<div dir="ltr">
<p class="MsoNormal">The weekly PowerPoint presentations summarizing the recent
variability of the global monsoon systems have been updated on the CPC Global
Monsoons website: <br>
<a href="http://www.cpc.ncep.noaa.gov/products/Global_Monsoons/Global-Monsoon.shtml">http://www.cpc.ncep.noaa.gov/products/Global_Monsoons/Global-Monsoon.shtml</a>
<br>
<br>
<b style="mso-bidi-font-weight:normal">HIGHLIGHTS:</b></p>
<p class="MsoNormal"><b style="mso-bidi-font-weight:normal"> </b></p>
<p class="MsoNormal"><b style="mso-bidi-font-weight:normal">African Monsoons (AFMS.ppt):</b></p>
<p class="MsoNormal"><b style="mso-bidi-font-weight:normal"> </b></p>
<p class="MsoNormal"><span style="mso-fareast-font-family:"Times New Roman"">Weekly
total rainfall exceeded 100mm over portions of western and northern Angola,
southern Tanzania, northern Mozambique and northern Madagascar, whereas
suppressed rainfall continued to prevail over many places in Southern Africa
countries.</span></p>
<p class="MsoNormal"><span style="mso-fareast-font-family:"Times New Roman""> </span></p>
<p class="MsoNormal"><span style="mso-fareast-font-family:"Times New Roman"">Week-1
outlooks call for an increased chance for above-average rainfall over portions
of western Angola, southern Kenya, Rwanda, Burundi, much of Tanzania, northern
Malawi, parts of northern Mozambique, portions of South Africa. In contrast,
there is an increased chance for below-average rainfall over southern Malawi,
eastern Zimbabwe, and central and southern Mozambique.</span></p>
<p class="MsoNormal"><span style="mso-fareast-font-family:"Times New Roman""> </span></p>
<p class="MsoNormal" style="text-indent:12pt"><b style="mso-bidi-font-weight:
normal"> </b></p>
<p class="MsoNormal"><b style="mso-bidi-font-weight:normal">Asian-Australian
Monsoons (AAMS.ppt):</b></p>
<p class="MsoNormal"> </p>
<p class="MsoNormal">For the past 90 days rainfall amounts have generally been
below normal over many parts of India, across the southern and east Asia
monsoon region, particularly over Indonesia, Papa New Guinea, Malaysia, Laos,
Vietnam, and Thailand consistent with the ongoing strong El Nino conditions.
Australia is also relatively dry. However, parts of southeastern India, Sri
Lanka, and large parts of southeastern China have received above normal
rainfall amounts. The Northeast winter monsoon season (Oct-Dec) over southern
India, and the tropical cyclone season impacting the same region is over.
However, the larger winter monsoon (Dec-Feb) impacting southeast Asia is
underway, and overall, the rainfall over the region has been weak due to the
ongoing strong El Nino in the central and eastern tropical Pacific ocean. For
the past 30 days, rainfall was at near normal levels over much of the region
except for below normal over eastern Indonesia and Papa New Guinea. For this
period, southeastern China, northern Philippines, parts of Sumatra, Borneo and
northern Australia had received above normal rainfall.</p>
<p class="MsoNormal"> </p>In this past week, rainfall over the entire region was
generally at or slightly below normal levels, except over southeastern China,
where it was above normal. Northern Australia and the island of New Guinea received
much below rainfall. In the next couple of weeks, the NCEP GFS model is
predicting generally below normal for the whole region, except for random
regions of above normal rainfall here and there.
<p class="MsoNormal"> </p>
<p class="MsoNormal"> </p>
<p class="MsoNormal"><b style="mso-bidi-font-weight:normal">South American
Monsoons (SAMS.ppt):</b></p>
<p class="MsoNormal"><b style="mso-bidi-font-weight:normal"> </b></p>
<p class="MsoNormal">Large rainfall deficits continue over the Amazon Basin, and
most of Central and Southeast Brazil.</p>
<p class="MsoNormal"> </p>
<p class="MsoNormal">During the last 7 days (4-10 January 2016), below-average precipitation
was observed over portions of the Amazon Basin and Southeast Brazil.<span style="mso-spacerun:yes"> </span>Above-average precipitation was observed over
parts of Central and Northeast Brazil, northern Argentina, and portions of
Paraguay.</p>
<p class="MsoNormal"> </p>
<p class="MsoNormal">For 11-17 January 2016, below-average rainfall is predicted
for most of northern South America, southern Brazil, Uruguay, and northeastern
Argentina. Above-average rainfall is predicted for most of Central and
Southeast Brazil.</p>
<p class="MsoNormal"> </p>
<p class="MsoNormal"><br>
*For questions or comments, please contact: </p>
<p class="MsoNormal"><br>
<a href="mailto:Endalkachew.Bekele@noaa.gov">Endalkachew.Bekele@noaa.gov</a> (for the African monsoons)</p>
<p class="MsoNormal"><a href="mailto:Muthuvel.Chelliah@noaa.gov">Muthuvel.Chelliah@noaa.gov</a> (for Asian-Australian monsoons)</p>
<p class="MsoNormal"><a href="mailto:Vernon.Kousky@noaa.gov">Vernon.Kousky@noaa.gov</a>
(for South American monsoons)</p>
<p class="MsoNormal"><a href="mailto:Wei.Shi@noaa.gov">Wei.Shi@noaa.gov</a>
(for North American monsoon update and for general issues about the CPC Global
Monsoons products)</p>
<div><div class="gmail_signature"><div cols="72"><b>--------------------------------------------------------------------------- </b></div>
<div cols="72">Wei Shi, Ph.D </div>
<div cols="72">Meteorologist </div>
<div cols="72">Climate Prediction Center/NCEP/NWS/NOAA </div>
<div cols="72">NCWCP Room 3116</div>
<div cols="72">5830 University Research Court </div>
<div cols="72">College Park, MD 20740 </div>
<div cols="72">USA </div>
<div cols="72">Phone: (301) 683-3440 </div>
<div cols="72"><b>----------------------------------------------------------------------------</b></div></div></div>
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