNormal" style="text-indent:12pt"><b> </b></p>
<p class="MsoNormal">Weekly
total rainfall remained below-average over many places in the Central Africa
countries. Suppressed rainfall was also observed over portions of Kenya and
southern Somalia.<span></span></p>
<p class="MsoNormal"><span> </span></p>
<p class="MsoNormal">Week-1
outlooks call for an increased chance for above-average rainfall over southern
Cameroon, southwestern CAR, Equatorial Guinea, Gabon, Congo-Brazzaville,
northwestern Angola, western DRC, southeastern Ethiopia, eastern Kenya and
southern Somalia. In contrast, there is an increased chance for below-average
rainfall over parts of northeastern DRC, southern South Sudan, and western
Kenya.<span></span></p>
<p class="MsoNormal"><span> </span></p>
<p class="MsoNormal"><b> </b></p>
<p class="MsoNormal"><b>Asian-Australian
Monsoons:<span></span></b></p>
<p class="MsoNormal"><span> </span></p>
<p class="MsoNormal">For the past 90 days, severe rainfall deficits are beginning
to accrue all over India, particularly southern peninsular India, where the
deficits are due both from the southwest summer monsoon that ended in September
and the emerging fall/winter northeast monsoon (Oct-Dec). Elsewhere the 90 day
rainfall amounts are at near or above normal levels. For the past 30 days the
rainfall was much below normal over southern India. Small deficits are also
beginning to emerge over parts of northern and eastern Australia. Elsewhere,
the rainfall amounts are above normal, particularly over eastern China.<span></span></p>
<p class="MsoNormal"><span> </span></p>
<p class="MsoNormal">In this past week, south eastern India, the region of winter
northeast monsoon, received below normal rainfall. Philippines and Malaysia
also experienced below normal rainfall.. According to the India Met. Dept.
(IMD), with almost a month and a half into the short 3-month long northeast
winter monsoon (Oct-Dec) in the southern peninsular India, the rainfall for the whole of India was
highly deficient by about -35 % across the country. Drought or near drought
conditions exist in the southern India especially in the state of
Tamilnadu. In the next couple of weeks
the NCEP GFS model continues to predict severe rainfall deficits over southern
India and eastern Australia, but above normal rainfall amounts over eastern China
and parts of Malaysia and Indonesia.<span></span></p>
<p class="MsoNormal"><span> </span></p>
<p class="MsoNormal"><span> </span></p>
<p class="MsoNormal"><b>South American
Monsoons:<span></span></b></p>
<p class="MsoNormal"><span> </span></p>
<p class="MsoNormal">Long-term rainfall deficits are present over Brazilian
Plateau.<span></span></p>
<p class="MsoNormal"><span> </span></p>
<p class="MsoNormal">During the last 7 days (07 - 13 Nov 2016), below-average
precipitation was observed over southern Venezuela, northwestern Brazil,
Uruguay and southern Chile. Above-average precipitation was observed over
northern Colombia and central Brazil.<span></span></p>
<p class="MsoNormal"><span> </span></p>
<p class="MsoNormal">For 14 - 20 Nov 2016, below-average precipitation is
predicted over northwestern South America, southern Brazil, Uruguay and
southern Chile. Above-average precipitation is predicted for central and
eastern Brazil.<span></span></p>
<p class="MsoNormal"><span> </span></p>
<p class="MsoNormal"><span> </span></p>
<p class="MsoNormal"><br>
*For questions or comments, please contact: <span></span></p>
<p class="MsoNormal"><br>
<a href="mailto:Endalkachew.Bekele@noaa.gov">Endalkachew.Bekele@noaa.gov</a> (for the African monsoons)<span></span></p>
<p class="MsoNormal"><a href="mailto:Muthuvel.Chelliah@noaa.gov">Muthuvel.Chelliah@noaa.gov</a>
(for Asian-Australian monsoons)<span></span></p>
<p class="MsoNormal"><a href="mailto:Wei.Shi@noaa.gov">Wei.Shi@noaa.gov</a>
(for American monsoons and for general issues about the CPC Global Monsoons
products)<span></span></p><div><div class="gmail_signature"><div cols="72"><strong>--------------------------------------------------------------------------- </strong></div>
<div cols="72">Wei Shi, Ph.D </div>
<div cols="72">Meteorologist </div>
<div cols="72">Climate Prediction Center/NCEP/NWS/NOAA </div>
<div cols="72">NCWCP Room 3116</div>
<div cols="72">5830 University Research Court </div>
<div cols="72">College Park, MD 20740 </div>
<div cols="72">USA </div>
<div cols="72">Phone: (301) 683-3440 </div>
<div cols="72"><strong>----------------------------------------------------------------------------</strong></div></div></div>
</div>