<div dir="ltr">
<p class="MsoNormal">The weekly PowerPoint presentations summarizing the recent
variability of the global monsoon systems have been updated on the CPC Global
Monsoons website: <br>
<a href="http://www.cpc.ncep.noaa.gov/products/Global_Monsoons/Global-Monsoon.shtml">http://www.cpc.ncep.noaa.gov/products/Global_Monsoons/Global-Monsoon.shtml</a>
<br>
<br>
<b style="mso-bidi-font-weight:normal">HIGHLIGHTS:</b></p>
<p class="MsoNormal"><b style="mso-bidi-font-weight:normal"> </b></p>
<p class="MsoNormal"><b style="mso-bidi-font-weight:normal">African Monsoons (AFMS.ppt):</b></p>
<p class="MsoNormal" style="text-indent:12pt"><b style="mso-bidi-font-weight:
normal"> </b></p>
<p class="MsoNormal"><span style="mso-fareast-font-family:"Times New Roman"">Portions
of South Sudan and western Ethiopia continued to receive above-average
rainfall. Moderate to heavy rainfall was also observed over many places in Cote
d’Ivoire and Ghana.</span></p>
<p class="MsoNormal"><span style="mso-fareast-font-family:"Times New Roman""> </span></p>
<p class="MsoNormal"><span style="mso-fareast-font-family:"Times New Roman"">Week-1
outlooks call for an increased chance for below-average rainfall over portions
of Cote d’Ivoire, Ghana, Togo, Benin, western Nigeria, northeastern DRC,
southern South Sudan Republic and northern Uganda. In contrast, there is an
increased chance for above-average rainfall over eastern Nigeria, much of
Cameroon, and northern Gabon.</span></p>
<p class="MsoNormal"><b style="mso-bidi-font-weight:normal"> </b></p>
<p class="MsoNormal"><b style="mso-bidi-font-weight:normal">Asian-Australian
Monsoons (AAMS.ppt):</b></p>
<p class="MsoNormal"> </p>
<p class="MsoNormal">For the past 90 days rainfall amounts are showing deficits
to various extents over large parts of Australia, southwestern southern
peninsular India, and southeast Asian countries such as Thailand, Laos, Vietnam,
and Cambodia, the Philippines and eastern Papua New Guinea.<span style="mso-spacerun:yes"> </span>However, northeastern India, Burma, coastal
southeastern China and many parts of Indonesia received<span style="mso-spacerun:yes"> </span>above normal rainfall. For the past 30 days
the rainfall situation was deficient over Thailand, Laos, Cambodia, the
Philippines islands, and eastern Australia. However, northeast India, Burma,
and parts of<span style="mso-spacerun:yes"> </span>southeastern China and
Indonesia had received more rainfall.</p>
<p class="MsoNormal"> </p>
<p class="MsoNormal">In this past week, rainfall was deficient along the Western
Ghats of southern peninsular India, and it was sporadic across southeast
Asia.<span style="mso-spacerun:yes"> </span>Earlier, the India Met Dept (IMD)
had announced the Indian summer southwest monsoon onset over Kerala on the 7th
of June, about a week later than normal. Now, there is confusion reg. the onset
forecast for the monsoon this year, between the official meteorological agency
IMD, and the major private weather forecasters group, the SkyMeT.<span style="mso-spacerun:yes"> </span>There is no clear forecast onset date
available.<span style="mso-spacerun:yes"> </span>In the next couple of weeks
the NCEP GFS model is predicting slightly above normal rainfall in interior
southern peninsular India during first week, but below normal rainfall for the
second week.<span style="mso-spacerun:yes"> </span>Also in this second week,
very strangely, the model predicts above normal rainfall along central western
and northwestern India, ahead of the traditional monsoon onset further to the
south.</p>
<p class="MsoNormal"> </p>
<p class="MsoNormal"> </p>
<p class="MsoNormal"><b style="mso-bidi-font-weight:normal">South American
Monsoons (SAMS.ppt):</b></p>
<p class="MsoNormal"><b style="mso-bidi-font-weight:normal"> </b></p>
<p class="MsoNormal">Long-term rainfall deficits continue over the Amazon Basin
and central Brazil. The rainy season has ended over central Brazil.</p>
<p class="MsoNormal"> </p>
<p class="MsoNormal">During the last 7 days (23-29 May 2016), below-average
precipitation was observed over southern Venezuela, northern Brazil, southern
Brazil and southern Chile.<span style="mso-spacerun:yes"> </span>Above-average
precipitation was observed over portions of Colombia, extreme northern Peru,
central Paraguay and southwest Brazil.</p>
<p class="MsoNormal"> </p>
<p class="MsoNormal">For<span style="mso-spacerun:yes"> </span>30 May-5 June
2016, below-average precipitation is predicted portions of northern South
America, extreme southern Brazil, Uruguay, northeastern Argentina and southern
Chile. Above-average precipitation is predicted for Ecuador and Brazil, between
20S and 25S.</p>
<p class="MsoNormal"> </p>
<p class="MsoNormal">Note: This is the last SAMS update for the 2015-2016 wet
season. A summary of the season will be available on 6 June.</p>
<p class="MsoNormal"> </p>
<p class="MsoNormal"><br>
*For questions or comments, please contact: </p>
<p class="MsoNormal"><br>
<a href="mailto:Endalkachew.Bekele@noaa.gov">Endalkachew.Bekele@noaa.gov</a> (for the African monsoons)</p>
<p class="MsoNormal"><a href="mailto:Muthuvel.Chelliah@noaa.gov">Muthuvel.Chelliah@noaa.gov</a> (for Asian-Australian monsoons)</p>
<p class="MsoNormal"><a href="mailto:Vernon.Kousky@noaa.gov">Vernon.Kousky@noaa.gov</a>
(for South American monsoons)</p>
<p class="MsoNormal"><a href="mailto:Wei.Shi@noaa.gov">Wei.Shi@noaa.gov</a>
(for North American monsoon update and for general issues about the CPC Global
Monsoons products)</p>
<div><div class="gmail_signature" data-smartmail="gmail_signature"><div cols="72"><b>--------------------------------------------------------------------------- </b></div>
<div cols="72">Wei Shi, Ph.D </div>
<div cols="72">Meteorologist </div>
<div cols="72">Climate Prediction Center/NCEP/NWS/NOAA </div>
<div cols="72">NCWCP Room 3116</div>
<div cols="72">5830 University Research Court </div>
<div cols="72">College Park, MD 20740 </div>
<div cols="72">USA </div>
<div cols="72">Phone: (301) 683-3440 </div>
<div cols="72"><b>----------------------------------------------------------------------------</b></div></div></div>
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