<div dir="ltr">
<p class="MsoNormal">The weekly PowerPoint presentations summarizing the recent
variability of the global monsoon systems have been updated on the CPC Global
Monsoons website: <br>
<a href="http://www.cpc.ncep.noaa.gov/products/Global_Monsoons/Global-Monsoon.shtml">http://www.cpc.ncep.noaa.gov/products/Global_Monsoons/Global-Monsoon.shtml</a>
<br>
<br>
<b style="mso-bidi-font-weight:normal">HIGHLIGHTS:</b></p>
<p class="MsoNormal"><b style="mso-bidi-font-weight:normal"> </b></p>
<p class="MsoNormal"><b style="mso-bidi-font-weight:normal">African Monsoons (AFMS.ppt):</b></p>
<p class="MsoNormal"><b style="mso-bidi-font-weight:normal"> </b></p>
<p class="MsoNormal"><span style="mso-fareast-font-family:"Times New Roman"">Weekly
total rainfall exceeded 150mm over portions of Madagascar, whereas suppressed
rainfall prevailed over Gabon, northern Congo-Brazzaville, northern DRC,
Zimbabwe, and portions of South Africa.</span></p>
<p class="MsoNormal"><span style="mso-fareast-font-family:"Times New Roman""> </span></p>
<p class="MsoNormal"><span style="mso-fareast-font-family:"Times New Roman"">Week-1
outlooks call for an increased chance for above-average rainfall over western
Angola, northwestern Namibia, portions of southern Tanzania and northern
Mozambique, and Madagascar. In contrast, there is an increased chance for
below-average rainfall over portions of eastern Angola and southern DRC, much of
Zambia, Botswana, Malawi, Zimbabwe, central and southern Mozambique, and
eastern South Africa.</span></p>
<p class="MsoNormal"><span style="mso-fareast-font-family:"Times New Roman""> </span></p>
<p class="MsoNormal" style="text-indent:12pt"><span style="mso-fareast-font-family:
"Times New Roman""> </span></p>
<p class="MsoNormal"><b style="mso-bidi-font-weight:normal">Asian-Australian
Monsoons (AAMS.ppt):</b></p>
<p class="MsoNormal"> </p>
<p class="MsoNormal">For the past 90 days rainfall amounts have generally been
below normal over many parts of India, across the southern and east Asia
monsoon region, particularly over Indonesia, Papa New Guinea, Malaysia, Laos,
Vietnam, and Thailand consistent with the ongoing strong El Nino conditions.
Australia is also relatively dry. However, parts of southeastern India, Sri
Lanka, and large parts of southeastern China have received above normal
rainfall amounts. The<span style="mso-spacerun:yes"> </span>NE monsoon during
Oct-Dec over southeastern India was particularly very active. Also, it is
interesting to note that for the past 90 days, unlike other parts of SE Asia,
almost entire China is at normal or above normal levels of rainfall,
particularly over eastern China. For the past 30 days, rainfall was
considerably above normal over southeastern India and southeastern China, and
over parts of Malaysia and Indonesia. Also for the past 30 days, the vast India
plus China region is at near or above normal levels of received rainfall. The
Northeast Winter monsoon has brought a lot of rain to southern India,
particularly the southern most state of India, the Tamilnadu and across Sri
Lanka. Southeastern China and northern Australia also received above normal
rainfall amounts for the 30 days period.</p>
<p class="MsoNormal"> </p>
<p class="MsoNormal">In this past week, rainfall over the entire region was
generally at or slightly below normal levels.<span style="mso-spacerun:yes">
</span>Associated with a low pressure system near the region, northern
Australia, particularly northern parts of Queensland and Northern Territory received
much higher than normal rainfall for the week. In the next couple of weeks, the
NCEP GFS model is also predicting isolated regions of regions of heavy rainfall
over Indonesia, Australia and southeastern China in an overall generally below
normal rainfall environment.</p>
<p class="MsoNormal"> </p>
<p class="MsoNormal"> </p>
<p class="MsoNormal"><b style="mso-bidi-font-weight:normal">South American
Monsoons (SAMS.ppt):</b></p>
<p class="MsoNormal"><b style="mso-bidi-font-weight:normal"> </b></p>
<p class="MsoNormal">Rainfall deficits increased over the Amazon Basin, and
Central and Southeast Brazil.</p>
<p class="MsoNormal"> </p>
<p class="MsoNormal">During the last 7 days (21-27 December 2015), below-average
precipitation was observed over most of Brazil north of 20S.<span style="mso-spacerun:yes"> </span>Above-average precipitation was observed over
the western Amazon Basin, and portions of Uruguay, northeastern Argentina and
southern Brazil.</p>
<p class="MsoNormal"> </p>
<p class="MsoNormal">For 28 December 2015-3 January 2016, below-average
precipitation is predicted for most of the Amazon Basin, northern and eastern
Bolivia and southern Northeast Brazil. Above-average precipitation is predicted
for portions of Southeast Brazil, northern Northeast Brazil, and central and
northern Argentina.</p>
<p class="MsoNormal"> </p>
<p class="MsoNormal"><br>
*For questions or comments, please contact: </p>
<p class="MsoNormal"><br>
<a href="mailto:Endalkachew.Bekele@noaa.gov">Endalkachew.Bekele@noaa.gov</a> (for the African monsoons)</p>
<p class="MsoNormal"><a href="mailto:Muthuvel.Chelliah@noaa.gov">Muthuvel.Chelliah@noaa.gov</a> (for Asian-Australian monsoons)</p>
<p class="MsoNormal"><a href="mailto:Vernon.Kousky@noaa.gov">Vernon.Kousky@noaa.gov</a>
(for South American monsoons)</p>
<p class="MsoNormal"><a href="mailto:Wei.Shi@noaa.gov">Wei.Shi@noaa.gov</a>
(for North American monsoon update and for general issues about the CPC Global
Monsoons products)</p>
<div><div class="gmail_signature"><div cols="72"><b>--------------------------------------------------------------------------- </b></div>
<div cols="72">Wei Shi, Ph.D </div>
<div cols="72">Meteorologist </div>
<div cols="72">Climate Prediction Center/NCEP/NWS/NOAA </div>
<div cols="72">NCWCP Room 3116</div>
<div cols="72">5830 University Research Court </div>
<div cols="72">College Park, MD 20740 </div>
<div cols="72">USA </div>
<div cols="72">Phone: (301) 683-3440 </div>
<div cols="72"><b>----------------------------------------------------------------------------</b></div></div></div>
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