<div dir="ltr">
<p class="MsoNormal">The weekly PowerPoint presentations summarizing the recent
variability of the global monsoon systems have been updated on the CPC Global
Monsoons website: <br>
<a href="http://www.cpc.ncep.noaa.gov/products/Global_Monsoons/Global-Monsoon.shtml">http://www.cpc.ncep.noaa.gov/products/Global_Monsoons/Global-Monsoon.shtml</a>
<br>
<br>
<b style="mso-bidi-font-weight:normal">HIGHLIGHTS:</b></p>
<p class="MsoNormal"><b style="mso-bidi-font-weight:normal"> </b></p>
<p class="MsoNormal"><b style="mso-bidi-font-weight:normal">African Monsoons (AFMS.ppt):</b></p>
<p class="MsoNormal"><b style="mso-bidi-font-weight:normal"> </b></p>
<p class="MsoNormal"><span style="mso-fareast-font-family:"Times New Roman"">Moderate
to locally heavy rainfall resulted in moisture surpluses over parts of Angola
and Namibia, western Botswana, southeastern Tanzania, northern Mozambique, and
portions of Madagascar. In contrast, suppressed rainfall prevailed over much of
Zambia, Zimbabwe, Malawi and portions of Mozambique.</span></p>
<p class="MsoNormal"><span style="mso-fareast-font-family:"Times New Roman""> </span></p>
<p class="MsoNormal"><span style="mso-fareast-font-family:"Times New Roman"">Week-1
outlooks call for an increased chance for above-average rainfall over portions
of Angola, southern DRC, northeastern Zambia, and portions of southern
Tanzania. In contrast, there is an increased chance for below-average rainfall
over much of Tanzania, southeastern Angola, parts of northern Namibia, western
Zambia, Zimbabwe, portions of southern Malawi, central Mozambique, and portions
of Madagascar.</span></p>
<p class="MsoNormal"><span style="mso-fareast-font-family:"Times New Roman""> </span></p>
<p class="MsoNormal" style="text-indent:12pt"><b style="mso-bidi-font-weight:
normal"> </b></p>
<p class="MsoNormal"><b style="mso-bidi-font-weight:normal">Asian-Australian
Monsoons (AAMS.ppt):</b></p>
<p class="MsoNormal"> </p>
<p class="MsoNormal">For the past 90 days rainfall amounts have generally been
below normal over many parts of India, across the southern and east Asia
monsoon region, particularly over Indonesia, Papa New Guinea, Malaysia, Laos,
Vietnam, and Thailand consistent with the ongoing strong El Nino conditions.
Australia is also relatively dry. However, parts of southeastern India, Sri
Lanka, and large parts of southeastern China have received above normal
rainfall amounts. October-December NE monsoon over southeastern India was
particularly very active. Also, it is interesting to note that for the past 90
days, unlike other parts of SE Asia, almost entire China is at normal or above
normal levels of rainfall, particularly over<span style="mso-spacerun:yes">
</span>eastern China. For the past 30 days, rainfall was considerably above
normal over southernmost India and southeastern China, and over parts of
Malaysia and Indonesia. Also for the past 30 days, the vast India plus China
region is generally at near or above normal levels of received rainfall. The
Northeast Winter monsoon has brought near to above normal rain to southern
India, particularly the southern most state of India, the Tamilnadu and across
Sri Lanka. Southeastern China and northern Australia also received above normal
rainfall amounts for the 30 days period. Northern Australia received above
normal rainfall so far, but western and central eastern coastal Australia
received less rainfall.<span style="mso-spacerun:yes"> </span></p>
<p class="MsoNormal"> </p>
<p class="MsoNormal">In this past week, rainfall over the entire region was
generally at or slightly below normal levels.<span style="mso-spacerun:yes">
</span>Northwestern Australia and the island of New Guinea particularly
received much below rainfall. In the next couple of weeks, the NCEP GFS model
is also predicting above normal to parts of southeastern China and maritime
Indonesian, but below normal rainfall to northern Australia,<span style="mso-spacerun:yes"> </span>the island of New Guinea and the Philippines.</p>
<p class="MsoNormal"> </p>
<p class="MsoNormal"> </p>
<p class="MsoNormal"><b style="mso-bidi-font-weight:normal">South American
Monsoons (SAMS.ppt):</b></p>
<p class="MsoNormal"><b style="mso-bidi-font-weight:normal"> </b></p>
<p class="MsoNormal">Rainfall deficits increased over the Amazon Basin, and most
of Central and Southeast Brazil.</p>
<p class="MsoNormal"> </p>
<p class="MsoNormal">During the last 7 days (28 December 2015-3 January 2016), below-average
precipitation was observed over Bolivia and portions of Central and Southeast
Brazil.<span style="mso-spacerun:yes"> </span>Above-average precipitation was
observed over parts of the western Amazon Basin, and portions of Paraguay,
central Argentina and southern Brazil.</p>
<p class="MsoNormal"> </p>
<p class="MsoNormal">For 4-10 January 2016, above-average precipitation is
predicted for Central and southern Northeast Brazil, and portions of Bolivia,
Paraguay, northern Argentina and extreme southern Brazil. Below-average
precipitation is predicted for portions of the central and eastern Amazon Basin
and Southeast Brazil.</p>
<p class="MsoNormal"> </p>
<p class="MsoNormal"><br>
*For questions or comments, please contact: </p>
<p class="MsoNormal"><br>
<a href="mailto:Endalkachew.Bekele@noaa.gov">Endalkachew.Bekele@noaa.gov</a> (for the African monsoons)</p>
<p class="MsoNormal"><a href="mailto:Muthuvel.Chelliah@noaa.gov">Muthuvel.Chelliah@noaa.gov</a> (for Asian-Australian monsoons)</p>
<p class="MsoNormal"><a href="mailto:Vernon.Kousky@noaa.gov">Vernon.Kousky@noaa.gov</a>
(for South American monsoons)</p>
<p class="MsoNormal"><a href="mailto:Wei.Shi@noaa.gov">Wei.Shi@noaa.gov</a>
(for North American monsoon update and for general issues about the CPC Global
Monsoons products)</p>
<div><div class="gmail_signature"><div cols="72"><b>--------------------------------------------------------------------------- </b></div>
<div cols="72">Wei Shi, Ph.D </div>
<div cols="72">Meteorologist </div>
<div cols="72">Climate Prediction Center/NCEP/NWS/NOAA </div>
<div cols="72">NCWCP Room 3116</div>
<div cols="72">5830 University Research Court </div>
<div cols="72">College Park, MD 20740 </div>
<div cols="72">USA </div>
<div cols="72">Phone: (301) 683-3440 </div>
<div cols="72"><b>----------------------------------------------------------------------------</b></div></div></div>
</div>