<div dir="ltr">
<p class="MsoNormal">The weekly PowerPoint presentations summarizing the recent
variability of the global monsoon systems have been updated on the CPC Global
Monsoons website: <br>
<a href="http://www.cpc.ncep.noaa.gov/products/Global_Monsoons/Global-Monsoon.shtml">http://www.cpc.ncep.noaa.gov/products/Global_Monsoons/Global-Monsoon.shtml</a>
<br>
<br>
<b style="mso-bidi-font-weight:normal">HIGHLIGHTS:</b></p>
<p class="MsoNormal"><b style="mso-bidi-font-weight:normal"> </b></p>
<p class="MsoNormal"><b style="mso-bidi-font-weight:normal">African Monsoons (AFMS.ppt):</b></p>
<p class="MsoNormal"><b style="mso-bidi-font-weight:normal"> </b></p>
<p class="MsoNormal"><span style="mso-fareast-font-family:"Times New Roman"">Suppressed
rainfall continued to prevail over portions of Southeastern Africa, whereas
much of Tanzania, western Kenya and southern DRC received above-average
rainfall.</span></p>
<p class="MsoNormal"><span style="mso-fareast-font-family:"Times New Roman""> </span></p>
<p class="MsoNormal"><span style="mso-fareast-font-family:"Times New Roman"">Week-1
outlooks call for an increased chance for above-average rainfall across much of
East and Southeastern Africa. In contrast, there is an increased chance for
below-average rainfall over northern Congo-Brazzaville, northern DRC, portions
of Botswana and eastern South Africa.</span></p>
<p class="MsoNormal"><span style="mso-fareast-font-family:"Times New Roman""> </span></p>
<p class="MsoNormal" style="text-indent:12pt"><b style="mso-bidi-font-weight:
normal"> </b></p>
<p class="MsoNormal"><b style="mso-bidi-font-weight:normal">Asian-Australian
Monsoons (AAMS.ppt):</b></p>
<p class="MsoNormal"> </p>
<p class="MsoNormal">For the past 90 days rainfall amounts have generally been
below normal over many parts of India, across the southern and east Asia
monsoon region, particularly over Indonesia, Papa New Guinea, Malaysia, Laos,
Vietnam, and Thailand consistent with the ongoing strong El Nino conditions.
Australia is also relatively dry. However, parts of southeastern India, Sri
Lanka, and large parts of southeastern China have received above normal
rainfall amounts. It is interesting to note that for the past 90 days, unlike
other parts of SE Asia, almost entire China is at normal or above normal levels
of rainfall. For the past 30 days, rainfall was considerably above normal over
southeastern India and southeastern China, and over parts of Malaysia and
Indonesia. Also for the past 30 days, the vast India plus China region is at
near or above normal levels of received rainfall. The Northeast Winter monsoon
has brought a lot of rain to southern India, particularly the southern most
state of India, the Tamilnadu and across Sri Lanka.<span style="mso-spacerun:yes"> </span></p>
<p class="MsoNormal"> </p>
<p class="MsoNormal">In this past week, rainfall over the entire region was
generally at or slightly below normal levels except over some parts of
Malaysia, Indonesia and southeastern China.<span style="mso-spacerun:yes">
</span>Southeastern India, had a bit of reprieve this past week, from the heavy
rain it had been receiving from the highly active NE monsoon in the previous
several weeks.<span style="mso-spacerun:yes"> </span>In the next couple of
weeks, the NCEP GFS model is also predicting rainfall that is highly sporadic
across the region, with scattered rainfall in the southern districts of
Tamilnadu and Kerala states in India, below normal rainfall to much of
Malaysia, Indonesia and Philippines,<span style="mso-spacerun:yes"> </span>and
above normal rainfall over southeastern China and across northern Australia.
</p><p class="MsoNormal"> </p>
<p class="MsoNormal"> </p>
<p class="MsoNormal"><b style="mso-bidi-font-weight:normal">South American
Monsoons (SAMS.ppt):</b></p>
<p class="MsoNormal"><b style="mso-bidi-font-weight:normal"> </b></p>
<p class="MsoNormal">Rainfall deficits continue to increase over the Amazon
Basin.</p>
<p class="MsoNormal"> </p>
<p class="MsoNormal">During the last 7 days (7-13 December 2015), below-average
precipitation was observed over most of the Amazon Basin, eastern Bolivia, and
central and southern Northeast Brazil.<span style="mso-spacerun:yes">
</span>Above-average precipitation was observed over portions of Paraguay, and
southern Brazil.</p>
<p class="MsoNormal"> </p>
<p class="MsoNormal">For 14-20 December 2015, below-average precipitation is
predicted for the Amazon Basin, central<span style="mso-spacerun:yes">
</span>Brazil, and eastern Brazil between 10S and 22S. Above –average
precipitation is predicted for portions of southern Brazil, Paraguay and
northeastern Argentina.</p>
<p class="MsoNormal"> </p>
<p class="MsoNormal"><br>
*For questions or comments, please contact: </p>
<p class="MsoNormal"><br>
<a href="mailto:Endalkachew.Bekele@noaa.gov">Endalkachew.Bekele@noaa.gov</a> (for the African monsoons)</p>
<p class="MsoNormal"><a href="mailto:Muthuvel.Chelliah@noaa.gov">Muthuvel.Chelliah@noaa.gov</a> (for Asian-Australian monsoons)</p>
<p class="MsoNormal"><a href="mailto:Vernon.Kousky@noaa.gov">Vernon.Kousky@noaa.gov</a>
(for South American monsoons)</p>
<p class="MsoNormal"><a href="mailto:Wei.Shi@noaa.gov">Wei.Shi@noaa.gov</a>
(for North American monsoon update and for general issues about the CPC Global
Monsoons products)</p>
<div><div class="gmail_signature"><div cols="72"><b>--------------------------------------------------------------------------- </b></div>
<div cols="72">Wei Shi, Ph.D </div>
<div cols="72">Meteorologist </div>
<div cols="72">Climate Prediction Center/NCEP/NWS/NOAA </div>
<div cols="72">NCWCP Room 3116</div>
<div cols="72">5830 University Research Court </div>
<div cols="72">College Park, MD 20740 </div>
<div cols="72">USA </div>
<div cols="72">Phone: (301) 683-3440 </div>
<div cols="72"><b>----------------------------------------------------------------------------</b></div></div></div>
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