<div dir="ltr">
<p class="MsoNormal">The weekly PowerPoint presentations summarizing the recent
variability of the global monsoon systems have been updated on the CPC Global
Monsoons website: <br>
<a href="http://www.cpc.ncep.noaa.gov/products/Global_Monsoons/Global-Monsoon.shtml">http://www.cpc.ncep.noaa.gov/products/Global_Monsoons/Global-Monsoon.shtml</a>
<br>
<br>
<b style="mso-bidi-font-weight:normal">HIGHLIGHTS:</b></p>
<p class="MsoNormal"><b style="mso-bidi-font-weight:normal"> </b></p>
<p class="MsoNormal"><b style="mso-bidi-font-weight:normal">African Monsoons (AFMS.ppt):</b></p>
<p class="MsoNormal" style="text-indent:12pt"><b style="mso-bidi-font-weight:
normal"> </b></p>
<p class="MsoNormal"><span style="mso-fareast-font-family:"Times New Roman"">Weekly
total rainfall exceeded 100 mm over portions of eastern Ethiopia, northern
Malawi and southern Tanzania.</span></p>
<p class="MsoNormal"><span style="mso-fareast-font-family:"Times New Roman""> </span></p>
<p class="MsoNormal"><span style="mso-fareast-font-family:"Times New Roman"">Week-1
outlooks call for an increased chance for below-average rainfall over
southeastern Nigeria, eastern Angola, southern DRC, eastern Kenya and southern
Somalia. In contrast, there is an increased chance for above-average rainfall
over northeastern DRC, Rwanda, Burundi, Uganda, and eastern Ethiopia.</span></p>
<p class="MsoNormal"><span style="mso-fareast-font-family:"Times New Roman""> </span></p>
<p class="MsoNormal" style="text-indent:12pt"><b style="mso-bidi-font-weight:
normal"> </b></p>
<p class="MsoNormal"><b style="mso-bidi-font-weight:normal">Asian-Australian
Monsoons (AAMS.ppt):</b></p>
<p class="MsoNormal"> </p>
<p class="MsoNormal">For the past 90 days rainfall amounts was generally at near
normal levels across India, large parts of China, was a mixed pattern across
the southern and east Asia monsoon region, the Philippines and over
Indonesia.<span style="mso-spacerun:yes"> </span>However, coastal southeastern
China and large parts of Indonesia received excessively above normal rainfall,
while the Philippines, Papua New Guinea and large parts of Australia had
generally received below normal rainfall consistent with the ongoing receding
El Nino conditions in the tropical Pacific. For the past 30 days the rainfall
situation was generally deficient over the whole region, particularly over the
Philippines islands, northwestern Australia. The exception is over northern
Queensland, over<span style="mso-spacerun:yes"> </span>southwestern Borneo
island, and<span style="mso-spacerun:yes"> </span>where the rainfall is at
above normal levels. Rainfall was also above normal over some isolated regions
across eastern Afghanistan, northern Pakistan, northern India and over
southeastern China.</p>
<p class="MsoNormal"> </p>
<p class="MsoNormal">In this past week, as the monsoon associated convection is
transitioning from the southern hemisphere to the northern hemisphere crossing
the equator, now and then rainfall is beginning to<span style="mso-spacerun:yes"> </span>pop up over northeastern India and
Bangladesh. Southeastern China and Japan also received above normal rainfall
this past week. In the next couple of weeks the NCEP GFS model is predicting
above normal rainfall over parts of northeastern India, Bangladesh and Burma,
as well as over eastern China, parts of Indonesia and even over extreme
southern peninsular India.</p>
<p class="MsoNormal"> </p>
<p class="MsoNormal"> </p>
<p class="MsoNormal"><b style="mso-bidi-font-weight:normal">South American
Monsoons (SAMS.ppt):</b></p>
<p class="MsoNormal"><b style="mso-bidi-font-weight:normal"> </b></p>
<p class="MsoNormal">Long-term rainfall deficits continue over the Amazon Basin
and central Brazil. The rainy season appears to have ended over central Brazil.</p>
<p class="MsoNormal"> </p>
<p class="MsoNormal">During the last 7 days (4-10 April 2016), below-average precipitation
was observed over most of Brazil.<span style="mso-spacerun:yes">
</span>Above-average precipitation was observed over Uruguay and northern
Argentina.</p>
<p class="MsoNormal"> </p>
<p class="MsoNormal">For 11-17 April 2016, below-average precipitation is
predicted for most of central, Northeast and Southeast Brazil. Above-average
precipitation is predicted for most of Colombia, eastern Ecuador, northern
Peru, Uruguay and eastern Argentina.</p>
<p class="MsoNormal"> </p>
<p class="MsoNormal"><br>
*For questions or comments, please contact: </p>
<p class="MsoNormal"><br>
<a href="mailto:Endalkachew.Bekele@noaa.gov">Endalkachew.Bekele@noaa.gov</a> (for the African monsoons)</p>
<p class="MsoNormal"><a href="mailto:Muthuvel.Chelliah@noaa.gov">Muthuvel.Chelliah@noaa.gov</a> (for Asian-Australian monsoons)</p>
<p class="MsoNormal"><a href="mailto:Vernon.Kousky@noaa.gov">Vernon.Kousky@noaa.gov</a>
(for South American monsoons)</p>
<p class="MsoNormal"><a href="mailto:Wei.Shi@noaa.gov">Wei.Shi@noaa.gov</a>
(for North American monsoon update and for general issues about the CPC Global
Monsoons products)</p>
<div><div class="gmail_signature"><div cols="72"><b>--------------------------------------------------------------------------- </b></div>
<div cols="72">Wei Shi, Ph.D </div>
<div cols="72">Meteorologist </div>
<div cols="72">Climate Prediction Center/NCEP/NWS/NOAA </div>
<div cols="72">NCWCP Room 3116</div>
<div cols="72">5830 University Research Court </div>
<div cols="72">College Park, MD 20740 </div>
<div cols="72">USA </div>
<div cols="72">Phone: (301) 683-3440 </div>
<div cols="72"><b>----------------------------------------------------------------------------</b></div></div></div>
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