<div dir="ltr">
<p class="MsoNormal">The weekly PowerPoint presentations summarizing the recent
variability of the global monsoon systems have been updated on the CPC Global
Monsoons website: <br>
<a href="http://www.cpc.ncep.noaa.gov/products/Global_Monsoons/Global-Monsoon.shtml">http://www.cpc.ncep.noaa.gov/products/Global_Monsoons/Global-Monsoon.shtml</a>
<br>
<br>
<b style="mso-bidi-font-weight:normal">HIGHLIGHTS:</b></p>
<p class="MsoNormal"><b style="mso-bidi-font-weight:normal"> </b></p>
<p class="MsoNormal"><b style="mso-bidi-font-weight:normal">African Monsoons:</b></p>
<p class="MsoNormal" style="text-indent:12pt"><b style="mso-bidi-font-weight:
normal"> </b></p>
<p class="MsoNormal"><span style="mso-fareast-font-family:"Times New Roman"">Weekly
total rainfall surpluses exceeded 100mm over parts of Guinea-Conakry, Sierra
Leone, and eastern Sudan, while suppressed rainfall prevailed across portions
of the Gulf of Guinea countries.</span></p>
<p class="MsoNormal"><span style="mso-fareast-font-family:"Times New Roman""> </span></p>
<p class="MsoNormal"><span style="mso-fareast-font-family:"Times New Roman"">Week-1
outlooks call for an increased chance for above-average rainfall over eastern
and southern Senegal, Guinea-Bissau, Guinea-Conakry, Sierra Leone, portions of
Liberia, northern Cote d'Ivoire, Burkina Faso, Ghana, Togo, Benin, portions of
Niger, western Nigeria, portions of South Sudan and Ethiopia. In contrast,
there is an increased chance for below-average rainfall over portions of
northern DRC and much of Uganda.</span></p>
<p class="MsoNormal"><span style="mso-fareast-font-family:"Times New Roman""> </span></p>
<p class="MsoNormal"><b style="mso-bidi-font-weight:normal"> </b></p>
<p class="MsoNormal"><b style="mso-bidi-font-weight:normal">Asian-Australian Monsoons:</b></p>
<p class="MsoNormal"> </p>
<p class="MsoNormal">For the past 90 days rainfall amounts are showing a mixed
pattern over the monsoon region with slightly deficient conditions over parts
of central western and central eastern India, Thailand, Laos, and Cambodia, and
parts of Papua New Guinea, but above normal elsewhere. Particularly, eastern
China west of Shanghai had received much above normal rainfall. For the past 30
days the rainfall situation was deficient over Gujarat and central eastern
India, southern and northeastern China. Elsewhere, rainfall was at generally at
near normal or above normal levels. Central eastern China near the Anhui
province had received above<span style="mso-spacerun:yes"> </span>normal
rainfall which caused excessive flooding in that region.</p>
<p class="MsoNormal"> </p>
<p class="MsoNormal">In this past week, monsoon rainfall is above normal over
north central India, but deficient to the south. Elsewhere, rainfall was
generally below normal. According to the India Met. Dept. (IMD), as of today,
the monsoon rainfall has been slightly above normal<span style="mso-spacerun:yes"> </span>by 3 % across the country. In the next couple
of weeks the NCEP GFS model is predicting overall below normal over the region,
except along northeast India and parts of eastern China.</p>
<p class="MsoNormal"> </p>
<p class="MsoNormal"> </p>
<p class="MsoNormal"><b style="mso-bidi-font-weight:normal">North American
Monsoons:</b></p>
<p class="MsoNormal"><b style="mso-bidi-font-weight:normal"> </b></p>
<p class="MsoNormal">Below-average rainfall has been observed over southwestern
U.S. and northwestern Mexico during the past week. </p>
<p class="MsoNormal"> </p>
<p class="MsoNormal">Rainfall accumulations over the past 30 days were
below-average over eastern-central and southern Mexico. </p>
<p class="MsoNormal"> </p>
<p class="MsoNormal">NCEP/GFS Forecasts call for slightly below-average (wk1) to
near-average (wk2) precipitation for southwestern U.S. during the next two
weeks.</p>
<p class="MsoNormal"> </p>
<p class="MsoNormal"> </p>
<p class="MsoNormal"><b style="mso-bidi-font-weight:normal">South American
Monsoons:</b></p>
<p class="MsoNormal"> </p>
<p class="MsoNormal">The annual summary for the 2015-2016 South American Monsoon
wet season is available on the CPC website at:</p>
<p class="MsoNormal"> </p>
<p class="MsoNormal"><a href="http://www.cpc.ncep.noaa.gov/products/Global_Monsoons/American_Monsoons/sams_weekly_update/Archive/Annual-Summary/">http://www.cpc.ncep.noaa.gov/products/Global_Monsoons/American_Monsoons/sams_weekly_update/Archive/Annual-Summary/</a></p>
<p class="MsoNormal"> </p>
<p class="MsoNormal"><br>
*For questions or comments, please contact: </p>
<p class="MsoNormal"><br>
<a href="mailto:Endalkachew.Bekele@noaa.gov">Endalkachew.Bekele@noaa.gov</a> (for the African monsoons)</p>
<p class="MsoNormal"><a href="mailto:Muthuvel.Chelliah@noaa.gov">Muthuvel.Chelliah@noaa.gov</a>
<span style="mso-spacerun:yes"> </span>(for Asian-Australian monsoons)</p>
<p class="MsoNormal"><a href="mailto:Wei.Shi@noaa.gov">Wei.Shi@noaa.gov</a>
(for American monsoons and for general issues about the CPC Global Monsoons
products)</p>
<div><div class="gmail_signature" data-smartmail="gmail_signature"><div cols="72"><b>--------------------------------------------------------------------------- </b></div>
<div cols="72">Wei Shi, Ph.D </div>
<div cols="72">Meteorologist </div>
<div cols="72">Climate Prediction Center/NCEP/NWS/NOAA </div>
<div cols="72">NCWCP Room 3116</div>
<div cols="72">5830 University Research Court </div>
<div cols="72">College Park, MD 20740 </div>
<div cols="72">USA </div>
<div cols="72">Phone: (301) 683-3440 </div>
<div cols="72"><b>----------------------------------------------------------------------------</b></div></div></div>
</div>