<div dir="ltr">
<p class="MsoNormal">The weekly PowerPoint presentations summarizing the recent
variability of the global monsoon systems have been updated on the CPC Global
Monsoons website: <br>
<a href="http://www.cpc.ncep.noaa.gov/products/Global_Monsoons/Global-Monsoon.shtml">http://www.cpc.ncep.noaa.gov/products/Global_Monsoons/Global-Monsoon.shtml</a>
<br>
<br>
<b style="mso-bidi-font-weight:normal">HIGHLIGHTS:</b></p>
<p class="MsoNormal"><b style="mso-bidi-font-weight:normal"> </b></p>
<p class="MsoNormal"><b style="mso-bidi-font-weight:normal">African Monsoons:</b></p>
<p class="MsoNormal" style="text-indent:12pt"><b style="mso-bidi-font-weight:
normal"> </b></p>
<p class="MsoNormal"><span style="mso-fareast-font-family:"Times New Roman"">Weekly
rainfall surpluses exceeded 100mm over portions of CAR and western South Sudan.</span></p>
<p class="MsoNormal"><span style="mso-fareast-font-family:"Times New Roman""> </span></p>
<p class="MsoNormal"><span style="mso-fareast-font-family:"Times New Roman"">Week-1
outlooks call for an increased chance for above-average rainfall across much of
Senegal, Gambia, Guinea, Guinea-Bissau, Sierra Leone, southern Mali, Burkina
Faso, northern Cote d’Ivoire, northern Liberia, much of Eritrea and western
Ethiopia.</span></p>
<p class="MsoNormal"><b style="mso-bidi-font-weight:normal"> </b></p>
<p class="MsoNormal"><b style="mso-bidi-font-weight:normal">Asian-Australian
Monsoons:</b></p>
<p class="MsoNormal"> </p>
<p class="MsoNormal">For the past 90 days rainfall amounts are showing a mixed
pattern over the monsoon region with slightly deficient conditions over parts
of central western India, particularly the state of Gujarat,<span style="mso-spacerun:yes"> </span>central eastern India, the Koreas, Japan, and
parts of Papua New Guinea, but above normal elsewhere particularly the Indonesian
archipelago and the Philippines. For the past 30 days the rainfall situation
was also a mixed pattern with deficient rainfall over Gujarat and central
eastern India, southern and northeastern China and Japan. Elsewhere, rainfall
was at generally at near normal or above normal levels.</p>
<p class="MsoNormal"> </p>
<p class="MsoNormal">In this past week, monsoon rainfall was generally below
normal over<span style="mso-spacerun:yes"> </span>much of monsoon region.
According to the India Met. Dept. (IMD), as of today, for the 2016 monsoon
season so far, since the 1st of June, the monsoon rainfall has been near
normal<span style="mso-spacerun:yes"> </span>by about +1 % across the country.
In the next couple of weeks the NCEP GFS model continues to predict below
normal over much of the region, except for parts of northern China, central
India, Burma, and parts of Southeast Asian countries.</p>
<p class="MsoNormal"> </p>
<p class="MsoNormal"><b style="mso-bidi-font-weight:normal">North American
Monsoons:</b></p>
<p class="MsoNormal"><b style="mso-bidi-font-weight:normal"> </b></p>
<p class="MsoNormal">Above-average rainfall has been observed over northwestern
Mexico during the past week. </p>
<p class="MsoNormal"><br></p><p class="MsoNormal">Rainfall accumulations over the past 30 days were
above-average over southeastern and northwestern Mexico.
</p><p class="MsoNormal"> </p>
<p class="MsoNormal">NCEP/GFS Forecasts call for above-average (below-average)
precipitation for northwestern Mexico (Arizona) during 15-21 August, 2016.</p>
<p class="MsoNormal"> </p>
<p class="MsoNormal"> </p>
<p class="MsoNormal"><b style="mso-bidi-font-weight:normal">South American
Monsoons:</b></p>
<p class="MsoNormal"> </p>
<p class="MsoNormal">The annual summary for the 2015-2016 South American Monsoon wet
season is available on the CPC website at:</p>
<p class="MsoNormal"> </p>
<p class="MsoNormal"><a href="http://www.cpc.ncep.noaa.gov/products/Global_Monsoons/American_Monsoons/sams_weekly_update/Archive/Annual-Summary/">http://www.cpc.ncep.noaa.gov/products/Global_Monsoons/American_Monsoons/sams_weekly_update/Archive/Annual-Summary/</a></p>
<p class="MsoNormal"> </p>
<p class="MsoNormal"><br>
*For questions or comments, please contact: </p>
<p class="MsoNormal"><br>
<a href="mailto:Endalkachew.Bekele@noaa.gov">Endalkachew.Bekele@noaa.gov</a> (for the African monsoons)</p>
<p class="MsoNormal"><a href="mailto:Muthuvel.Chelliah@noaa.gov">Muthuvel.Chelliah@noaa.gov</a>
<span style="mso-spacerun:yes"> </span>(for Asian-Australian monsoons)</p>
<p class="MsoNormal"><a href="mailto:Wei.Shi@noaa.gov">Wei.Shi@noaa.gov</a>
(for American monsoons and for general issues about the CPC Global Monsoons
products)</p>
<div><div class="gmail_signature" data-smartmail="gmail_signature"><div cols="72"><b>--------------------------------------------------------------------------- </b></div>
<div cols="72">Wei Shi, Ph.D </div>
<div cols="72">Meteorologist </div>
<div cols="72">Climate Prediction Center/NCEP/NWS/NOAA </div>
<div cols="72">NCWCP Room 3116</div>
<div cols="72">5830 University Research Court </div>
<div cols="72">College Park, MD 20740 </div>
<div cols="72">USA </div>
<div cols="72">Phone: (301) 683-3440 </div>
<div cols="72"><b>----------------------------------------------------------------------------</b></div></div></div>
</div>