<div dir="ltr">
<p class="MsoNormal">The weekly PowerPoint presentations summarizing the recent
variability of the global monsoon systems have been updated on the CPC Global
Monsoons website: <br>
<a href="http://www.cpc.ncep.noaa.gov/products/Global_Monsoons/Global-Monsoon.shtml">http://www.cpc.ncep.noaa.gov/products/Global_Monsoons/Global-Monsoon.shtml</a>
<br>
<br>
<b style="mso-bidi-font-weight:normal">HIGHLIGHTS:</b></p>
<p class="MsoNormal"><b style="mso-bidi-font-weight:normal"> </b></p>
<p class="MsoNormal"><b style="mso-bidi-font-weight:normal">African Monsoons (AFMS.ppt):</b></p>
<p class="MsoNormal" style="text-indent:12pt"><b style="mso-bidi-font-weight:
normal"> </b></p>
<p class="MsoNormal"><span style="mso-fareast-font-family:"Times New Roman"">Suppressed
rainfall prevailed across much of the Gulf of Guinea region, whereas moderate
to locally heavy rainfall resulted in moisture surpluses over much of the
Greater Horn of Africa.</span></p>
<p class="MsoNormal"><span style="mso-fareast-font-family:"Times New Roman""> </span></p>
<p class="MsoNormal"><span style="mso-fareast-font-family:"Times New Roman"">Week-1
outlook calls for an increased chance for below-average rainfall over portions
of Nigeria. In contrast, there is an increased chance for above-average
rainfall over Equatorial Guinea, Gabon, southern Cameroon, Congo-Brazzaville,
South Sudan, Ethiopia, Uganda, Kenya, and much of Somalia.</span></p>
<p class="MsoNormal"><span style="mso-fareast-font-family:"Times New Roman""> </span></p>
<p class="MsoNormal"><b style="mso-bidi-font-weight:normal"> </b></p>
<p class="MsoNormal"><b style="mso-bidi-font-weight:normal">Asian-Australian
Monsoons (AAMS.ppt):</b></p>
<p class="MsoNormal"> </p>
<p class="MsoNormal">For the past 90 days rainfall amounts are showing minor
deficits across southern India, and major deficits over large parts of
Australia and southeast Asian countries such as Thailand, Laos, and Cambodia,
the Philippines and eastern Papua New Guinea.<span style="mso-spacerun:yes">
</span>However, northeastern India, coastal southeastern China and many parts
of Indonesia received<span style="mso-spacerun:yes"> </span>above normal
rainfall. For the past 30 days the rainfall situation was deficient over the
Philippines islands, Thailand, Laos, Cambodia, Vietnam, northwestern and
southeastern Australia. The exception is over northeastern India, southeastern
China, and parts of Indonesia.</p>
<p class="MsoNormal"> </p>
<p class="MsoNormal">In this past week, rainfall was generally deficient across
the region except over the island of Borneo.<span style="mso-spacerun:yes">
</span>In the next couple of weeks the NCEP GFS model is predicting above
normal rainfall over eastern China, Indonesia, and central Australia.</p>
<p class="MsoNormal"> </p>
<p class="MsoNormal"> </p>
<p class="MsoNormal"><b style="mso-bidi-font-weight:normal">South American
Monsoons (SAMS.ppt):</b></p>
<p class="MsoNormal"><b style="mso-bidi-font-weight:normal"> </b></p>
<p class="MsoNormal">Long-term rainfall deficits continue over the Amazon Basin
and central Brazil. The rainy season has ended over central Brazil.</p>
<p class="MsoNormal"> </p>
<p class="MsoNormal">During the last 7 days (25 April-1 May 2016), below-average
precipitation was observed over most of the Amazon Basin and northern Northeast
Brazil.<span style="mso-spacerun:yes"> </span>Above-average precipitation was
observed over portions of southern and southeastern Brazil, central Colombia,
parts of Venezuela and most of Suriname, Guyana and French Guiana.</p>
<p class="MsoNormal"> </p>
<p class="MsoNormal">For<span style="mso-spacerun:yes"> </span>2-8 May 2016,
below-average precipitation is predicted for most of the Amazon Basin in
Brazil, northern Peru, extreme southern Brazil, Uruguay and the southern half
of Chile. Above-average precipitation is predicted for scattered portions in
northern South America.</p>
<p class="MsoNormal"> </p>
<p class="MsoNormal"><br>
*For questions or comments, please contact: </p>
<p class="MsoNormal"><br>
<a href="mailto:Endalkachew.Bekele@noaa.gov">Endalkachew.Bekele@noaa.gov</a> (for the African monsoons)</p>
<p class="MsoNormal"><a href="mailto:Muthuvel.Chelliah@noaa.gov">Muthuvel.Chelliah@noaa.gov</a> (for Asian-Australian monsoons)</p>
<p class="MsoNormal"><a href="mailto:Vernon.Kousky@noaa.gov">Vernon.Kousky@noaa.gov</a>
(for South American monsoons)</p>
<p class="MsoNormal"><a href="mailto:Wei.Shi@noaa.gov">Wei.Shi@noaa.gov</a>
(for North American monsoon update and for general issues about the CPC Global
Monsoons products)</p>
<div><div class="gmail_signature"><div cols="72"><b>--------------------------------------------------------------------------- </b></div>
<div cols="72">Wei Shi, Ph.D </div>
<div cols="72">Meteorologist </div>
<div cols="72">Climate Prediction Center/NCEP/NWS/NOAA </div>
<div cols="72">NCWCP Room 3116</div>
<div cols="72">5830 University Research Court </div>
<div cols="72">College Park, MD 20740 </div>
<div cols="72">USA </div>
<div cols="72">Phone: (301) 683-3440 </div>
<div cols="72"><b>----------------------------------------------------------------------------</b></div></div></div>
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