<div dir="ltr"><p class="MsoNormal">The weekly PowerPoint presentations summarizing the recent
variability of the global monsoon systems have been updated on the CPC Global
Monsoons website: <br>
<a href="http://www.cpc.ncep.noaa.gov/products/Global_Monsoons/Global-Monsoon.shtml">http://www.cpc.ncep.noaa.gov/products/Global_Monsoons/Global-Monsoon.shtml</a>
<br>
<br>
<b>HIGHLIGHTS:<span></span></b></p>
<p class="MsoNormal"><b> </b></p>
<p class="MsoNormal"><b>African Monsoons:<span></span></b></p>
<p class="MsoNormal" style="text-indent:12pt"><b> </b></p>
<p class="MsoNormal">Below-average
rainfall was observed over many places in the Gulf of Guinea and Equatorial
Africa countries, including DRC and southern Somalia.<span></span></p>
<p class="MsoNormal"><span> </span></p>
<p class="MsoNormal">Week-1
outlooks call for an increased chance for above-average rainfall over portions
of Gabon, southern Congo-Brazzaville, and the neighboring areas of western DRC
and northern Angola, portions of eastern DRC, and much of Rwanda and Burundi.
In contrast, there is an increased chance for below-average rainfall over
eastern DRC, portions of northern DRC and southern Sudan, much of South Sudan,
southwestern Ethiopia, western Zambia, and portions of northern Botswana and northern
Zimbabwe.<span></span></p>
<p class="MsoNormal"><span> </span></p>
<p class="MsoNormal"><b> </b></p>
<p class="MsoNormal"><b>Asian-Australian
Monsoons:<span></span></b></p>
<p class="MsoNormal"><span> </span></p>
<p class="MsoNormal">For the past 90 days, severe rainfall deficits are beginning
to accrue over southern peninsular India, where the deficits are due both from
the southwest summer monsoon that just ended in September and the emerging
fall/winter northeast monsoon. Deficits
are also noted over central and northern India, and east central China.
Elsewhere the 90 day rainfall amounts are at near or above normal levels. For
the past 30 days the rainfall was much below normal over southern India south
of approximately 18N, especially along the east coast, much above normal over
eastern coastal and bordering interior
China round 30N. Rainfall was also at near or above normal levels across
Indonesia, Malaysia, Philippines, and Papua New Guinea.<span></span></p>
<p class="MsoNormal"> <span></span></p>
<p class="MsoNormal">In this past week, eastern China received above normal
rainfall and northeast monsoon rainfall was deficient over southern India. This
past week’s rainfall across the region was very consistent with the rainfall
forecast by the CFS model. According to the India Met. Dept. (IMD), as of
today, the rainfall for the whole country was highly deficient by about -33 %
across the country, since the start of the climatological North East winter
monsoon (Oct-Dec) over southern India. In the next couple of weeks the NCEP GFS
model continues to predict below normal rainfall amounts not only over southern
peninsular India but also across the entire monsoon region, with just the
exception of parts of the Philippines.<span></span></p>
<p class="MsoNormal"><span> </span></p>
<p class="MsoNormal"><span> </span></p>
<p class="MsoNormal"><b>South American
Monsoons:<span></span></b></p>
<p class="MsoNormal"><span> </span></p>
<p class="MsoNormal">Long-term rainfall deficits are present over Brazilian
Plateau.<span></span></p>
<p class="MsoNormal"><span> </span></p>
<p class="MsoNormal">During the last 7 days (24 – 30 October 2016), below-average
precipitation was observed over portions of the northern South America and
central Brazil. Above-average precipitation was observed over central Colombia,
portions of northern Brazil and a large area across the central Argentina and
southern Brazil.<span></span></p>
<p class="MsoNormal"><span> </span></p>
<p class="MsoNormal">For 31 Oct – 06 Nov 2016, below-average precipitation is
predicted over central Brazil and northern Argentina. Above-average
precipitation is predicted for northwestern South America and southern Brazil.<span></span></p>
<p class="MsoNormal"><span> </span></p>
<p class="MsoNormal"><br>
*For questions or comments, please contact: <span></span></p>
<p class="MsoNormal"><br>
<a href="mailto:Endalkachew.Bekele@noaa.gov">Endalkachew.Bekele@noaa.gov</a> (for the African monsoons)<span></span></p>
<p class="MsoNormal"><a href="mailto:Muthuvel.Chelliah@noaa.gov">Muthuvel.Chelliah@noaa.gov</a>
(for Asian-Australian monsoons)<span></span></p>
<p class="MsoNormal"><a href="mailto:Wei.Shi@noaa.gov">Wei.Shi@noaa.gov</a>
(for American monsoons and for general issues about the CPC Global Monsoons
products)<span></span></p><div><div class="gmail_signature"><div cols="72"><strong>--------------------------------------------------------------------------- </strong></div>
<div cols="72">Wei Shi, Ph.D </div>
<div cols="72">Meteorologist </div>
<div cols="72">Climate Prediction Center/NCEP/NWS/NOAA </div>
<div cols="72">NCWCP Room 3116</div>
<div cols="72">5830 University Research Court </div>
<div cols="72">College Park, MD 20740 </div>
<div cols="72">USA </div>
<div cols="72">Phone: (301) 683-3440 </div>
<div cols="72"><strong>----------------------------------------------------------------------------</strong></div></div></div>
</div>