<div dir="ltr">
<p class="MsoNormal">The weekly PowerPoint presentations summarizing the recent
variability of the global monsoon systems have been updated on the CPC Global
Monsoons website: <br>
<a href="http://www.cpc.ncep.noaa.gov/products/Global_Monsoons/Global-Monsoon.shtml">http://www.cpc.ncep.noaa.gov/products/Global_Monsoons/Global-Monsoon.shtml</a>
<br>
<br>
<b style="mso-bidi-font-weight:normal">HIGHLIGHTS:</b></p>
<p class="MsoNormal"><b style="mso-bidi-font-weight:normal"> </b></p>
<p class="MsoNormal"><b style="mso-bidi-font-weight:normal">African Monsoons (AFMS.ppt):</b></p>
<p class="MsoNormal" style="text-indent:12pt"><b style="mso-bidi-font-weight:
normal"> </b></p>
<p class="MsoNormal"><span style="mso-fareast-font-family:"Times New Roman"">Moderate
to heavy rainfall sustained moisture surpluses over many places in the Greater
Horn of Africa, whereas below-average rainfall continued to prevail over much
of the Gulf of Guinea region.</span></p>
<p class="MsoNormal"><span style="mso-fareast-font-family:"Times New Roman""> </span></p>
<p class="MsoNormal"><span style="mso-fareast-font-family:"Times New Roman"">Week-1
outlooks call for an increased chance for above-average rainfall over much of
Gabon, Equatorial Guinea, southern Congo-Brazzaville, western Kenya, and many
parts of Ethiopia. In contrast, there is an increased chance for below-average
rainfall over portions of DRC.</span></p>
<p class="MsoNormal"><b style="mso-bidi-font-weight:normal"> </b></p>
<p class="MsoNormal"><b style="mso-bidi-font-weight:normal">Asian-Australian
Monsoons (AAMS.ppt):</b></p>
<p class="MsoNormal"> </p>
<p class="MsoNormal">For the past 90 days rainfall amounts are showing minor
deficits across southern India, and major deficits over large parts of
Australia and southeast Asian countries such as Thailand, Laos, and Cambodia,
the Philippines and eastern Papua New Guinea.<span style="mso-spacerun:yes">
</span>However, northeastern India, coastal southeastern China and many parts
of Indonesia received<span style="mso-spacerun:yes"> </span>above normal
rainfall. For the past 30 days the rainfall situation was deficient over
Thailand, Laos, Cambodia, Vietnam, the Philippines islands, central eastern
Australia. The exception is over northeastern India, southeastern China, and
parts of Indonesia.</p>
<p class="MsoNormal"> </p>
<p class="MsoNormal">In this past week, rainfall was deficient over east
countries Thailand, Cambodia, Laos, different parts of Indonesian islands. But
above normal rainfall fell over northwestern Australia, southeastern and far
northeastern China. In the next couple of weeks the NCEP GFS model is
predicting above normal rainfall along the Gangetic plains, Nepal, and along
the Arabian coast in western peninsular India. It is highly unlikely to term
this as the seasonal SW summer monsoon onset for this year, since that does not
happen climatologically until early June.<span style="mso-spacerun:yes">
</span></p>
<p class="MsoNormal"> </p>
<p class="MsoNormal"><b style="mso-bidi-font-weight:normal">South American
Monsoons (SAMS.ppt):</b></p>
<p class="MsoNormal"><b style="mso-bidi-font-weight:normal"> </b></p>
<p class="MsoNormal">Long-term rainfall deficits continue over the Amazon Basin
and central Brazil. The rainy season has ended over central Brazil.</p>
<p class="MsoNormal"> </p>
<p class="MsoNormal">During the last 7 days (2-8 May 2016), below-average
precipitation was observed over most of the Amazon Basin, south of the
equator,<span style="mso-spacerun:yes"> </span>northern Northeast Brazil,
southern Brazil , Uruguay and northeastern Argentina.<span style="mso-spacerun:yes"> </span>Above-average precipitation was observed over
portions of extreme northern Brazil.</p>
<p class="MsoNormal"> </p>
<p class="MsoNormal">For 9-15 May 2016, below-average precipitation is predicted
for most of the Amazon Basin. Above-average precipitation is predicted for
northern portions of southern Brazil, southern Paraguay and portions of northern
and central Argentina.</p>
<p class="MsoNormal"> </p>
<p class="MsoNormal"><br>
*For questions or comments, please contact: </p>
<p class="MsoNormal"><br>
<a href="mailto:Endalkachew.Bekele@noaa.gov">Endalkachew.Bekele@noaa.gov</a> (for the African monsoons)</p>
<p class="MsoNormal"><a href="mailto:Muthuvel.Chelliah@noaa.gov">Muthuvel.Chelliah@noaa.gov</a> (for Asian-Australian monsoons)</p>
<p class="MsoNormal"><a href="mailto:Vernon.Kousky@noaa.gov">Vernon.Kousky@noaa.gov</a>
(for South American monsoons)</p>
<p class="MsoNormal"><a href="mailto:Wei.Shi@noaa.gov">Wei.Shi@noaa.gov</a>
(for North American monsoon update and for general issues about the CPC Global
Monsoons products)</p>
<div><div class="gmail_signature"><div cols="72"><b>--------------------------------------------------------------------------- </b></div>
<div cols="72">Wei Shi, Ph.D </div>
<div cols="72">Meteorologist </div>
<div cols="72">Climate Prediction Center/NCEP/NWS/NOAA </div>
<div cols="72">NCWCP Room 3116</div>
<div cols="72">5830 University Research Court </div>
<div cols="72">College Park, MD 20740 </div>
<div cols="72">USA </div>
<div cols="72">Phone: (301) 683-3440 </div>
<div cols="72"><b>----------------------------------------------------------------------------</b></div></div></div>
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