<div dir="ltr">
<p class="MsoNormal">The weekly PowerPoint presentations summarizing the recent
variability of the global monsoon systems have been updated on the CPC Global
Monsoons website: <br>
<a href="http://www.cpc.ncep.noaa.gov/products/Global_Monsoons/Global-Monsoon.shtml">http://www.cpc.ncep.noaa.gov/products/Global_Monsoons/Global-Monsoon.shtml</a>
<br>
<br>
<b>HIGHLIGHTS:</b></p>
<p class="MsoNormal"><b> </b></p>
<p class="MsoNormal"><b>African Monsoons:</b></p>
<p style="text-indent:12pt" class="MsoNormal"><b> </b></p>
<p class="MsoNormal"><span>Rainfall
surpluses exceeded 100mm over portions of Guinea and Sierra Leone, and local
areas in northwestern DRC.</span></p>
<p class="MsoNormal"><span> </span></p>
<p class="MsoNormal"><span>Week-1
outlooks call for an increased chance for above-average rainfall over
Guinea-Bissau, Guinea-Conakry, Sierra Leone, Liberia, Cote d’Ivoire, southern
Ghana, southern Togo, southern Benin, northeastern DRC and western Ethiopia. In
contrast, there is an increased chance for below-average rainfall over central
Mali, portions of Burkina Faso, and southern Sudan.</span></p>
<p class="MsoNormal"><span> </span></p>
<p class="MsoNormal"><b> </b></p>
<p class="MsoNormal"><b>Asian-Australian
Monsoons:</b></p>
<p class="MsoNormal"> </p>
<p class="MsoNormal">For the past 90 days rainfall amounts are showing an overall
mixed pattern over the monsoon region with slightly deficient conditions over
parts of central western India, particularly the state of Gujarat,<span> </span>and central eastern India, southern
peninsular India, parts of central China, Koreas, parts of Japan and Papua New
Guinea, but above normal elsewhere particularly the Indonesian archipelago and
the Philippines. For the past 30 days the rainfall situation is overall a dry
pattern over southern peninsular India and central eastern China, the Koreas,
southwest Japan, the Philippines and Papua New Guinea. Elsewhere, rainfall was
at generally at near normal or above normal levels.</p>
<p class="MsoNormal"> </p>
<p class="MsoNormal">In this past week, monsoon rainfall was generally deficient
across much of the region. According to the India Met. Dept. (IMD), as of
today, for the 2016 monsoon season so far, since the 1st of June, the monsoon
rainfall has been slightly deficient<span> </span>by
about -5 % across the country, with only about a couple of more weeks left
before the summer monsoon season is officially over. In the next couple of
weeks the NCEP GFS is predicting a gradual receding of the summer monsoon from
the northern and northwestern parts of India, central China, as well as
deficient rainfall over southern India, and southern regions of Thailand, Laos
and Vietnam. An active cat5 super typhoon Meranti in the far western Pacific
situated to the east of the Philippines is heading west towards southern Taiwan
and east coast of China.</p>
<p class="MsoNormal"> </p>
<p class="MsoNormal"> </p>
<p class="MsoNormal"><b>North American
Monsoons:</b></p>
<p class="MsoNormal"><b> </b></p>
<p class="MsoNormal">Above-average rainfall has been observed over northwestern
Mexico and southern Arizona during the past week. </p>
<p class="MsoNormal"> </p>
<p class="MsoNormal">Rainfall accumulations over the past 30 days were slightly
below-average for southwestern U.S. </p>
<p class="MsoNormal"> </p>
<p class="MsoNormal">NCEP/GFS Forecasts call for near-average precipitation for Arizona/New
Mexico during 12 - 25 September, 2016.</p>
<p class="MsoNormal"> </p>
<p class="MsoNormal"> </p>
<p class="MsoNormal"><b>South American
Monsoons:</b></p>
<p class="MsoNormal"> </p>
<p class="MsoNormal">The annual summary for the 2015-2016 South American Monsoon
wet season is available on the CPC website at:</p>
<p class="MsoNormal"> </p>
<p class="MsoNormal"><a href="http://www.cpc.ncep.noaa.gov/products/Global_Monsoons/American_Monsoons/sams_weekly_update/Archive/Annual-Summary/">http://www.cpc.ncep.noaa.gov/products/Global_Monsoons/American_Monsoons/sams_weekly_update/Archive/Annual-Summary/</a></p>
<p class="MsoNormal"> </p>
<p class="MsoNormal"><br>
*For questions or comments, please contact: </p>
<p class="MsoNormal"><br>
<a href="mailto:Endalkachew.Bekele@noaa.gov">Endalkachew.Bekele@noaa.gov</a> (for the African monsoons)</p>
<p class="MsoNormal"><a href="mailto:Muthuvel.Chelliah@noaa.gov">Muthuvel.Chelliah@noaa.gov</a>
<span> </span>(for Asian-Australian monsoons)</p>
<p class="MsoNormal"><a href="mailto:Wei.Shi@noaa.gov">Wei.Shi@noaa.gov</a>
(for American monsoons and for general issues about the CPC Global Monsoons
products)</p>
<div><div class="gmail_signature"><div cols="72"><b>--------------------------------------------------------------------------- </b></div>
<div cols="72">Wei Shi, Ph.D </div>
<div cols="72">Meteorologist </div>
<div cols="72">Climate Prediction Center/NCEP/NWS/NOAA </div>
<div cols="72">NCWCP Room 3116</div>
<div cols="72">5830 University Research Court </div>
<div cols="72">College Park, MD 20740 </div>
<div cols="72">USA </div>
<div cols="72">Phone: (301) 683-3440 </div>
<div cols="72"><b>----------------------------------------------------------------------------</b></div></div></div>
</div>