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<p class="MsoNormal">The weekly PowerPoint presentations summarizing the recent
variability of the global monsoon systems have been updated on the CPC Global
Monsoons website: <br>
<a href="http://www.cpc.ncep.noaa.gov/products/Global_Monsoons/Global-Monsoon.shtml">http://www.cpc.ncep.noaa.gov/products/Global_Monsoons/Global-Monsoon.shtml</a>
<br>
<br>
<b style="mso-bidi-font-weight:normal">HIGHLIGHTS:</b></p>
<p class="MsoNormal"><b style="mso-bidi-font-weight:normal"> </b></p>
<p class="MsoNormal"><b style="mso-bidi-font-weight:normal">African Monsoons (AFMS.ppt):</b></p>
<p class="MsoNormal" style="text-indent:12pt"><b style="mso-bidi-font-weight:
normal"> </b></p>
<p class="MsoNormal"><span style="mso-fareast-font-family:"Times New Roman"">Moderate
to heavy rainfall resulted in rainfall surpluses across many areas of central
Africa and the Greater Horn of Africa.</span></p>
<p class="MsoNormal"><span style="mso-fareast-font-family:"Times New Roman""> </span></p>
<p class="MsoNormal"><span style="mso-fareast-font-family:"Times New Roman"">Week-1
outlook calls for an increased chance for above-average rainfall throughout
Gabon, southern Congo Brazzaville, northern Angola, central DRC, Rwanda,
Burundi, western Tanzania, the Comoros Islands, northern Madagascar, and
central Ethiopia. In contrast, there is an increased chance for below-average
rainfall over eastern Ghana, Togo, Benin, and much of Nigeria.</span></p>
<p class="MsoNormal" style="text-indent:12pt"><b style="mso-bidi-font-weight:
normal"> </b></p>
<p class="MsoNormal"><b style="mso-bidi-font-weight:normal">Asian-Australian
Monsoons (AAMS.ppt):</b></p>
<p class="MsoNormal"> </p>
<p class="MsoNormal">For the past 90 days rainfall amounts was generally at near
normal levels across India, large parts of China, was a mixed pattern across
the southern and east Asia monsoon region, the Philippines and over
Indonesia.<span style="mso-spacerun:yes"> </span>However, coastal southeastern
China and large parts of Indonesia received excessively above normal rainfall,
while the Philippines, eastern Papua New Guinea and large parts of Australia
had generally received below normal rainfall consistent with the slowly
receding El Nino conditions in the tropical Pacific. For the past 30 days the
rainfall situation was generally deficient over the whole region, particularly
over the Philippines islands, northwestern Australia. The exception is over
northeastern India, southeastern China, and parts of Indonesia.</p>
<p class="MsoNormal"> </p>
<p class="MsoNormal">In this past week, rainfall is more than normal over
northeastern India and vicinity, southeastern China and slightly interior
areas, and across parts of Indonesian islands. In the next couple of weeks the
NCEP GFS model is predicting above normal rainfall over southern and eastern
China and vicinity as well as over northeastern India. Elsewhere near or below
normal rainfall is forecast by the model.
</p><p class="MsoNormal"> </p>
<p class="MsoNormal"> </p>
<p class="MsoNormal"><b style="mso-bidi-font-weight:normal">South American
Monsoons (SAMS.ppt):</b></p>
<p class="MsoNormal"><b style="mso-bidi-font-weight:normal"> </b></p>
<p class="MsoNormal">Long-term rainfall deficits continue over the Amazon Basin
and central Brazil. The rainy season has ended over central Brazil.</p>
<p class="MsoNormal"> </p>
<p class="MsoNormal">During the last 7 days (11-17 April 2016), below-average
precipitation was observed over portions of the Amazon Basin, and central,
Northeast and Southeast Brazil.<span style="mso-spacerun:yes">
</span>Above-average precipitation was observed over Uruguay, northeastern
Argentina, western Colombia, Ecuador, Guyana, Suriname and French Guiana.</p>
<p class="MsoNormal"> </p>
<p class="MsoNormal">For 18-24 April 2016, below-average precipitation is
predicted for most of Brazil. Above-average precipitation is predicted for
extreme southern Brazil, Uruguay and northeastern Argentina.</p>
<p class="MsoNormal"> </p>
<p class="MsoNormal"><br>
*For questions or comments, please contact: </p>
<p class="MsoNormal"><br>
<a href="mailto:Endalkachew.Bekele@noaa.gov">Endalkachew.Bekele@noaa.gov</a> (for the African monsoons)</p>
<p class="MsoNormal"><a href="mailto:Muthuvel.Chelliah@noaa.gov">Muthuvel.Chelliah@noaa.gov</a> (for Asian-Australian monsoons)</p>
<p class="MsoNormal"><a href="mailto:Vernon.Kousky@noaa.gov">Vernon.Kousky@noaa.gov</a>
(for South American monsoons)</p>
<p class="MsoNormal"><a href="mailto:Wei.Shi@noaa.gov">Wei.Shi@noaa.gov</a>
(for North American monsoon update and for general issues about the CPC Global
Monsoons products)</p>
<div><div class="gmail_signature"><div cols="72"><b>--------------------------------------------------------------------------- </b></div>
<div cols="72">Wei Shi, Ph.D </div>
<div cols="72">Meteorologist </div>
<div cols="72">Climate Prediction Center/NCEP/NWS/NOAA </div>
<div cols="72">NCWCP Room 3116</div>
<div cols="72">5830 University Research Court </div>
<div cols="72">College Park, MD 20740 </div>
<div cols="72">USA </div>
<div cols="72">Phone: (301) 683-3440 </div>
<div cols="72"><b>----------------------------------------------------------------------------</b></div></div></div>
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