<div dir="ltr">
<p class="MsoNormal">The weekly PowerPoint presentations summarizing the recent
variability of the global monsoon systems have been updated on the CPC Global
Monsoons website: <br>
<a href="http://www.cpc.ncep.noaa.gov/products/Global_Monsoons/Global-Monsoon.shtml">http://www.cpc.ncep.noaa.gov/products/Global_Monsoons/Global-Monsoon.shtml</a>
<br>
<br>
<b style="mso-bidi-font-weight:normal">HIGHLIGHTS:</b></p>
<p class="MsoNormal"><b style="mso-bidi-font-weight:normal"> </b></p>
<p class="MsoNormal"><b style="mso-bidi-font-weight:normal">African Monsoons (AFMS.ppt):</b></p>
<p class="MsoNormal"><b style="mso-bidi-font-weight:normal"> </b></p>
<p class="MsoNormal"><span style="mso-fareast-font-family:"Times New Roman"">Weekly
total rainfall exceeded 100mm over portions of Tanzania, northern Mozambique
and northern Madagascar, whereas suppressed rainfall prevailed over central and
southern Mozambique.</span></p>
<p class="MsoNormal"><span style="mso-fareast-font-family:"Times New Roman""> </span></p>
<p class="MsoNormal"><span style="mso-fareast-font-family:"Times New Roman"">Week-1
outlooks call for an increased chance for above-average rainfall over eastern
Namibia, western South Africa, southeastern DRC and portions of Tanzania. In
contrast, there is an increased chance for below-average rainfall over parts of
eastern Botswana, northeastern South Africa, southern Malawi, Zimbabwe,
Mozambique, and southern Madagascar.</span></p>
<p class="MsoNormal" style="text-indent:12pt"><b style="mso-bidi-font-weight:
normal"> </b></p>
<p class="MsoNormal"><b style="mso-bidi-font-weight:normal">Asian-Australian
Monsoons (AAMS.ppt):</b></p>
<p class="MsoNormal"> </p>
<p class="MsoNormal">For the past 90 days rainfall amounts have generally been
below normal over many parts of India, across the southern and east Asia
monsoon region, particularly over Indonesia, Papa New Guinea, Malaysia, Laos,
Vietnam, and Thailand consistent with the ongoing strong El Nino conditions.
Australia is also relatively dry. However, parts of southeastern India, Sri
Lanka, and large parts of southeastern China have received above normal
rainfall amounts. For the past 30 days, rainfall was at near normal levels over
much of the region except for below normal over eastern Indonesia and Papa New
Guinea. For this period, southeastern China, northern Philippines, parts of
Sumatra, Borneo and northern Australia had received above normal rainfall. </p>
<p class="MsoNormal"> </p>
<p class="MsoNormal">In this past week, rainfall over the entire region was
generally at or slightly below normal levels, except over southeastern China,
where it was above normal. Northern Australia and the island of New Guinea received
much below rainfall. In the next couple of weeks, the NCEP GFS model is again
predicting above normal rainfall over southeastern China, below normal rainfall
over Papa New Guinea, and Australia and a mixed pattern for the areas in
between.</p>
<p class="MsoNormal"> </p>
<p class="MsoNormal"> </p>
<p class="MsoNormal"><b style="mso-bidi-font-weight:normal">South American
Monsoons (SAMS.ppt):</b></p>
<p class="MsoNormal"><b style="mso-bidi-font-weight:normal"> </b></p>
<p class="MsoNormal">Recent rains reduced long-term deficits over most of Central
Brazil.</p>
<p class="MsoNormal"> </p>
<p class="MsoNormal">During the last 7 days (11-17 January 2016), below-average precipitation
was observed over portions of the Amazon Basin, southern Brazil, Uruguay and
northeastern Argentina.<span style="mso-spacerun:yes"> </span>Above-average
precipitation was observed over parts of Central, Northeast, and Southeast
Brazil.</p>
<p class="MsoNormal"> </p>
<p class="MsoNormal">For 18-25 January 2016, above-average rainfall is predicted
for east-central and portions of Southeast Brazil. Below-average precipitation
is predicted for most of the central and eastern Amazon Basin, Southwest and
southern Brazil, Bolivia, Paraguay, Uruguay and northern Argentina.</p>
<p class="MsoNormal"> </p>
<p class="MsoNormal"><br>
*For questions or comments, please contact: </p>
<p class="MsoNormal"><br>
<a href="mailto:Endalkachew.Bekele@noaa.gov">Endalkachew.Bekele@noaa.gov</a> (for the African monsoons)</p>
<p class="MsoNormal"><a href="mailto:Muthuvel.Chelliah@noaa.gov">Muthuvel.Chelliah@noaa.gov</a> (for Asian-Australian monsoons)</p>
<p class="MsoNormal"><a href="mailto:Vernon.Kousky@noaa.gov">Vernon.Kousky@noaa.gov</a>
(for South American monsoons)</p>
<p class="MsoNormal"><a href="mailto:Wei.Shi@noaa.gov">Wei.Shi@noaa.gov</a>
(for North American monsoon update and for general issues about the CPC Global
Monsoons products)</p><p class="MsoNormal"><br></p>
<div><div class="gmail_signature"><div cols="72"><b>--------------------------------------------------------------------------- </b></div>
<div cols="72">Wei Shi, Ph.D </div>
<div cols="72">Meteorologist </div>
<div cols="72">Climate Prediction Center/NCEP/NWS/NOAA </div>
<div cols="72">NCWCP Room 3116</div>
<div cols="72">5830 University Research Court </div>
<div cols="72">College Park, MD 20740 </div>
<div cols="72">USA </div>
<div cols="72">Phone: (301) 683-3440 </div>
<div cols="72"><b>----------------------------------------------------------------------------</b></div></div></div>
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